Thursday, September 19, 2013

Friday 20th September Dubai Duty Free Cup Listed stakes

Disappointing result on Wednesday with Hippy Hippy Shake ,running a stinker in 10 furlong John Musker trophy listed race at Yarmouth finishing last of 11 for £100.00 loss.

Not sure why Hippy Hippy Shake ran such poor race as seem to have ideal conditions, though most disappointing effort all the same.

Moving onto Friday Newbury stage decent looking card with there feature race being 7 furlong Dubai Duty Free cup listed race at 4.50 .

4.50 NEWBURY 7F DUBAI DUTY FREE CUP LISTED RACE :
9 runners declared for 7 furlong listed race on soft ground . Three main contenders look to be Firebeam , Magic City & Tawhid .

FIREBEAM : Finished second in conditions race at Haydock last time ,though has been disappointing this season .However should be suited by this softer ground and had some decent form last season in group company .

MAGIC CITY : Won four out last five starts in handicap company .Good winner of class 2 handicap at Goodwood last time off mark 97 . Takes step up in class and has to prove he can handle soft ground conditions .

TAWHID : Consistent sort,impressive winner of group three Horris Hill over C&D at Newbury last season on heavy ground , been running consistently this season without winning ,finishing placed in group two & three company .Will be suited by ground conditions and  dropping into listed company .

VERDICT : TAWHID is strong fancy here dropping into listed company, with ground conditions in his favour , having won the Horris Hill stakes over C&D here last October on heavy ground . Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor also has excellent record in the race .Odds around 5-2 look very fair value .

Magic City has to be respected having landed the hatrick last time , though has poor record on ground softer than good 1 out 6 and will need career best effort to win in listed company .

Of the others Firebeam had some useful form for William Haggas back in 2011 and has each/way claims with ground conditions likely to suit . 

TAWHID 4.50 NEWBURY 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 5-2 BET365*
(WINNER SP 15-8 PROFIT +£300.00)

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Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Wednesday 18TH September John Musker listed stakes bet .

On Wednesday my local track Yarmouth stage there feature race of the season. The John Musker listed stakes for fillies & mares over 10 furlong,s and the race looks worth having small interest .

11 runners declared for John Musker trophy at Yarmouth on ground described as good/ soft .This years race looks decent contest with the three main contenders being Hippy Hippy Shake ,Rippons & Shuruq .

3.10 YARMOUTH 1MILE 2F JOHN MUSKER LISTED STAKES :
HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE : Good winner of 10 furlong listed race at York in July.Followed that with another good effort last time finishing second in 10 furlong listed race at Salisbury behind Mango Diva .No problems with ground conditions .

RIPPONS : Progressive filly winning all four starts .Won 9 furlong handicap at Goodwood last time off mark 86.Will need more improvement to win in listed company,though can't be ruled out over this longer trip .

SHURUQ : Group three winner at Meydan in UAE Oaks in February on tepeta surface, returned to form last time finishing third in group three over 1 mile at Sandown .Unproven on easy ground ,though the return to 10 furlongs will suit .

VERDICT :  The unbeaten Rippons will be popular here and looks open to more improvement,however this is big step up in class and odds around 15-8 look far too short .

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE has to concede weight all round ,though has solid winning form in listed company and will be suited by ground conditions .Also goes well for Keiren Fallon who won twice on horse last season .Odds around 4-1 look good value .

Of the others Shuruq has highest handicap rating 109 and should also go well having won in higher grade ,though has yet to win on turf and is unproven on ground conditions.

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE 3.10 YARMOUTH 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 PADDY POWER*, BETVICTOR*
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00)

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