Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Wednesday 14th August Listed Stakes Bet !!!

Good Start for the blog in August with two winners over weekend for £422 /4.22 profit.Having taken six week break from the blog this summer after some disappointing results.It's good to come back to some kind of form with couple winners.Hopefully we can continue the good run this week .

On Wednesday the feature race is 10 furlong listed race at Salisbury on ground described as good/firm .

10 runners declared for 10 furlong fillies listed race .This looks competitive race with the three main contenders being Hippy Hippy Shake ,Bana Wu & Rock Choir .

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE : C&D winner ,won 10 furlong listed race at York last time beating Lady Nouf .Hard to weigh up that form, with odds on favourite Albasharah unseating rider early in the race .Faces no easy task conceding weight all round .

BANA WU : Finished good third last time in 10 furlong listed handicap at Royal Ascot behind the useful Forgotten Voice off mark 99 ,that form has been boosted by Forgotten Voice winning group 3 contest next time at Goodwood.

ROCK CHOIR : Fast improving three year old ,bolted up in 9 furlong maiden at Goodwood & 10 furlong class three handicap at Newbury last time off mark 82.Open to plenty improvement after just four starts .

VERDICT : Rock Choir could be anything after bolting up in her last two starts ,though that last win came in class three handicap off mark 82 and takes big step up in class here into listed company .Has to be respected ,though little surprising she's been put in clear favourite at 5-2

On official handicap figures BANA WU is top rated on 102 and finished excellent third last time only beaten 3/4 lengh behind subsequent group three winner Forgotten Voice .That looks solid form and looks the one to beat if reproducing that form  .Odds around 4-1 look fair value .

Of the others Hippy Hippy Shake should be thereabouts after winning listed race at York ,though this looks much stronger listed race .

Mango Diva also has each/way possibilities if improving over this longer trip after finishing staying on  9th of 26 in 1 mile listed handicap at Royal Ascot last time .

(UNPLACED SP 9-2 LOSS £100.00)

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Sunday, August 11, 2013

Sunday 11th August Phoenix Sprint Stakes Bet

Nice to come back with winner on Saturday with Ihtimal winning in good style in Sweet Solera stakes, landing nice gamble 4-1 into 11-4 .Hopefully that will be the start of good run in August .

On Sunday we have very decent card from the Curragh ,including four group races .The feature race is group one Keeneland Phoenix Stakes ,though this not really betting race with odds on favourite War Command looking impossible to oppose .

The most interesting race on the card looks to be the group three Phoenix sprint stakes over 6 furlongs at 4.15

10 runners declared for this group three contest .On official handicap ratings this looks match between Sea Siren & Slade Power .

SEA SIREN : High quality sprinter in Australia winning three group one races in 2012 ,finished 8th of 18 in G1 Golden Jubilee stakes at Royal Ascot .Made no mistake on her first start for A P O'Brien ,when dropped in class winning 6 furlong listed race at Fairyhouse .Looks to hold obvious claims in this group three contest .

SLADE POWER: Fast improving 4-Y-0 ,won 5 furlong group three contest at Curragh in June beating Russian Soul .Followed that with career best effort finishing third in group one July Cup behind Lethal Force .Will be suited by this drop in class .

VERDICT : There looks little to choose between Sea Siren & Slade Power on there running in Golden Jubilee stakes at Royal Ascot in June. 

SLADE POWER has to concede weight all round ,though his third in group one July Cup at Newmarket  is best form on offer here and is just preferred over Sea Siren .Odds around 11-4 look fair value in race lacking strength in depth .

Sea Siren looks the obvious danger receiving 6LB after winning in good style at Fairyhouse last time ,though odds around 11-8 don't represent much value .

(WINNER SP 2-1 PROFIT +£172.00)
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