Friday, February 26, 2016

3.20 Lingfield 10F Coral Winter Derby G3 (Sat 27th Feb )

On Saturday we are back at Lingfield for the days feature race ,the group three Winter Derby over 10 furlongs .

3.20 LINGFIELD 10F CORAL WINTER DERBY G3
10 runners declared  for £100,000 added Winter Derby at Lingfield .The three main contenders are Grendisar ,Festive Fare & Furia Cruzada .

GRENDISAR :Course specialist at Lingfield ,with excellent record over C&D (122321112) Been in good form this winter ,winning the Winter Derby trial three weeks ago .Also finished excellent second in this race last year ,behind the very useful Tryster .Obvious claims with ideal conditions .

FESTIVE FARE : Progressive sort ,winning 3 out 4 on All Weather ,including winning 9.5 class 2 handicap at Wolverhampton in December ,off mark 103 .Finished fair second ,behind Grendisar in Winter Derby Trial last time,though was never really travelling in the race .Wears first time cheek pieces .

FURIA CRUZADA : Smart performer in South America , triple group one winner ,including winning in G1 company on the dirt . Not easy to assess that form ,though looks interesting runner on first start for Champion trainer John  Gosden .

VERDICT : GRENDISAR looks very solid here ,after beating Festive Fare in the trial 3 weeks ago .Has excellent record at track ,and can go one better, having finished second in this race last year .Odds around 3-1 look good value .

GRENDISAR 3.20 LINGFIELD WINTER DERBY 
£75 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365
(WINNER SP 11-4 PROFIT £281.00 )

Thursday, February 11, 2016

9.00 Dundalk 1M This Is The Ladbrokes Life H'cap (0-82) (Fri 12th Feb )

On Friday we are back in Ireland for 1 mile (0-82) handicap on the poly track at Dundalk.


9.00 DUNDALK 1M THIS IS THE LADBROKES LIFE H'CAP
8 runners declared for interesting little 1 mile handicap at Dundalk .The three main contenders are Excelli , Hat Alnasar & Poetic Choice .

EXCELLI : Been in excellent form this winter,winning three times at Dundalk over C&D ,including winning in good style last time in handicap company.Has taken big rise in the weights,up 28LB for those three victories .

HAT ALNASAR :Won 3 out 12 at Dundalk ,including winning over C&D at Dundalk last month in handicap company .Finished fair 3RD last time off 3LB higher ,when getting caught close home in stronger 0-98 handicap at Dundalk .

POETIC CHOICE :Consistent mare,formerly trained in UK by Nick Littmoden,not the best strike rate winning 2 out 26,though has been in good form recently at Dundalk ,for trainer Keith Henry Clarke,finishing placed on last three starts,including getting touched off last time in 7F handicap .

VERDICT : Hat Alnasar is very consistent sort, and will be popular with Pat Smullen riding for first time ,has to be respected, though  faces no easy task with Poetic Choice at the revised weights.

At the prices POETIC CHOICE looks the each-way value ,has been knocking on the door in handicaps here recently, and has 9LB pull in weights with Hat Alnasar ,when beating that rival narrowly in December over C&D .Odds around 5-1 look good value .

POETIC CHOICE 9.00 DUNDALK 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET365 
(UNPLACED SP 5-1 LOSS £100.00)

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

4.45 Meydan 6F Group 3 Dirt (Thu 11th Feb )

On Thursday we are back at Meydan, for top quality group 3 sprint on the dirt over 6 furlongs .

4.45 MEYDAN 6F AL SHINDAGHA SPRINT G3 (DIRT)
9 runners declared for decent group 3 sprint on the dirt .The three main contenders are Marking , Reynaldothewizard & Rich Tapestry .

MARKING : Lightly raced American 4-Y-0 colt, winning 2 out 3 ,finished creditable 2ND in grade one company at Santa Anita last time over 7F ,behind the very useful Runhappy (Breeders Cup Sprint winner )  Obvious claims with this drop in class ,though this shorter trip may not be ideal .

REYNALDOTHEWIZARD : Likeable 10 year old gelding ,with excellent record at Meydan over 6 furlongs (8 wins out 13 starts) including winning last three starts .Also won this race last year .Should go well with ideal conditions .

RICH TAPESTRY :Useful Hong Kong sprinter  ,winning 3 out 6 on artificial surfaces,including winning in grade 1 company at Santa Anita ,Also has good record here at Meydan (321) ,finishing placed in group one Golden Shaheen the last two seasons .Been disappointing on turf in Hong Kong recently ,though the return to the dirt will suit .

VERDICT : Marking looks interesting runner for Godolphin ,having shown useful form in America ,though the drop back to 6 furlongs is question mark ,having already won over 1 mile at Aqueduct .Looks worth opposing at very short (5-4)

Last years winner REYNALDOTHEWIZARD looks solid here ,after winning in good style in listed company on his return last month . Has decent record in group 3 company (121). Should also get the race run to suit, with plenty pace in the race .Odds around 4-1 look fair value .

REYNALDOTHEWIZARD 4.45 MEYDAN
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 CORALS*
(THIRD SP 10-3 LOSS £10.00)

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

1.40 Southwell 2 Miles 32Red.Com Handicap (0-60) Class 6

On Tuesday we are back on the fibresand at Southwell for interesting low grade 0-60 ,staying handicap .

1.40 SOUTHWELL 2MILE 32RED.COM 0-60 HANDICAP
9 Runners declared for 2 miles ,class 6 handicap on the fibresand at Southwell .Not the most competitive contest, with the three main contenders . Vivacissimo , Pass The Time & Dissertation .

VIVACISSIMO : C&D winner at Southwell ,winning class 6 handicap in good style,earlier last month .Looked disappointing at Chelmsford last time, when finishing well beaten 4TH behind Coorg ,though that form has been boosted with winner & second both winning next time .Will be suited returning to fibresand at Southwell .

PASS THE TIME :Fair record on Jumps ,winning 8 out 40 .Lightly raced on All Weather ,though did win over C&D back in 2014 .Returned to form last time, finishing creditable 2ND at Wolverhampton in Class 6 handicap behind Mr Boss Man .Up 2LB in the weights ,though should go well returning to Southwell .

DISSERTATION : Maiden after 9 starts ,though did show bit improvement last time over C&D when finishing staying on 7L third behind Vivacissimo .Has something to find on form,though Races off career low mark and has possible each-way claims .

VERDICT : Pass The Time will have his supporters ,after finishing good 2ND last time at Wolverhampton ,though is starting creep up the weights and Races of career high mark on the flat .Still Has to be respected in weak race ,though odds around 5-2 look short enough .

VIVACISSIMO has put in two solid efforts at Southwell recently,including winning by 5 lenghs over C&D earlier last month .Looks fairly treated off 5LB higher mark .Odds around 9-2 ,look fair value in weak looking contest .

 
VIVACISSIMO 1.40 SOUTHWELL
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BETFRED
(SLIPPED UP LOSS £100.00)

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

4.45 Meydan 9.5F Al Maktoum Challenge G2 (Thu 4th Feb )

On Thursday we are back in Dubai, for quality looking 9.5 furlong G2 contest on the dirt at Meydan .

9 runners declared for group 2 Al Maktoum challenge at Meydan .Interesting contest with the American World cup contender Frosted making his Meydan Debut .The three main contenders are Frosted ,Special Fighter & Layl .

4.45 1M 1.5F MEYDAN AL MAKTOUM CHALLENGE ROUND 2
FROSTED : Useful 4-Y-O American colt ,winning 3 out 13 in U.S.A ,including winning G1 Wood Memorial Stakes at Aqueduct in 2015 ,also finished creditable 4TH in Kentucky Derby ,behind the useful American Pharoah . Obvious claims if fully wound up ,on first start since October .

SPECIAL FIGHTER : Progressive 5-Y-0 ,winning 5 out 15 ,including bolting up over C&D in handicap company last time ,off mark 107 . Also won 10F Listed race at Meydan in December .Lightly raced on the dirt ,winning 2 out 4, looks open to plenty improvement over this trip .Solid each-way claims .

LAYL : Consistent sort ,winning 3 out 14 ,including finishing excellent 2ND last time in 1 mile G2 Al Maktoum round one challenge .Will be suited returning to this longer trip .Should be thereabouts .

VERDICT : Frosted is clearly the one to beat on the pick of his American form ,and is leading fancy for Dubai World Cup in March ,though odds around 4-6 ,look very short for horse having his first run at the track .

At the prices SPECIAL FIGHTER looks the each-way value ,has shown some useful form on the dirt ,including bolting up in listed company in December .Looks open to plenty more improvement on the dirt ,after just 4 starts .Odds around 10-1 look excellent each-way value .

SPECIAL FIGHTER 4.45 MEYDAN
£50 EACH-WAY @ 10-1 BET365*
(UNPLACED SP 5-1 LOSS £100.00)