Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Wednesday 20th November Stallions Hyde Listed Stakes


    (Tullius can return to winning ways in the days feature race at Kempton)


Going back to Saturday disappointing result with HITCHENS finishing unplaced in 6 furlong listed race at Lingfield for £100.00 loss on the race.

No real excuses there as the race was run at very fast pace ,that should have suited Hitchens though he never really picked up in closing stages finishing sixth beaten just over three lenghs behind the the Jeremy Noseda trained Valbchek who won in course record time .

The last couple of bets have been slightly disappointing ,though saying that we are still nicely in profit for the month with £531 profit with 4 winners from 7 bets .Hopefully we can return to winning ways this week .

6.30 KEMPTON  1 MILE STALLIONS HYDE LISTED STAKES: 
Moving onto Wednesday we have decent looking 1 mile listed race on poly track at Kempton .11 runners declared for Stallion Hyde listed stakes.The two that stand out on official handicap figures are :Graphic & Tullius .

GRAPHIC : Dual course winner at Kempton,with career record 6 wins from 21 starts .Big improver since August winning 4 out 5 handicaps ,including winning three class two handicaps .Impressive winner last time winning 1 mile handicap at Nottingham on soft ground beating Breton Rock by 4 lenghs off mark 102 .Steps up into listed company for first time,though with handicap rating of 110 ,looks well up to winning in this grade .

TULLIUS : Useful 5-Y-0 gelding winning 7 from 17 starts.Big improver in 2012 when joining Andrew Balding winning 4 out 5 ,including winning two listed races and group three Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury, only defeat came in group two summer mile at Ascot finishing 1 lengh third to Fanunalter .Returned last month after 14 month lay off ,though could only manage 10th of 13 in group three Darley Stakes at Newmarket .However bounced back to form last time finishing close third in very strong 1 mile listed race at Newmarket behind the useful mudlark Penitent .Has good record on poly track 2 out 3 ,looks to hold obvious claims .

VERDICT : Graphic has highest BHA rating of 110 and will be popular after winning  4 of last 5 starts ,though is stepping up in class and faces his stiffest task to date.Has to be respected ,though looks no great value at top price 7-4

TULLIUS has solid form in this grade ,after winning two listed races and group three last season .Looked back to his best last time at Newmarket when only beaten half lengh behind the useful mudlark Penitent .4-1 with BET365 quickly disappeared on Tuesday evening ,though 3-1 still represents fair value with Ladbrokes 

Of the others Galician has each-way claims after finishing close second in fillies listed race at Lingfield last time , though will still need to improve to take this stronger looking  race .

TULLIUS 6.30 KEMPTON 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 LADBROKES*
(UNPLACED SP 5-2 LOSS £100.00)

Best odds guarantee*





Saturday, November 16, 2013

Saturday 16th November Golden Rose Stakes Bet !!!

On Saturday we have some top quality action over the jumps at Cheltenham,though for blogs main bet we got to the All Weather at Lingfield for good looking 6 furlong listed race at 3.10

3.10 LINGFIELD 6 FURLONG GOLDEN ROSE LISTED STAKES:
11 runners go to post for competitive looking 6 furlong listed race on poly track at Lingfield .The three main contenders : Hitchens, Ballista & Hawkeyethenoo .

HITCHENS : C&D winner at Lingfield won this race in 2010 .Been in fair form this season winning twice,including group three at Curragh & Listed race at Chester .Slightly disappointing on his last two starts in group company ,though will be suited returning to listed company .

BALLISTA : Inconsistent front runner ,though useful on his day, won this race last year beating Lady's First by 2 lenghs, making all .Won conditions race at Chester in May again making all to beat Masamah .Been disappointing on two of last three starts, though always dangerous when getting easy lead .

HAWKEYETHENOO : Returned to form last time finishing close second in hot handicap at Doncaster in October off mark 105 .Also finished creditable fourth in G1 sprint cup at Haydock in September ,though hasn't won since winning Stewards Cup in 2012 .

VERDICT :  HITCHENS should go well here returning to listed company.Also goes well on poly track, should get the race run to suit with three confirmed front runners in the race .Looks over priced at 8-1 with Stan James & William Hills

Of the other last years winner Barista has to be respected ,though is likely to get taken on for lead with both Tangerine Trees & Take Cover being confirmed front runners .

Hawkeyethenoo has some decent form on turf and can't be ruled out  ,though is unproven on poly track 0 from 3 and is on losing run 13 races .

HITCHENS  3.10 LINGFIELD 
0.50 PTS WIN @ 8-1 STAN JAMES* & WILLIAM HILLS* 
0.50 PTS PLACE @ 3.20 BETFAIR# 
(UNPLACED SP 7-1 LOSS £100.00 ) 

Best price guarantee*
If not matched pre race keep at in play #

Saturday, November 09, 2013

Saturday 9th November Wentworth Listed Stakes Bet !!

On Final day flat season we have very competitive card at Doncaster with some very big fields . Going concentrate on 6 furlong listed race at 2.25 .

2.25 DONCASTER 6F WENTWORTH LISTED STAKES :
19 runners declared for very competitive 6 furlong listed race on soft ground .The three main contenders : Jack Dexter , Eton Rifles & Highland Colori .

JACK DEXTER : Improving 4 year old, winning 7 from 18 starts ,goes particularly well on soft ground .Won twice this season ,including 6 furlong G3  at Newcastle in June  .Produced career best effort last time finishing close second in G2 champions sprint at Ascot behind Slade Power .Obvious claims with this drop in class .

ETON RIFLES : Decent 8 year old sprinter winning 8 from 33 starts .Won this race last year in good style beating Ultrasonic.Made highly promising return to action last month just getting touched off by Steps in 5 furlong listed race at Ascot.Also has excellent record in listed company over 6 furlongs winning 4 out 6 and Soft ground conditions will suit .

HIGHLAND COLORI : Been in great form this season winning four times ,has career record 9 wins from 25 starts .Won Ayr Gold Cup in great style in September off mark 104 with Jack Dexter back in third .Seems to act on any ground and effective at 6 or 7 furlongs .

VERDICT : Last years winner ETON RIFLES looks to have plenty in his favour here after finishing close second in good 5 furlong Listed race at Ascot last time . The return to 6 furlongs will suit and will relish testing ground conditions .Odds around  6-1 look very fair value .

Highland Colori has been great form recently winning 3 from last 4 starts and rates as main danger with conditions to suit .

Jack Dexter takes big drop in class ,though faces no easy task trying concede 6LB and is far from certain to reverse Ayr Gold Cup form with Highland Colori on these terms . 


ETON RIFLES 2.25 DONCASTER 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365.CORALS.WILLIAM HILLS  1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(UNPLACED SP 5-1 LOSS £100.00)

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Tuesday, November 05, 2013

Tuesday 5th November Group three bet !!!

On Tuesday we some top quality action in France at Maisons-Laffette with three group races .Going concentrate on the group three Prix De Seine Et-Oise over 6 furlongs .

10 runners declared for good looking 6 furlong group three contest on heavy ground .The three main contenders : Myasun , Catcall & Dibajj 

2.55 MAISONS-LAFFETTE 6F PRIX DE SEINE GROUP THREE :
MYASUN : Decent 6-Y-0 sprinter, winning 10 from 28 starts,goes well here at Maison-Laffette ,including winning this race last year on heavy ground .Won group three contest over 6 furlongs at Deauville in August .Ran a lot better than finishing position suggest last time ,when finishing 8 of 20 in group one Prix D Le 'Abbaye over 5 furlongs ,finishing strongly after missing the break.The return to 6 furlongs on heavy ground will suit 

CATCALL : Very consistent 4-Y-0 gelding, winning 3 from 10 starts .Won twice this season including in group three company at Longchamp in May .Produced career best effort last time when finishing close second in group one Prix D Le 'Abbaye behind Mareek .Should go well dropping back in class .

DIBAJJ :Improving 3-Y-0 sprinter,winning 3 from 10 starts ,dead heated 1st in 5 furlong group three contest at Longchamp in September ,finishing just ahead of Catcall .also finished close third behind Myasun in 6 furlong group three contest at Deaville in August .No show in Prix D Le ' Abbaye last time finishing 10th of 20 .Should be thereabouts ,though has bit to find with both Myasun & Catcall .


VERDICT : Last years winner MYASUN  makes plenty each-way appeal here returning to 6 furlongs on heavy ground .Has good record at track and can reverse form with Catcall over this longer trip .Odds 5-1 with Paddy Power look good each/way value .

Catcall  looks the obvious danger after finishing second in Prix D Le 'Abbaye last time ,though odds of 11-8 look poor value, and his best form has been over five furlongs  .

MYASUN 2.55 MAISON-LAFFETTE 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 5-1 PADDY POWER 

*Meeting abandoned industrial action.Typical bloody French* 


Sunday, November 03, 2013

Fast start to November !!!


Excellent weekend for the blog with four winners from 5 bets (4-1),(2-1) (11-10) (9-2) .Starting on Friday with Pearl of Africa in 1 mile Cooley listed race at Dundalk winning  @ 4-1 for £240 profit .

On Saturday we had four bets in Breeders Cup at Santa Anita .Dank looked very solid bet @ 2-1 in Filly & Mare for Sir Michael Stoute & Ryan Moore .Dank had to dig deep in closing stages ,though battled well to win by half lengh for £200 profit .

The next bet was in Breeders Cup turf on Point Of Entry each-way @ 5-1 ,though could only manage fourth behind A P O 'Brien trained Magician . Loss of £100.00

Wise Dan at @ 11-10 in Breeders Cup turf mile looked very strong bet having won much stronger race last year, after stumbling at start had plenty on at halfway , though came with strong run in straight and won quite cosily in the end for £110 profit.

The feature race the Breeders Cup classic looked quite competitive race .Mucho Macho Man looked to have good each-way chance @ 9-2 ,after finishing close second in race  last year.In thrilling finish Mucho Macho Man ,just held on by nose and head from Will Take Charge & Declaration Of War for tidy £281.00 profit on the race .

Its been good start to November with £731 profit .Hopefully we can continue the good run next week, on the final week of  flat turf season .







Saturday, November 02, 2013

Saturday 2nd November Breeders Cup Preview with four Bets




Just quick preview of four main races from breeders cup .(Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Turf) (Breeders Cup Turf ) (Breeders Cup Mile ) (Breeders Cup Classic) 

7.43 SANTA ANITA 10F BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE TURF:
10 runners declared for Filly & Mare turf over 10 furlongs on firm ground .The three main contenders : Dank , Tiz Flirtatious & Marketing Mix .

DANK : Progressive filly for Sir Michael Stoute ,winning 3 out 4 this season ,including winning group two Kilboy Estate stakes at Curragh in July  .Followed that with impressive performance in grade one Beverly D Stakes at Arlington beating Gifted Girl by over 4 lenghs . Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

TIZ FLIRTATIOUS : Decent American five year old mare .Winning 5 from 9 starts,including winning four times here at Santa Anita .Won grade one Rodeo Dive stakes in September over C&D beating Marketing Mix by head .

MARKETING MIX :Won 9 from 18 starts. Finished good second in this race last year behind Zagora .Won twice this season,including grade one Gamely Stakes at Hollywood Park .Looks closely matched with old rival Tiz Flirtatious .

VERDICT : DANK stands out here after winning grade one Beverly D Stakes last time in impressive style, with Marketing Mix well held in fourth .The fast ground will suit and should be difficult to beat .Looks solid bet at around 2-1 .

Tiz Flirtatious looks main danger, has good record here at Santa Anita 4 out 6  and looks to have each/way claims at around 7-1 .
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10.22 SANTA ANITA 12 FURLONG BREEDERS CUP TURF: 
12 runners declared for Breeders Cup turf over 12 furlongs .The three main contenders : The Fugue ,Point Of Entry & Magician 

THE FUGUE : High class 4 year old filly ,winning 5  from 12 starts ,including three group one races .Been better than ever this season winning last two starts ,including the Irish Champion Stakes at Curragh in September.Should go well with conditions to suit 

POINT OF ENTRY : Five time grade one winner in America, winning 7 from 9 starts .Finished unlucky second in this race last year behind Little Mike,when not getting very clear run in the race .Been in good form this season winning both starts at Belmont & Gulfstream .

MAGICIAN :Won 3 from 7 starts ,including the Irish 2000 guineas back in May .Big disappointment when finishing last of 9 in St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot in June .Will need to bounce back ,though is still lightly raced and could improve over this longer trip .

VERDICT: The Fugue will be popular here after beating the colts in Irish Champion stakes at Curragh last time and has ground conditions in her favour .However she was beaten in filly & Mare turf last year after getting no luck in running,though this looks stronger race .Has to respected ,though odds around 9-4 look poor value .

POINT OF ENTRY has done little wrong winning five grade one races and finished good second in this race last year .Has some useful form this season ,including beating Dubai World Cup winner Animal Kingdom in February .Odds around 9-2 look good each/way value .

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11.40 SANTA ANITA BREEDERS CUP MILE :
10 runners declared for Breeders Cup turf mile .The three main contenders: Wise Dan ,Silver Max & Olympic Glory .

WISE DAN :Highest rated horse in North America ,winning 17 from 24 starts ,including winning 7 grade one races .Has fantastic record on turf winning 10 from 11 starts .Impressive winner of this race last year beating Animal Kingdom 

SILVER MAX :Improving four year old American colt ,winning 9 from 15 starts.Been in good form this season winning last three starts ,including beating Wise Dan in grade one on poly track at Keenland last time .

OLYMPIC GLORY : Decent three year old colt for Richard Hannon ,winning 6 from 10 starts .Impressive winner of group one Queen Elizabeth stakes at Ascot by 5 lenghs last time on heavy ground .

VERDICT :Last years winner WISE DAN will take plenty beating here after winning much stronger race last year .Has fantastic record on turf winning his last 9 starts .11-10 looks good value bet.

Of the others Olympic Glory best form is on heavy ground and this tight track on firm ground looks big concern . 

Silver Max is improving with each start and should be in frame,though has plenty to find with Wise Dan on turf form . 
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12.35 SANTA ANITA 10 FURLONGS BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
12 runners declared for feature race the Breeders Cup classic .Three main contenders : Mucho Macho Man ,Fort Larned & Game On Dude .

MUCHO MACHO MAN : Won 6 of 19 starts ,finished close second in this race last year behind Fort Larned . Returned to form last time winning grade one Awesome Again Stakes over 9 furlongs at Santa Anita .Should go well for Gary Stevens.

FORT LARNED : Game winner of this race last year ,making all running beating Mucho Macho Man in close finish .Won twice this season at Churchill Downs,including the grade one Stephen Foster handicap by 6 lenghs .Should make bold bid from the front .

GAME ON DUDE : Disappointing favourite in this race last year only finishing seventh behind Fort Larned ,hardly put foot wrong since winning his last six starts .Won seven grade one races and also has good record at Santa Anita with 7 wins .

VERDICT : MUCHO MACHO MAN has been lightly raced this season ,though returned to his best form last time at Santa Anita .Should get the race run to suit here and can reverse last years form with Fort Larned .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value 

 Last years winner Fort Larned has to be respected if getting on the lead ,though is likely to be taken on by Game on Dude in early stages and both could be vulnerable in the closing stages .

===================================================

SATURDAY 2ND NOVEMBER BREEDERS CUP  BETS :

DANK 7.43 :BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE
1PT WIN @ 2-1 STAN JAMES * 
(WINNER SP 6-4 PROFIT £200.00 )

POINT OF ENTRY :10.22 BREEDERS CUP TURF
0.50 PTS EACH/WAY @ 5-1 LADBROKES 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00)

WISE DAN : 11.40 BREEDERS CUP MILE
1PT WIN @ 11/10 888 SPORT  
(WINNER SP 4-5 PROFIT £110.00) 

MUCHO MACHO MAN : 12.35 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
0.50 PTS EACH/WAY @ 9-2 STAN JAMES* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(WINNER SP 4-1 PROFIT £281.00)

TOTAL PROFIT = £491.00


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Friday, November 01, 2013

Friday 1st November Cooley Listed Stakes Bet !!!



(Pearl Of Africa reunited with Johnny Murtagh looks good each-way bet in 1 mile Cooleys Fillies listed stakes at Dundalk)

14 runners declared for 1 mile listed race for fillies on the poly track.This looks decent fillies Listed race.The two contenders that stand out are Lily's Angel & Pearl Of Africa 

7.10 DUNDALK 1 MILE COOLEY FILLIES LISTED STAKES :
LILY'S ANGEL : Likeable filly , won 10 races from 25 starts .Been in good form this season winning three times including winning group three Chartwell Fillies Stakes over 7 furlongs at Lingfield in May .Finished excellent second last time in group one 1 mile Matron stakes behind La Collina .Obvious claims with big drop in class .

PEARL Of AFRICA : Improving filly ,landed hatrick in July .Creditable efforts on her last two starts in group company .Finishing good fourth behind the useful Belle De Crecy in group two Blandford Stakes last time at Curragh .Should go well in listed company .

VERDICT : Lily's Angel will be very popular here, after finishing second in group one Matron Stakes last time and is unbeaten on all weather surfaces 4 out 4 ,including winning this race last year .However has 5lb penalty and is only 1lb clear on official figures and doesn't look great value at even money .

PEARL OF AFRICA reunited with Johnny Murtagh looks the solid each/way bet against the short price favourite .The return to 1 mile will suit, having won three times over distance ,including over C&D here at Dundalk .Odds around 4-1 look very fair each/way value .

PEARL OF AFRICA 7.10 DUNDALK 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 BET365* 
(WINNER SP 3-1 PROFIT +£240.00 )

Best price guarantee*