Friday, May 29, 2015

Haydock 2.35 7 Furlongs Timeform Jury Stakes Group 3 (Sat 30th May )

On Saturday we go to North West for decent looking seven furlong group three contest at Haydock .With plenty rain about on Friday ,ground conditions are on soft side of good .

2.35 HAYDOCK 7F TIMEFORM JURY STAKES GROUP 3:
13 runners declared for Timeform Jury stakes ,on ground described as good/soft .Quite competitive race on official ratings .The three main contenders look to be Breton Rock ,Cable Bay & That Is Spirit .

BRETON ROCK :Good strike rate winning 7 from 15 starts .Goes particularly well with cut in the ground ,including winning group two Hungerford Stakes at Newbury last season .Also finished close second in this race last year .Ran satisfactory 7th of 16 in group 1 Lockinge Stakes on seasonal reappearance at Newbury .Looks sure go well returning to 7 furlongs  .

CABLE BAY :Only win came in maiden at Leicester back in 2013,though has shown plenty  placed form in group races ,including finishing second in G2 Vision stakes at Newmarket in October .Finished good 5th in Group one Lockinge Stakes last time at Newbury .Likely to be thereabouts ,though not won since June 2013 .

THAT IS SPIRIT : Improving sort Winning 4 from 9 starts, all over 7 furlongs ,including two listed races .Won Spring Trophy stakes in good style over C&D at Haydock last time on soft ground .Each-way claims ,though will need improvement to win this stronger race .

VERDICT : BRETON ROCK looks very solid here ,having won in group two company last season in Hungerford stakes .Has excellent record over 7 furlongs on easy ground (31211117) .Should be difficult to beat with optimum conditions .Odds around 4-1 looks decent value .

Cable Bay looks the main danger ,having finished good fifth in group one Lockinge stakes last time ,though sure be thereabouts ,has poor win strike rate .

BRETON ROCK 2.35 HAYDOCK 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365 *
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOST £100.00/ -1.00)

Monday, May 25, 2015

4.00 Leicester 7F 3-Y-0 Claiming Stakes Class 5

On Tuesday we go to the East Midlands track for interesting looking three year old claimer at Leicester .

4.00 LEICESTER 7F 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5:
10 runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Leicester on ground described as good/firm .The three main contenders are Orlando Rogue , Kyrenia Castle & Grosmont .

ORLANDO ROGUE : Returned to form in April ,winning 7 furlong claimer at Lingfield in good style ,beating Ocean Crystal (winner since) .Also finished fair second last time in 7 furlong claimer on soft ground at Salisbury, after suffering interference .Should go well in the same grade .

KYRENIA CASTLE : Won 5F maiden at Wolverhampton for Richard Hannon on Boxing Day ,though has shown nothing in two starts for Dandy Nichols in class three handicaps .Takes big drop in class for stable that has good record in claimers .

GROSMONT :1 win and 4 seconds from 15 starts, .Been running consistently in handicap company ,including finishing fair 5th of 12 in 6.5 furlong handicap at Doncaster last time .Not badly treated at the weights , though is unproven over this longer trip.

VERDICT : ORLANDO ROGUE looks solid here ,after putting in two good efforts in this grade recently .Looks fairly treated at the weights and ground conditions will suit .Trainer George Baker also has good record in claimers over last five seasons (15 out 40) (38%) Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .

Most of the opposition have been badly out form ,though Grosmont has been running OK in handicap company and looks main danger, if staying this longer trip . 


ORLANDO ROGUE 4.00 LEICESTER 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK *
(SECOND SP 15-8F R4 20P IN £  LOSS £18.00 /0.18PTS )

Saturday, May 09, 2015

Lingfield 4.05 Chartwell Fillies Stakes 7F group three

On Saturday we are back at Lingfield on the turf, for 7 furlong group three contest for fillies & mares .

4.05 LINGFIELD 7F CHARTWELL FILLIES STAKES G3 : 11 runners go to post for Chartwell Fillies Stakes over 7F on ground described as Good.This looks high quality fillies & mares group 3 contest .The three main contenders on official ratings are Al Thakhira , Lightning Thunder & New Providence .

AL THAKHIRA : Useful 4-Y-0 Filly ,winning 3 from 9 on the turf ,including winning the G2 Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket as two year old .Also showed some useful form last season ,finishing close second in Fred Darling at Newbury .Ran promising third on seasonal reappearance in Listed race on AW at Wolverhampton.

LIGHTNING THUNDER :Won 2 from 8 ,had some very useful form last season without winning ,including finishing second in both English & Irish 1000 guineas at Newmarket & Curragh . However was disappointing on final two starts last season ,including finishing well beaten fourth in Listed company on final start last season .

NEW PROVIDENCE : Progressive three year old ,winning 3 from 7 .Won 6F group 3 contest at Salisbury in September .Finished very good second in Neil Gwyn at Newmarket in April ,only beat short head by Osaila .Looks open to plenty improvement this season .

VERDICT: Lightning Thunder is 4LB clear on official ratings and will take plenty beating if repeating last years guineas form ,though there has to be question mark after disappointing  on last two starts .

AL THAKHIRA looks very solid here after making promising reappearance at Wolverhampton in March .Showed some useful form last season in group three company and looks to have ideal conditions here (7F with cut in the ground ) Can land this group three contest. Odds around 9-2 look fair value .

New Providence looks the main danger after finishing very good 2ND in Nell Gwyn at Newmarket last time and looks sure to win more races this season .


AL THAKHIRA 4.05 LINGFIELD 
0.50 PTS WIN @ 4-1 BET365*
0.50 PTS PLACE @ 2.0 BETFAIR 
(UNPLACED SP 7-2 LOSS £100.00)



Sunday, May 03, 2015

4.00 Windsor 1M 2F 0-85 Handicap (Class 4) (Monday 4th May)

On Bank Holiday Monday ,we go to West Berkshire for interesting looking 10 furlong handicap at Windsor .

4.00 WINDSOR 1M 2F (0-85) CLASS 4 HANDICAP :
9 runners declared for 0-85 handicap at Windsor on good/firm ground .The three main contenders are Mythical Madness , Balmoral Castle & Franco's Secret .

MYTHICAL MADNESS :Lightly raced four year old . Won maiden over course & distance at Windsor in good style  ,though been bit disappointing in three handicaps since .Should be suited returning to this 10 furlong trip,though mark 84 still looks shade high .

BALMORAL CASTLE : C&D winner ,with good strike rate on turf,winning 6 out 16 ,including winning class three handicap at Goodwood off mark 80  .Finished fair fourth on seasonal reappearance  in strong looking class 3 handicap at Newbury last time .Looks fairly treated off mark 83, and goes particularly well for 5LB claimer Ned Curtis .

FRANCO'S SECRET : Good record on poly track winning 3 out 10 ,only raced twice on turf ,though ran promising fifth in class three handicap at Newbury last time ,staying on well in closing stages .Looks open to improvement over this 10 furlong trip . 

VERDICT : BALMORAL CASTLE looks solid here after running promising fourth,in much stronger race at Newbury last time.Should come on for that run, first since September .Looks to have ideal conditions here, and can land this class 4 handicap .Odds around 7-2 look fair value .

Franco's Secret looks the main danger after finishing eyecatching fifth at Newbury last time ,though has bit to find with Balmoral Castle on that form ,still looks open to improvement over this trip .

BALMORAL CASTLE 4.00 WINDSOR 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 7-2 CORALS*BETVICTOR*
(THIRD SP 4-1 LOSS £10.00  )