Friday, October 11, 2013

Saturday 12th October Future Champions Day Bet

On Saturday we have an early start. I will be making the 70 mile trip form Lowestoft too Newmarket for Future champions day .The weather forecast doesn't look great, though hopefully it wont be too bad when the racing gets under way at 2.05 .

Newmarket stage a cracking seven race card with 6 group races plus the Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap on Rowley mile course .

Going concentrate on the first race on the card the 7 furlong group two Dubai Challenge Stakes for my main bet of the day .

10 runners declared for 7 furlong group two contest ,with plenty rain forecast ground is likely to be on the soft side . This looks quite competitive  race with the four main contenders being .Darwin ,Lockwood, Amarillo & Fiesolana 

DARWIN :Progressive 3-Y-0, winning three from five starts ,including beating Gordon Lord Byron in 7 furlong group three contest in July on fast ground .Slightly disappointing last time when beaten odds on favourite in 1 mile G3 contest at Curragh .

LOCKWOOD :In good form winning two of last three starts ,including winning G3 Supreme stakes at Goodwood in August .Also finished good second last time in G2 Park Stakes at Doncaster.Goes well on soft ground and will suited by any more rain .

FIESOLANA :Improving Irish filly ,Already won four times this season ,including two G3 races .Finished fair fifth last time in G1 Matron stakes at Curragh over 1 mile .Seems to handle any ground and should go well dropping into G2 company .

VERDICT : Darwin looked good when beating Gordon Lord Byron at Curragh in July ,though may been flattered by that result ,and was disappointing last time when beaten odds on favourite .Soft ground conditions would also be concern .

LOCKWOOD has been in top form recently and looks to have ideal conditions here 7 furlongs on easy ground .Finished good second last time behind the useful filly Irish Filly Viztoria in group 2  at Doncaster .Odds around 9-2 looks decent each-way value .

Of the others Fiesolana has to be respected after showing some decent form in top fillies races this season and German raider Amarillo could also go well if reproducing his early season form ,which includes finishing second to Moonlight Cloud .

LOCKWOOD 2.05 NEWMARKET 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 9-2 CORALS 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 
(UNPLACED SP 7-2 LOSS £100 )

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Sunday, October 06, 2013

Sunday 6TH October Prix Da La Foret Bet

Disappointing result on Friday with Dark Crusader running an absolute stinker in 1 mile 6F listed race at Ascot .After being heavily supported in market going off the 5-4 fav from recommended 7-2 (25P IN £ RULE 4)

Dark Crusader seemed to have ideal conditions,however after pulling hard in messy race she was soon beaten finishing very disappointing last of 6 for £100 loss on the race .

No bets on Saturday as the racing looked very tough at Ascot & Newmarket . 

Moving on to Sunday we have some top quality racing in Paris with the highlight being Europe's premier race the Prix De L ' Arc De Triomphe .The Japanese trained Oferve looks the one to beat after getting mugged in the race last year ,though odds around 9-4 don't rate great value in such competitive  race .Treve & Intello should also both run well at fair odds .

Looking at the other races on the card the G1 Prix  Da La Foret at 4.40 looks the most interesting race on the card.

4.40 LONGCHAMP 7 FURLONG PRIX DA LA FORET GROUP ONE :
11 runners declared for G1 Prix Da La Foret over 7 furlongs on ground described as soft .This looks cracking race with two main contenders Gordon Lord Byron & Moonlight Cloud . 

GORDON LORD BYRON :Won this race last year in good style on heavy ground .Also impressive winner of G1 Haydock sprint cup last time beating Slade Power by 3 lenghs .Well suited to soft ground and should go well for Johnny Murtagh .

MOONLIGHT CLOUD :Unbeaten this season winning all three starts ,including beating Gordon Lord Byron in G1 Prix Maurice De Gheest in August by 2.5 lenghs .Won the 1 mile G1 Jacques Le Marois last time at Deauville beating Olympic Glory by short head .Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

VERDICT : Moonlight Cloud is going be very popular here after beating the best colts in 1 mile Jacques Le Marois last time at Deauville ,though looks very short in market and there looks no value at around 8-11 mark 

Last years winner GORDON LORD BYRON has to reverse form with Moonlight Cloud ,though wasn't at his best that day,however looked right back to his best last time when impressive winner G1 Haydock sprint cup .Has ideal conditions today 7 furlongs on soft ground .At odds of 7-2 looks rock solid each-way bet against the short price favourite ,especially with the bookmakers going 1/4 odds 1-2-3 .

Of the others Viztoria looks an improving filly and was impressive winner of  G2 OBLG Park Stakes at Doncaster last time, and has very good record on softish ground ,though will need to show lot more improvement to take this group 1 contest .

GORDON LORD BYRON 4.40 LONGCHAMP 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET365* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 
(SECOND SP 10-3 LOSS £6.25 )

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