Tuesday, March 29, 2016

3.25 Southwell 7F Handicap (0-105) Class 2 (Wed 30th Mar)

On Wednesday we are back on the fibresand at Southwell ,for the days feature race.7 furlong class two Visit Attheraces.com handicap at 3.25 .

10 runners declared for £20,000 guaranteed (0-105) class two handicap at Southwell .This looks useful 7 furlong handicap on fibresand .The four main contenders are Pearl Nation ,Philba ,Trojan Rocket & Moon River .

PEARL NATION : Goes well here at Southwell ,winning 3 out 6 (512112),including winning this race last year .Been disappointing in two starts at Meydan this year ,finishing last of 12 in handicap company last time .Needs to bounce back ,though will be suited returning to Southwell.

PHILBA : Good record at Southwell  this winter ,winning 4 out 7 (2111214) ,including winning over C&D in class 3 handicap last month ,off mark 87 .Finished fair 4TH last time at Southwell,Behind Moon River .Off mark 92 .Should be thereabouts off the same mark

TROJAN ROCKET : Good record on All Weather ,winning 9 out 32 ,though never won on Fibresand at Southwell in three starts .Bounced back to form ,winning 6 furlong handicap at Kempton in February .Also finished creditable 2ND last time over C&D at Southwell .Should go well off 1LB higher mark

MOON RIVER : Course specialist,with excellent record here at Southwell,winning 4 out 5 (12111) , including winning over C&D on her last two starts at Southwell .Had both Trojan Rocket & Philba behind ,when winning class 3 handicap last time .Up 3lb in weights,though that may not be enough, to stop this fast improving filly .

VERDICT : Course specialist MOON RIVER can defy this 3LB higher mark, and land her fifth win at the track .She seem to win, with little bit in hand last time over C&D ,when beating Trojan Rocket & Philba .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .


MOON RIVER 3.25 SOUTHWELL
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365
(WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT +£240.00)

Friday, March 25, 2016

12.20 Meydan Godolphin Mile Group two (Sat 26 March )

On Saturday we have the big World Cup meeting from Meydan . Going concentrate on one the supporting races .The Godolphin Group 2 Mile .

10 runners declared for group two Godolphin Mile on the dirt at Meydan 12.20 .The three main contenders are Marking , Maftool & Sloane Avenue .

MARKING : Lightly raced 4-Y-0 American colt ,winning 3 out 5 on the dirt ,Unseated the rider at the start, on first start at Meydan in 6F group 3 in February . Made no mistake last time ,winning 6F handicap off mark 109 .Steps Up in class ,though looks interesting runner .

MAFTOOL :Consistent sort ,winning 4 out 14 ,including winning twice over C&D .Won 1 mile handicap over C&D last time ,off mark 109 .Has also won twice in group three company ,each-way claims with conditions to suit .

SLOANE AVENUE :Smart 5 year old entire,with good record on dirt/AW (11122) .Finished excellent 2ND in this race last year ,only beaten short head by Tamarkuz ,that was particularly good effort form bad draw in stall 15 .Made satisfactory return at Kempton last month, and will come on lot for that run .

VERDICT : Marking will be popular here ,having shown some useful form in America ,though hasn't looked straight forward and looks tricky ride .This is also much stronger race ,than the handicap he won last time at Meydan .13-8 looks short enough .

SLOANE AVENUE looks the value here ,having shown some useful form on AW/Dirt .Looked very unlucky loser in this race last year ,when covering eight meters further than winner from stall 15 .Looks solid each-way bet at around 7-2 .

SLOANE AVENUE 12.20 GODOLPHIN MILE 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100.00 )

 

Thursday, March 24, 2016

All Weather Finals Day (Fri 25th March )

On Good Friday, we have the third running of All Weather Finals Day ,with seven race card at Lingfield Park .With four recommended blog bets .

The first race on the card is FILLIES & MARES final over 7 furlongs .Not the most competitive race with just two standout contenders COLD AS ICE & VOLUNTEER POINT 

COLD AS ICE :Useful mare from South Africa ,winning 6 out 10 ,including winning in G2 company .Finished fast finishing third in 6F listed race at Lingfield in February .Will be suited by this longer trip .Looks the one to beat ,though not the best of draws in stall (10)

VOLUNTEER POINT :Progressive filly  winning three times this winter ,including winning decent 7F condition race at Chelmsford in January ,beating the 100 rated My Call by neck .Looks open to more improvement and obvious each-way claims .

VERDICT : COLD AS ICE is 5LB clear on official ratings, and 7 furlongs looks her ideal trip,though at the prices looks very short at around 4-6 ,from wide draw

At the prices VOLUNTEER POINT looks the each-way value.Has been in good form this winter and looks sure run her race .Odds around 5-1 look fair each-way value against odds on favourite .

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AW SPRINT CHAMPIONSHIP final over 6 furlongs .This looks wide open sprint with plenty chances .The three main contenders look to be Alben Star , Goken & Lancelot Du Lac .

ALBEN STAR : Won 4 out 21 on All Weather ,including winning this race in 2014 .Not been in best form this winter ,though did finish excellent 2ND in this race last year . Will need to bounce back to form ,though could go well from decent draw .

GOKEN : Showed some useful form in France for H.A Pantall ,winning in group three company . Returned to form in November on first start for Kevin Ryan ,winning decent listed race over C&D . Should go well from decent draw .

LANCELOT DU LAC :Excellent record on All Weather ,winning 5 out 10 .Been in good form this winter ,winning last two starts ,including winning handicap at Kempton off mark 105 . However looks badly drawn in stall 13 for front runner .

VERDICT : Lancelot Du Lac looks to have the best form ,though its never easy to win from wide draw here at Lingfield . Odds around 5-2, look short enough from bad draw .

GOKEN was good winner over C&D in Golden Rose listed Stakes in November ,that looked decent performance under a penalty . Should go well from decent draw .Looks solid bet at around 7-2 .

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AW MARATHON CHAMPIONSHIP final over 1M 7F ,another race that doesn't look that competitive .The three main contenders are  Notarised , Ballynanty & Moonrise Landing .

NOTARISED : Won 7 out 31 , though lightly raced on All Weather , winning 1 out 3 , including winning 2 mile condition race at Chelmsford last time .Looks open to improvement over this 2 mile trip . 

BALLYNANTY : Improving sort , won 12 furlong maiden at Lingfield in November ,though shown improved form since stepping up in trip .Looked unlucky last time when finishing 2ND over C&D in 2M condition race at Lingfield ,getting badly hampered .Should be thereabouts each-way claims .

MOONRISE LANDING : Highly progressive mare ,since stepping up to 2 miles ,including bolting up on last two starts at Kempton & Wolverhampton . Produced career best effort last time winning 2 mile condition race at Wolverhampton ,beating Anglophile (winner since) by 4.5 lenghs . Obvious claims for fast improving mare .

VERDICT : MOONRISE LANDING stands out here after beating subsequent winner Anglophile by easy 4.5 lenghs ,looks fast improving mare  ,who will take plenty of beating .Odds around 2-1 look fair value.

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AW MILE CHAMPIONSHIP final .This looks cracking race for mile championship .The three main contenders are Mindyourownbusiness , Mister Universe & Sovereign Dept .

MINDYOUROWNBUSINESS : Progressive sort ,winning 6 out 12 on All weather ,including winning twice over C&D at Lingfield .Won class two handicap at Chelmsford off mark 105 in November . Solid claims with conditions to suit .

MISTER UNIVERSE : Won 2 out 2 on All Weather ,including winning 7F listed race at Wolverhampton last time ,beating Sovereign Dept in tight finish .Looks open to improvement on All Weather ,though will struggle to confirm form with Sovereign Dept on 5lb worse terms .

SOVEREIGN DEPT : Classy 7-Y-0 gelding , winning 8 out 35 ,including winning  4 times in 2015 .Also Finished unlucky 2ND in this race last year ,after getting badly hampered .Finished good 2ND last time in 7F Listed race at Wolverhampton ,on first start of the season .Obvious claims with that run under his belt .

VERDICT : SOVEREIGN DEPT is the class act here ,having won three listed races and group three last year .Made highly encouraging reappearance at Wolverhampton two weeks ago .Looks the one beat with ideal conditions . Odds around around 3-1 look good value .

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LINGFIELD ALL WEATHER FINAL BETS

VOLUNTEER POINT 1.40 LINGFIELD
£25.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365 
(WINNER SP 4-1 PROFIT £156.25 )

GOKEN 2.10 LINGFIELD
£40.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365
(THIRD SP 5-2 LOSS -£5.00 )


MOONRISE LANDING 2.40 LINGFIELD
£100 WIN @ 2-1 BET365  
(WINNER SP 6-5 PROFIT + £200.00 )

SOVEREIGN DEPT 3.15 LINGIELD 
£60 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365
(SECOND SP 11-4 LOSS -£15.00 )

(TOTAL PROFIT £336.00)


Tuesday, March 22, 2016

7.00 Dundalk 1M 4F (0-89 Handicap ) (Wed 22nd March)

On Wednesday we are back in Ireland ,for interesting little 12 furlong handicap on the poly track at Dundalk .

8 runners declared for 0-90 handicap at Dundalk .Not bad looking 12 furlong handicap on poly track .The three main contenders are Lusis Naturea , Bittern & Carried .

LUSIS NATUREA : Improving sort ,winning last two starts at Dundalk over 10.5 furlongs ,including winning handicap off mark 83 last time .Up 6LB in the weights ,though looks open to improvement over this longer trip .

BITTERN : Consistent filly ,been in good form this winter ,winning over C&D at Dundalk in November ,off mark 76 .Also finished creditable 2ND last time over 2 miles at Dundalk ,though appeared not to quite stay that longer trip .Will be suited returning to this shorter trip ,racing off the same mark

CARRIED : Consistent 6-Y-0 gelding , winning 2 out 16 on All Weather ,though has been placed 9 times .Finished fair 2ND last time over C&D at Dundalk .Up 3LB in the weights ,though has won off this mark 76 .However is on long losing run 17 races .

VERDICT : BITTERN looks solid here ,after putting three good efforts at Dundalk this winter .Will also be suited returning to 1M 4F ,after appearing not to stay 2 miles last time . Looks fairly treated off mark 78 . Odds around 4-1 look good value .

BITTERN 7.00 DUNDALK 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365 *  
(UNPLACED SP 11-2 LOSS £100.00)

Saturday, March 19, 2016

3.50 Curragh 8F Park Hill Express Stakes(Fillies & Mares G3)

On Sunday we see the start of flat turf season in Ireland ,with high quality filly & mares group three contest over 1 mile .

11 runners declared for group three Park Hill Express stakes at 3.50 on ground described as soft . The four  main contenders are Devonshire ,Joailliere Glamorous Approach & Queen Catrine  .

DEVONSHIRE :Useful filly ,winning 2 out 13,including bolting up in 9 furlong listed race at Listowel in September on heavy ground,though ran her best races in defeat ,including finishing excellent third in Irish 1000 guineas last season .Will be suited by this soft ground and ran well first time out last season .

JOAILLIERE : Only had the two starts , bolted up in weak 7F maiden at Gorwan Park on debut ,winning by 7 lenghs , finished fair 9th of 18 in Irish 1000 guineas, finishing 4.5 lenghs behind Devonshire .Looks open to plenty improvement ,after just two starts .

GLAMOROUS APPROACH :  Lightly raced 3-Y-0 filly ,winning 2 out 4 ,including winning 10 furlong listed race at Newmarket in October .Looks open to  improvement this season ,though unproven on soft ground .

QUEEN CATRINE : Formerly trained by Charles Hills winning 2 out 19.Bounced back to form on first start for Ger Lyons,winning 8 furlong listed race at Naas on fast ground in  October . Has never convinced on soft or G/S  ground (0 out 5 ) 

VERDICT : DEVONSHIRE showed some useful form last season.Producing a career best effort here over C&D at Curragh,when finishing third in Irish 1000 guineas .Looks the one to beat with ground conditions in her favour .Odds around 7-2 look fair value.

DEVONSHIRE 3.50 CURRAGH 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365 *
(SECOND SP 11-4 LOSS £15.00) 

Friday, March 11, 2016

2.50 Wolverhampton 7F Lady Wulfruna Listed stakes (Sat 12th March

On Saturday we are back at Wolverhampton ,for high quality seven furlong listed race on the tapeta at 2.50 

8 runners declared for £50,000 added, 7F Lady Wulfruna listed contest.This looks cracking 
contest,with some useful AW sorts .The four main contenders are Sovereign Dept , Chookie Royale , Mister Universe & Realize .

SOVEREIGN DEPT : Useful 7 year old gelding ,winning 8 out 34,including winning this race last year . Showed some useful form last season ,winning 4 times ,including winning G3 in Ireland .Has fair record in listed races over 7F  ,though has 5LB group 3 penalty .

CHOOKIE ROYALE : Course specialist winning 6 times at Wolverhampton ,including winning this race in 2014 & finishing 2ND last year . Been in good form this winter ,winning three times in condition races . Bit disappointing last time at Lingfield in listed company , though has poor record at that track 0 out 6 . Should go well returning to his favourite track .

MISTER UNIVERSE  : Won 2 out 14 on turf , though produced career best effort last time ,on his first start on AW ,when winning class 2 handicap over 1 mile at Lingfield,off mark 102 . Will need more improvement to land this Listed Contest .

REALIZE : Progressive sort ,winning 9 out 18 on AW .Been in great form this winter ,winning three times .Showed career best effort last time ,winning 0-105 handicap at Lingfield off mark 101 . Takes step up in class ,though should be thereabouts .

VERDICT :
Last years winner Sovereign Dept is the class act here , having won group 3 & three listed races last season, though faces no easy task ,conceding weight all round ,on his first start of the season .

Course specialist CHOOKIE ROYALE can land this race for second time ,wasn't at his best at Lingfield last time ,though has never won at that track (0-6) .Has an excellent record here at Wolverhampton winning 6 out 10 . Should take plenty of catching from stall 3 .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .


CHOOKIE ROYALE 2.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
£50.00 EACH/WAY @ 4-1 BET365 
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(UNPLACED SP 10-3 LOSS £100.00)
 

Sunday, March 06, 2016

4.50 Wolverhampton 12F Coral Handicap (0-105) Class 2

On Monday we are back at Wolverhampton , for good quality 12 furlong class 2 handicap on the tapeta at 4.50 .

8 runners declared for (0-105) 12 furlong class two handicap .The three main contenders are First Mohican ,Winterlude & Paddy's Motorbike .

FIRST MOHICAN : Won 5 out 18 on turf ,though lightly raced on All Weather winning 1 out 4 ,including winning  14 furlong class 2 handicap at Wolverhampton in December .Also finished creditable 2ND last time in 12F handicap at Lingfield .Should go well off the same mark .

WINTERLUDE : Lightly raced 6-Y-0 gelding ,winning 3 out 8 on All Weather .Won class two 10 furlong handicap at Lingfield in January off mark 93 . Slightly disappointing at Chelmsford last time ,though was unsuited by very slowly run race .Goes well here at Wolverhampton and will be suited returning to this longer trip .

PADDY'S MOTORBIKE : Consistent sort , C&D winner here at Wolverhampton, winning class three handicap here in January off mark 87 .Finished fair third last time at Lingfield over 12 furlongs ,behind Sunblazer .Should be thereabouts ,though looks bit high in the weights . 

VERDICT : WINTERLUDE will be suited returning to this longer trip ,having been unsuited by very slow pace over 10 furlongs last time . Has shown some useful form on All Weather and has won off this mark (96) .Odds around 9-2 look very fair value .

WINTERLUDE 4.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 HILLS .BETFRED 
(WINNER SP 7-2 PROFIT + £270.00 )

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

7.15 Kempton 7F Fillies Handicap (0-95) Class 3 (Wed 2nd Mar)

On Wednesday we are back at Kempton, for good looking 7 furlong fillies handicap on polytrack at 7.15 

7.15 KEMPTON 7F FILLIES HANDICAP (0-95) CLASS 3
8 runners declared for 0-95 fillies handicap at Kempton over 7 furlongs .The three main contenders are Russian Radiance , Subtle Knife & Mystical Sapphire .

RUSSIAN RADIANCE :Improving Filly, Won 2 out 5 on All Weather ,been in good form this winter ,winning twice at Wolverhampton over this distance .Finished fair second at Lingfield last time ,behind Subtle Knife.Looks open to more improvement ,though is creeping up the weights.

SUBTLE KNIFE : C&D winner,Won 4 out 28 on All Weather,including winning class 3 handicap at Lingfield in January . Slightly disappointing last time ,when finishing 5th of 8 in 7F handicap at Lingfield .Looks closely matched with Russian Radiance at the weights .

MYSTICAL SAPPHIRE : Course specialist ,winning 4 times over C&D ,including winning at Kempton in October .Returned to form last time,finishing promising third over C&D behind Mezmaar. Has dropped 2LB in the weights ,and starting look well handicapped again off mark 76 .

VERDICT : Course specialist MYSTICAL SAPPHIRE looks the value here ,after finishing good third over C&D  last time,in good time.Has also dropped to decent mark, and should go well in not the strongest looking class 3 race .Odds around 9-2 look very fair value .

Russian Radiance looks open to further improvement, and looks the main danger ,though her last win did come off 8LB lower mark . 

MYSTICAL SAPPHIRE 7.15 KEMPTON
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 PADDY POWER
(SECOND SP 2-1 PROFIT +£6.25 )
(Beaten Nose )