Saturday, November 05, 2022

Breeders Cup 2022 Selections (Sat 5th Nov 2022)

Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £770,370 12 runners 1m1f110y Good ITV4
 
race conditions  £1,362,963 guaranteed For  3yo+ fillies and mares Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Penalty value  1st  £770,370.37 2nd  £251,851.85 3rd  £133,333.33 4th  £74,074.07 5th  £44,444.44 6th  £29,629.63 7th  £14,814.81 8th  £14,814.81 9th  £14,814.81 10th  £14,814.81 
  
JBB FORM RATINGS:
 
1)NASHAWA (117) (2) ABOVE THE CURVE (113) (3) TUESDAY (112) (3) IN ITALIAN (112)
 
The John & Thady Gosden trained three year old filly NASHWA  stands out on form ,having won two group one races this season ,also finished creditable second in G1 Prix de Opera when just getting outstayed on testing ground conditions .The form of her victory in Nassau Stakes at Goodwood on fast ground looks very strong form, with 2nd ,4th & 5th all subsequently winning group one races since .Should be difficult to beat with ground conditions in her favour.
 
Of the others the A.P O'Brien trained Above The Curve looks the main danger ,after finishing short head behind Nashwa in Prix de l Opera ,though looked slightly flattered  to get so close to Nashwa who didn't get home on testing ground .However has looked progressive filly this season ,so can't be ruled out ,though has to prove herself on quicker ground .
 
Epsom Oaks winner Tuesday has looked disappointing on recent starts and has plenty to find with both Nashwa & Above the Curve on Prix de l Opera form , though will be better suited to this faster ground.
 
In Italian looks best of the Americans ,after winning two grade one races this season ,including winning 1 mile First Lady Stakes at Keenland last month .Will need further improvement in this stronger race ,though possible each-way claims
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race conditions  £1,362,963 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 2lb Penalty value  1st  £770,370.37 2nd  £251,851.85 3rd  £133,333.33 4th  £74,074.07 5th  £44,444.44 6th  £29,629.63 7th  £14,814.81 8th  £14,814.81 9th  £14,814.81 10th  £14,814.81

JBB FORM RATINGS :
 
1)MODERN GAMES (122) (2)DREAMLOPER (118 )(3)KINROSS (117) (3)ANNAPOLIS (117)
 
MODERN GAMES has excellent record (winning 5 from 7) on good or faster ground ,including winning the Breeders Cup Juvenile mile last year at Del Mar .Has been in decent form this season winning two group one races ,including bolting up in Woodbine Mile in Canada in September,though probably ran his best race when finishing creditable 1.75l second to Baaeed in Sussex Stakes at Goodwood in August .Should be difficult to beat with ideal conditions .

Of the others Dreamloper looks interesting after winning Prix du Moulin in great style in September by 5l ,has shown improved form this season winning two group one races at Longchamp.Also Looks well drawn in stall 3 for horse that sits close to the pace .Solid each-way claims .

Annapolis looks best of the American runners ,after winning the Coolmore Mile stakes over C&D at Keenland last month .Looks very consistent type, not finishing outside the top two in 7 starts ,including five victories .Possibly not quite good enough to win the race ,though fair claims for place .
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Longines Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £1,540,741 13 runners 1m4f Good ITV4
 
race conditions  £2,725,926 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 5lb Penalty value  1st  £1,540,740.74 2nd  £503,703.70 3rd  £266,666.67 4th  £148,148.15 5th  £88,888.89 6th  £59,259.26 7th  £29,629.63 8th  £29,629.63 9th  £29,629.63 10th  £29,629.63
 
JBB FORM RATINGS : 
 
1) MISHRIFF (122) (2) NATIONS PRIDE (121) (3) WAR LIKE GODDESS (117) 
 
This looks one the most competitive Breeders Cup races with 13 runners going to post .The Charlie Appleby three-year-old colt Nations Pride has been put in favourite at around 9-4 ,having shown some decent form in America this season winning the Sartoga Derby & Jockey Club Derby stakes at Aqueduct in course record time,has to be respected from stable that has excellent record in U.S.A ,though odds around 9-4 look no value in this much stronger race .
 
The five-year-old MISHRIFF on his final start, should go well for Gosden stable, now back on quick surface .Has shown all his best form on fast ground ,including winning the group one Juddmonte International at York last season .Will need to bounce back after two poor runs on testing ground in the Arc & Irish Champion Stakes ,though has put in two excellent efforts this season ,including finishing short head second to Valdeni in the Eclipse at Sandown in July and second in Juddmonte International behind Baaeed in August .Looks the each-way value at around 7-1 ,especially with bookmakers paying 4 places .
  
The ultra consistent mare War Like Goddess looks best of the American horses ,having won 7 out 10 ,including winning the Grade one Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes at Aqueduct last month .Also finished close third in Breeders Cup Fillies & Mares last year .Each-way claims in open race.
 
Of the others the Charlie Appleby second string Rebels Romance who is unbeaten on turf winning 4 out 4 is not easy to weigh up, having won two group one races in Germany,though on offical ratings will need further improvement to land this much stronger contest .
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BREEDERS CUP 2022 RECOMMENDED BETS :
 
NASHWA 5.50 BREEDERS CUP 9.5f FILLYS & MARES TURF 
2PTS WIN @ 7-4 UNIBET
(FOURTH SP 15-8 LOSS £200.00/2.00 PTS)

MODERN GAMES 7.10 BREEDERS  CUP TURF MILE 
2PTS WIN @ 2-1 BET365
(WINNER SP 6-4 PROFIT £400/4.00 PTS)
 
MISHRIFF 8.40 BREEDERS CUP 12f  TURF 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 13-2 BET365 (1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 )
(FOURTH SP 6-1 PROFIT £15.00/0.15)
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TOTAL PROFIT £215/2.15 PTS

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