Wednesday, November 29, 2017

6.40 Kempton 12F Wild Flower Listed Stakes


On Wednesday evening we are back at Kempton Park,for 12 furlong listed contest on the poly track at 6.40 .

10 runners declared for the £40,000 Wild Flower Listed Stakes over 1M 4F.This looks decent qualityAll Weather listed contest.The three standout contenders look to be Red Verdon , Daphne & Mountain Bell .

RED VERDON : Four-year-old chestnut colt,winning 3 out 16.Had some useful form in 2016 ,including finishing second in group one company .Not shown much on turf this season,though returned to form on All Weather, finishing close second over C&D in Floodlit Listed stakes at Kempton earlier this month.Top rated on official BHA ratings (107) .Solid Claims  

DAPHNE : Four-year-old bay filly,winning 4 out 10.Shown progressive form this season winning two races,including winning the 1M 5F River Eden listed stakes at Lingfield in fast time.Has 12lb to find on official ratings,though looks open to plenty more improvement on All Weather.Each-way claims .

MOUNTAIN BELL : Four-year-old bay filly ,winning 2 out 6.Had some useful form last season ,including winning 12f listed race at Chester.Made promising reappearance in G3 St Simon Stakes in October,finishing staying on 4th of 11 behind Best Solution.Makes All weather debut ,though solid claims on her turf form .

VERDICT : RED VERDON should go well,after just getting touched off over C&D in Listed Floodlit stakes at Kempton earlier this month,that looked decent effort trying concede 10lb to the useful Mark Johnstone filly Titi Makfi.Odds around 10-3 look very fair value.

Mountain Bell has been lightly raced this season,though looks the main danger after making promising reappearance in G3 St Simon stakes in October.Looks interesting contender ,though is unproven on All Weather surfaces .
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RED VERDON 6.40 KEMPTON
£40 E/WAY @ 10/3 PADDY POWER  
(WINNER SP 5/2F PROFIT +£159.84)

Friday, November 17, 2017

3.15 Lingfield 6f Golden Rose Listed Stakes (Sat 17th Nov )

On Saturday we are back on All Weather for decent card at Lingfield,featuring two Fast Track Qualifiers on the poly track .Going concentrate on the big sprint at 3.15.

11 runners declared for Golden Rose Listed stakes over 6 furlongs .This looks very decent All Weather sprint .The three main contenders look to be Mythmaker , Mazzini & Spring Loaded.

MYTHMAKER : 5-Y-0 Bay gelding,winning 1 out 11 on All Weather (Finished 2ND ,five times ) Had some decent form on All Weather last season ,including finishing second in this race last year .Also finished close second in Cleves Stakes over C&D at Lingfield .Goes well here at Lingfield ,should be thereabouts .

MAZZINI : 4-Y-0 Chestnut gelding ,winning 3 out 10 on All Weather.Been running consistently this season , including bolting up in class three 6f handicap at Chelmsford in July .Also finished creditable second in class 2 7f conditions race at Chelmsford last time .Will be suited returning to 6f trip  .Solid each-way claims .

SPRING LOADED : 5-Y-0 Grey gelding ,winning 8 out 14 on All Weather .Has useful record on All Weather ,including winning 2 out 2 at Lingfield over C&D .Also Been in fair form on turf ,winning the Portland Handicap in good style in September,off mark 92 .Will be suited returning to All Weather at Lingfield ,though trainer Paul D'Arcy struggling for winners (1 out 48 ) since July .

VERDICT : Spring Loaded has excellent strike rate on All Weather 8 out 14 ,will be popular after winning twice over C&D at Lingfield last season ,though was disappointing at York last time ,when finishing well beaten tenth .Odds around 10/3 look short enough, for stable struggling for winners ,

At the prices MAZZINI looks the each-way value .Has been running well all season on all weather ,including finishing creditable second behind (108) rated Steady Pace at Chelmsford last time over 7f .Will be suited returning to this shorter trip ,all three victories coming over this 6f trip .Odds around 5-1 look solid each-way value ,especially with Skybet paying 4 places .
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MAZZINI 3.15 LINGFIELD 
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 SKYBET 
(UNPLACED SP 3-1F LOSS £60.00)

Friday, November 10, 2017

2.05 Doncaster 6F Wentworth Listed Stakes (Sat 11th Nov )


On Saturday we are back at Doncaster, for the final day of the flat turf season.With the feature race the competitive £70,000 November Handicap,though going concentrate on one the main supporting races the 6 furlong Wentworth Listed Stakes at 2.05 .

This looks very competitive Listed sprint.The three main contenders look to be Perfect Pasture ,Dream Of Dreams & Sir Dancealot .

PERFECT PASTURE : 7-Y-0 Bay gelding ,winning 12 out 44 .Been in excellent form recently winning his last two starts ,including winning class two handicap at Nottingham 3 days ago ,off mark 100 .Also won listed race at Windsor back in May .Has 3lb  penalty ,though has ideal conditions here .Each-way claims

DREAM OF DREAMS : 3-Y-0 Chestnut colt,winning 2 out 10.Had some fair form as 2-Y-0 for Kevin Ryan .Returned to form for new trainer Sir Michael Stoute ,bolting up in 7F conditions race at Lingfield in September,though was only 5th in listed race at Newbury last time .Drop back to 6f may suit ,should be thereabouts .

SIR DANCEALOT : 3-Y-0 Bay Colt ,winning 4 out 15 .Looked very decent 2-Y-0 ,winning three times ,including winning Rockingham listed race at York.Returned to winning form in 7f conditions race at Doncaster last time .Obvious claims on form ,though this shorter trip has to be question mark .

VERDICT : Sir Dancealot will have his supporters ,having won conditions race in good style last time ,though has disappointed on both starts over 6 furlongs this season.The drop back in trip doesn't look ideal .Odds around 3-1 look short enough in very competitive sprint .

PERFECT PASTURE has looked right back to his best ,winning two class 2 handicaps in last two weeks,including winning over C&D at Doncaster on soft ground.Also is proven winner in this grade ,winning in listed company back in May .Odds around 11-1 look decent each-way value.
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PERFECT PASTURE 2.05 DONCASTER
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 11-1 PADDY POWER
1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 
(SECOND SP 11-1 PROFIT +£36.00 )

Saturday, November 04, 2017

Del Mar 9.00 Breeders Cup Fillys & Mares Turf


Nice winner on Friday with Forever Unbridled, landing the Breeders Cup  Fillies & Mares Distaff at 7-2 for £126.00 profit .That keeps the excellent run going with 5 winners from the last 6 bets .

Moving on to Breeders Cup day two .We have nine grade one races starting at 7.00 pm UK time.Going concentrate on the filly's & Mares turf at 9.00 pm .

14 runners declared for Breeders Cup Fillies & Mares turf  over nine furlongs .This looks high quality renewal of the race .The three main contenders are Lady Eli ,Queens Trust & Rhododendrom .

LADY ELI : 5-Y-0 Bay Mare ,winning 10 out 13 .High class American mare never finishing outside the first two .Been in good form this season ,winning her last three starts ,including winning two grade one races .Also finished excellent second in this race last year .Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

QUEENS TRUST : 4-Y-0 Bay Filly ,winning 2 out 13 ,including winning this race last year .Not been at her best this season ,though finished fair third in Yorkshire Oaks ,behind Enable in August .Will be suited by this faster ground ,though this shorter trip may not be ideal .

RHODODENDRON : 3-Y-0 Bay Filly,winning 4 out 10 ,including winning two group one races .Also finished second in both English 1000 guineas and English Oaks .Returned to winning form last time, winning the group one Prix De L'Opera at Chantilly.Solid claims on her best form ,though has tricky outside draw in stall 14 .

VERDICT : LADY ELI  looks the one to beat ,having only been denied in last stride in thE race last year .Has been in top form this season winning 3 out 4 .Will also be suited by the race being run over nine furlongs .4-1 looks outstanding  value with BETFRED & TOTESPORT .
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LADY ELI 9.00 DEL MAR BREEDERS CUP FILLIES & MARES TURF  
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BETFRED 
1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 BETFRED & TOTESPORT
(UNPLACED SP 9-4 LOSS £80.00 )

Friday, November 03, 2017

11.35 Del Mar 1M 1F Breeders Cup Distaff G1 (Dirt) (Fri 3rd Nov )


The 34th Breeders Cup World championships gets underway on Friday evening UK time, from Del Mar in San Diego .Going concentrate on the feature race on day one, the 1M 1F $2,000,000 Distaff .

8 runners declared for the grade one Breeders Cup Distaff, for fillies & mares over 9 furlongs on the dirt at (23.35 UK time) .Not the strongest contested Breeders Cup race ,though still interesting contest.The three main contenders are Stellar Wind, Elate & Forever Unbridled .

STELLAR WIND : 5-Y-0 Chestnut mare,winning 9 out 13 ,including winning 6 grade one races .Been in good form this season winning 3 out 3 ,including winning 1 mile grade one  at Del Mar last time ,though was well beaten fourth in this race last year .Should be thereabouts ,though 0-3 over this 9 furlong trip .

ELATE : 3-Y-0 Bay filly ,winning 3 out 6 .Unraced as two-year-old ,though shown some useful form this season ,including winning the 9 furlong grade one Beldame Stakes by 8 lenghs at Belmont Park last time .Looks open to further improvement after just six starts, each-way claims .

FOREVER UNBRIDLED  : 5-Y-0 Bay mare ,winning 6 out 14 ,winning 3 grade one races .Been in decent form this season winning 2 out 2 ,including winning the grade one Ensign Stakes at Saratoga last time,beating the useful Songbird .Also finished excellent third in this race last year behind Beholder, in what looked much stronger contest .Solid claims .

VERDICT : Stellar Wind has been put in at around 3-1 on early prices ,though has been beaten in this race the last two years ,including finishing well beaten fourth last year .This looks easier race this year ,though hasn't convinced over this 9 furlong trip .Looks worth opposing .

FOREVER UNBRIDLED looks solid,having finished good third in much stronger race last year .Has been lightly raced this season ,though has won both her starts ,including winning grade one race last time .Should get race run to suit ,with plenty pace setters in the race .Odds around 7-2 look very fair value . 
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FOREVER UNBRIDLED 11.35 DEL MAR BREEDERS CUP DISTAFF
£30.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 WILLIAM HILLS *
(WINNER SP 10-3 PROFIT +£126.00)