Saturday, March 28, 2015

1.55 Meydan UAE DERBY (Sat 28th March )

Saturday see's the start of flat turf season at Doncaster,though that looks very competitive card and very difficult to find any suitable betting opportunities .

The main interest  on Saturday is the big World Cup meeting at Meydan featuring five group one races .Going concentrate on one supporting races the G2 UAE Derby at 1.55

1.55 MEYDAN 1MILE 1F 110YDS UAE DERBY G2 DIRT :
10 Runners declared for UAE Derby on the dirt at Meydan .This looks decent group 2 contest for three year olds .The three main contenders look to be Mubtaahij , Golden Barows & Maftool .

MUBTAAHIJ : Big improver since switching to the dirt ,winning 3 out 4 at this years carnival .The only defeat came in UAE 2000 guineas when beaten head by Maftool .Looked well suited to this longer trip when winning listed race over C&D last time .Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

GOLDEN BAROWS : Unbeaten on the dirt winning 3 out 3 over 1 mile at Toyko ,including listed race last time .Not easy to weigh up the Japanese dirt form ,though looks progressive sort who looks open to improvement .

MAFTOOL :Useful sort winning 3 from 7 ,including winning the group three Somerville stakes at Newmarket over 7F .Returned to form last time winning UAE 2000 Guineas over 1 mile.However there has to be doubts about this longer trip .

VERDICT : MUBTAAHIJ looks very solid here, having won three out four on dirt at Meydan and looked well suited to this longer trip when bolting up in listed race over C&D last time .Odds around 11-4 look very fair value .In race lacking strength in depth .

Golden Barows looks the main danger on his Japanese form ,though never easy to weigh up far east dirt runners ,and still has stamina to prove over this longer trip ,

MUBTAAHIJ 1.55 MEYDAN 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 11-4 HILLS*
(WINNER SP 9-4JF PROFIT £343.00 / 3.43 )


  

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

3.00 Lingfield 1 mile handicap (Wednesday 25th March )

On Wednesday we go to Surrey for 1 mile 0-55 handicap on poly track at Lingfield .

3.00 LINGFIELD 1 MILE (0-55) HANDICAP CLASS 6:
8 runners go to post for low grade class 6 handicap on poly track at Lingfield .The three main contenders look to be HENRY GRACE , SKIDBY MILL & WELSH INLET .

HENRY GRACE :Been in good form recently ,winning 1 mile class 7 handicap at Kempton in January off mark 47 .Just touched last time in 1 mile handicap at Kempton off mark 52,Looks closely matched with Skidby Mill at the weights .

SKIDBY MILL :Consistent type and Dual course & distance winner at Lingfield.Won 1 mile handicap at Kempton in February beating Henry Grace by nose .Finished placed on last two starts, both at Lingfield .Should go well with George Baker back in the plate .

WELSH INLET :Won twice on turf last season at Salisbury and Brighton ,though not as good on the All Weather 2 wins from 51 .Will be suited returning to this longer trip ,though has bit to find with Skidby Mill on earlier form .Each-way claims.

VERDICT : SKIDBY MILL goes well here at Lingfield and looks fairly handicapped off mark 55.George Baker is reunited with horse and looks significant jockey booking having won on the horse at Kempton back in February .Odds around 3-1 look fair value in weak looking handicap.

Henry Grace looks the main danger ,though is creeping up the weights,racing off 8LB higher mark since his last win, and all his form has been at Kempton .

SKIDBY MILL 3.00 LINGFIELD
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365*, BETVICTOR* 
(WINNER SP 3-1 PROFIT £180.00 / 1.80 PTS ) 



Friday, March 06, 2015

(Saturday 7th March) 1.10 Meydan Mahaab Al Shimaal (G3) Dirt

On Saturday we go to Dubai for decent looking group three sprint on the dirt at Meydan .

1.10 MEYDAN 6F MAHAAB AL SHIMAAL (DIRT) (GROUP 3) :
9 runners go to post for quality looking 6 furlong group three contest at MEYDAN,the three main contenders look to be KRYPTON FACTOR , FARMAH & SPEED HAWK .

KRYPTON FACTOR : Won this race and G1 Golden Shaheen at Meydan back in 2012 . Looked back to his best finishing close second ,behind the useful Reynaldothewizard in G3 over C&D , earlier last month .Should go well from decent draw in stall 2 .

FARMAH :Improving filly ,showed some useful form on turf in France & Italy last season winning listed and group three contest .Looks open to plenty improvement this season and looks major player if handling the dirt ,

SPEED HAWK : Consistent sort ,winning three from 14 , been running consistently at Meydan.Finished fair third behind Reynaldothewizard last time in G3 contest .Should be thereabouts ,though has to reverse form with Krypton Factor .

VERDICT : KRYPTON FACTOR looks solid here after finishing good second last time in similar G3 race over course & distance .Has good record at Meydan and looks well drawn for horse that races on the pace .Odds around 4-1 looks fair value .

Farmah looks the obvious danger if reproducing her turf form ,though has to prove she can handle the dirt .

KRYPTON FACTOR 1.10 MEYDAN
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 SKYBET*
(UNPLACED SP 5-2 LOSS 1.00 PT )