Saturday, November 06, 2021

Breeders Cup Preview Sat 6th Nov (Three recommended bets )

Breeders Cup Championship Saturday with over $22 million in prize money with nine races .

 
race conditions  £1,343,066 guaranteed For  3yo+ fillies & mares Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 4lb Penalty value  1st  £759,124.09 2nd  £248,175.18 3rd  £131,386.86 4th  £72,992.70 5th  £43,795.62 6th  £29,197.08 7th  £14,598.54 8th  £14,598.54 9th  £14,598.54 10th  £14,598.54 
 
The Japanese mare LOVES ONLY YOU looks interesting here ,having shown some useful form this season ,including winning G1 QE11 Cup at Sha Tin in April ,also finished close third in G1 Sheema Classic at Meydan at World Cup meeting ,only beaten half-lengh by (122) rated Mishriff ,with another group one winner Walton Street (115) back in fourth .Returned from 4 month break with good second in G2 at Sapporo last time.Solid claims GUIDE PRICE 4-1 or above .
 
Of the others the American Filly War Like Goddess looks the main danger ,after landing four timer in G1 Flower Bowl Stakes at Saratoga last time .Looks improving filly open to further improvement .
 
Both Love & Audarya would be big dangers on last years group one winning form ,though have both looked disappointing since finishing first and second in Prince Of Wales stakes at Royal Ascot in June.
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race conditions  £1,343,066 guaranteed For  3yo+ Penalty value  1st  £759,124.09 2nd  £248,175.18 3rd  £131,386.86 4th  £72,992.70 5th  £43,795.62 6th  £29,197.08 7th  £14,598.54 8th  £14,598.54 9th  £14,598.54 10th  £14,598.54 
 
The speedy JACKIE'S WARRIOR stands out in the Breeders Cup Dirt Sprint ,has excellent record over one turn races (8 out 9) and is unbeaten over 6 furlongs 3 out 3 ,including bolting up in G2 Gallant Bob stakes last time .From stall two should take plenty of catching .GUIDE PRICE EVENS or above.
 
Dr Schivel looks best of the others ,after landing five timer in Santa Anita Sprint Championship last time .Will need furher improvement ,though still rates as main danger to Jackie's Warrior . .
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Longines Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £1,518,248 14 runners 1m4f Firm ITV
 
race conditions  £2,686,131 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 5lb Penalty value  1st  £1,518,248.18 2nd  £496,350.37 3rd  £262,773.72 4th  £145,985.40 5th  £87,591.24 6th  £58,394.16 7th  £29,197.08 8th  £29,197.08 9th  £29,197.08 10th  £29,197.08 
  
The tough Irish mare TARNAWA  is clear pick on form (6lb clear on official figures).Finished very creditable second in the ARC last time .Won this race last year in good style, coming from near last to first .Has wide draw to overcome this year,though shouldn't be problem for horse that will be dropped out in the early stages .Should take plenty beating in not the strongest renewal of Breeders Cup turf . GUIDE PRICE 6-4 or above .
 
Walton Street looks best of the rest .Won the Canadian International last time in impressive style .That wasn't the strongest G1 race, though is consistent sort who normally runs his race.Each-way claims at around 9-1 .
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Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Main Track) (Dirt) (3yo+) Winner £2,277,372 9 runners 1m2f Fast ITV
 
race conditions  £4,072,993 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Penalty value  1st  £2,277,372.26 2nd  £788,321.17 3rd  £394,160.58 4th  £218,978.10 5th  £131,386.86 6th  £87,591.24 7th  £43,795.62 8th  £43,795.62 9th  £43,795.62 10th  £43,795.62 
 
ESSENTIAL QUALITY has excellent record winning 8 out 9 ,including winning Breeders Cup Juvenile dirt at Keenland last season,has been in good form this season winning the G1 Travers Stakes at Saratoga last time ,with his only defeat coming in Kentucky Derby when badly hampered at the start.Should get the race run to suit with plenty pace in the race .GUIDE PRICE 3-1 or above
 
Hot Rod Charlie looks the main danger ,after winning Pennsylvania Derby in good style last time at Parx ,had previously finished second to Essential Quality in Belmont stakes over 12f ,though back over this 10f trip looks threat. .
 
Knicks Go has been put in favourite at around 5-2 ,after bolting up on his last two starts over 9 furlongs ,including winning G1 Whitney Stakes in August ,though not certain get his own way in front with plenty pace in the race, the extra furlong also has to be question mark.
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BREEDERS CUP SATURDAY 6TH NOV RECOMMENDED BETS: 
 
LOVES ONLY YOU 8.59 DEL MAR BREEDERS CUP FILLYS & MARES TURF
1PT WIN (PMU ) (AMERICAN ODDS) 5.30
1PT SHOW 1-2-3 (AMERICAN ODDS) 2.00
(WINNER PMU 43-10 PROFIT £530.00)  

JACKIES WARRIOR 9.38 DEL MAR BREEDERS CUP  DIRT SPRINT
TARNAWA 11.40 DEL MAR BREEDERS CUP TURF
1PT WIN DOUBLE @ 4-1 WILLIAM HILLS 
(BOTH UNPLACED SP 8-13 & 7-4 LOSS £100.00)
 
ESSENTIAL QUALITY 12.40 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC   
1PT WIN @ 3-1 BET365 
(THIRD SP 7-4 LOSS £100.00)
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STAKED £400.00 /4.00 PTS
RETURN £730.00 /7.30 PTS 
TOTAL PROFIT £330/+3.30 PTS
 

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