Friday, June 07, 2013

Saturday 8th June Listed Stakes Bet

Another very busy Saturday with six flat cards. Haydock Park staging the best quality card with two decent group three contests being the highlight.Going concentrate on the 7 furlong Timeform Jury group three stakes at 3.15 .


3.15 HAYDOCK 7F TIMEFORM JURY STAKES GROUP 3:
Eight runners declared for decent looking 7 furlong group three contest at Haydock Park .The main contenders look to be Eton Forever ,Pastoral Player & Red Jazz .

ETON FOREVER : Useful soft ground performer over 7 & 8 furlongs .Won decent 7 furlong listed race over C&D at Haydock in May beating the useful Gregorian .However fast ground is major concern having never won on ground this fast .

PASTORAL PLAYER : Won this race last year in good style beating Majestic Myles .Also showed some decent form last season in group two company finishing second twice . Should come on for first run of the season behind Eton Forever and will be suited by fast ground .

RED JAZZ : Consistent sort,though not the easiest horse to win with these days .Won 7 furlong listed race over C&D last May,though finished well behind Pastoral Player in this race last year . Ran fair third on seasonal reappearance behind Eton Forever .Should be thereabouts ,though more likely to be placed than win .

VERDICT : Eton Forever would take plenty of beating if reproducing last months C&D form when beating subsequent group three winner Gregorian ,though has poor record on ground this fast and looks worth taking on at around 5-2 .

Last years winner PASTORAL PLAYER looks to have ideal conditions here and can reverse form with Eton Forever on this much faster ground .Showed decent form last season at higher level and can take this race for second year running .Odds around 3-1 look good value .

SATURDAY 8TH JUNE GROUP THREE BET :
PASTORAL PLAYER 3.15 HAYDOCK 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BETFRED*
(SECOND SP 5-2 LOSS £40.00 (BEATEN SHORT HEAD )

Best price guarantee*




Thursday, June 06, 2013

Friday 7th June Listed Stakes Bet

This has been disappointing year for the blog after three winning years with profits of over £7600/76.00 Pts .Things haven't gone to plan in 2013.After slow start on the All Weather this winter the results haven't improved so far on the turf  .With nine point loss this year from 15 bets .

I have made changes to the blog this year and this has been mistake.The bets have suffered big time with some disappointing results .However I think I've discovered were I was going wrong and hopefully we can get back on track over the next few months .

Moving on to Friday we have decent looking five furlong listed race at Haydock Park's evening card .

8.15 HAYDOCK 5 FURLONG LISTED RACE CLASS 1
Eleven runners declared for the days feature race at Haydock ,this looks competitive sprint with the four main contenders being .Medicean Man ,Excelette, Jiroft & My Propeller .

MEDICEAN MAN : Won decent 5 furlong handicap at Meydan in January off mark 107 .Has the highest BHA rating 110 ,though not the most consistent filly and has struggled in listed company in the past .

EXCELLETE: Consistent filly, won this race last year beating Spirit Quartz by neck .Showed plenty useful form last season in listed company .Finished fair fourth on her seasonal reappearance in listed race at Bath 

MY PROPELLER :Finished good second on her seasonal reappearance in fillies listed race at Bath with Excellete 3/4 lengh behind in fourth .No show in group three contest at Newmarket last time ,though will be suited returning to listed company .

JIROFT : Had some useful form in Italy winning 8 races ,including in listed company .Ran close fifth  in Epsom dash handicap on the first start for Robert Cowell . Yet to race on fast ground ,though still looks interesting runner .

VERDICT : This looks competitive listed race on official handicap ratings .

Jiroft looks interesting runner on his Italian form and ran well on his first start in the UK ,though all his best form has been on soft ground . Odds around 4-1 look little short for horse unproven on very fast ground .

At the prices last years winner EXCELETTE looks fair value here at 5-1 ,has plenty solid form in listed company and ground conditions will also suit .Should come on for her reappearance run in April and looks solid each-way bet .

Of the other runners My Propeller looks best of the rest ,with Ryan Moore riding for first time looking interesting jockey booking and looks closely matched with Excellette on earlier form.

FRIDAY 7TH JUNE LISTED STAKES BET :
EXCELETTE 8.15 HAYDOCK 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 5-1 *BETVICTOR
(UNPLACED SP 6-1 LOSS £100)
Best price guarantee* 





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