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Thursday, September 18, 2014

Friday 19th September Dubai Duty Free Cup Listed Stakes bet

On Friday we have decent looking card from Newbury ,with the feature race the 7 furlong Dubai Duty Free Cup .

4.40 NEWBURY 7F DUBAI DUTY FREE CUP (LISTED STAKES)
11 runners declared for decent looking 7 furlong listed stakes for three year olds and upwards .The three main contenders look to be Absolutely So , Safety Check & Lady Lara

ABSOLUTELY SO : Progressive 4 year old colt, winning 4 from 11.Been in good form this season winning class two 7 furlong handicap by 3.5 lenghs at Goodwood in May off mark 92.Produced career best effort last time ,winning competitive 7 furlong listed race at York, in good style beating Subsequent G2 winner Glory Awaits .Obvious claims in similar looking listed contest .

SAFETY CHECK :Decent three year old colt, with good strike rate on turf, five wins & three seconds from 12 starts .Bounced back to form at the end July ,winning 7 furlong handicap at Goodwood off mark 96 .Ran very creditable fourth in 32 Red handicap stakes off mark 101 next time, finishing fast from off the pace in hot looking handicap at Goodwood behind Almargo .Returned too winning ways last time winning 7 furlong handicap at Ascot off mark 101 .Should go well with ideal conditions .

LADY LARA : Consistent three year old filly ,though has poor strike rate (1 win from 12 starts) However has been contesting some quality group and listed races this season,including finishing placed in two 1 mile listed races at York & Haydock . Finished good third in 9 furlong G3 contest at York last time behind the useful Custom Cut .Each-way claims returning to listed company,though drop in trip has to be concern.

VERDICT : Absolutely So will be popular here after winning in listed company last time at York  ,and should go close if reproducing that form,though has yet to prove as effective on quick ground.

SAFETY CHECK has excellent record over 7 furlongs on fast ground (3 out 4) and can land this listed contest. Has been in top form in recent weeks, winning two class 2 handicaps . Odds around 4-1 look very fair value .


SAFETY CHECK 4.40 NEWBURY 
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365,LADBROKES,BETVICTOR.HILLS
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00) 






1 comment:

  1. Hi Jerry,

    Hope is going ok with you - you've gone quiet. Always here if I can be of help.

    Best wishes,
    Jason

    ReplyDelete