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Saturday, May 11, 2013

Saturday 11th May Listed Stakes Bet

For second bet on Saturday we go to Nottingham for decent little 6 furlong listed race .On ground described as good .

3.55 NOTTINGHAM 6 FURLONG LISTED STAKES :  8 runners declared for interesting listed race over 6 furlongs .The three main contenders are Restiardargent ,Scream Blue Murder & Sound of Guns

RESTIARDARGENT :Useful French filly ,winning three times in 2011 for H A Pantall including two group races at Maisons-Laffitte. Looked little disappointing last season apart from finishing excellent third behind Black Caviar in Group one Diamond Jubilee stakes at Royal Ascot .Should go well dropping down in class on first start for William Haggas.

SCREAM BLUE MURDER :Lightly raced Irish filly .Won 5 furlong maiden in good style at Bellewstown in July .Finished good second  in 5 furlong listed race at Naas last month .Looks open to plenty improvement after just four starts .However seems well suited to soft ground 

SOUND OF GUNS :Had some useful form last season in group & listed company ,including finishing good third in group two Flying Childers at Doncaster behind the Richard Hannon trained Sir Prancealot. Ran a lot better than finishing position suggest in group three Neil Gwyn after getting repeatedly hampered .

VERDICT : Restiardargent on her first start for William Haggas, has to be respected and would take plenty beating if she can reproduce last seasons Royal Ascot form ,though apart from that race she looked disappointing last season .At the prices she looks no value at 7-4 .

SOUND OF GUNS looked an improving filly last season and had some solid form in group & listed company .Has plenty of speed and will be suited by the return to 6 furlongs ,after getting luckless run in Neil Gwyn at Newmarket last time .Odds around 3-1 look very fair value .

SATURDAY 11TH MAY LISTED STAKES BET:
SOUND OF GUNS 3.55 NOTTINGHAM
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365*.BETVICTOR*STAN JAMES*
(NON RUNNER )



Friday, May 10, 2013

Saturday 11th May Group Three bet

Another very busy Saturday with six flat cards .In this post I'm Going concentrate on the Group Three seven furlong Chartwell fillies stakes at Lingfield.

4.00 LINGFIELD 7F GROUP THREE CHARTWELL FILLIES STAKES :
At Lingfield we have decent looking 7 furlong fillies Group three contest .On official handicap ratings the three main contenders are Kendam, Lily's Angel & Ultrasonic .

KENDAM : Decent French filly ,though has poor strike rate 2 wins from 18 starts .Ran some decent races last season including finishing third in Group one Prix La De Foret in October .Finished fair second last time in 7 furlong conditions race at Longchamp last month .

LILY'S ANGEL : Been in great form since joining Ger Lyons winning five times from 7 starts .Back to winning form last time winning 1 mile listed race at Kempton .However was well beaten on both starts on the turf and has 0 from 7 record in group races .

ULTRASONIC : Improved filly since being fitted with hood 1222,including finishing second in three decent 6 furlong listed races .Looks open to plenty improvement over this longer .Should go well for in form Sir Michael Stoute stable .

VERDICT : French filly Kendam will be difficult to beat if she can reproduce last season's group form ,though not the easiest horse to win with, and all her best form has been on soft surface.

ULTRASONIC looks open to improvement this season and can improve past her two main rivals over this longer trip .In not the strongest looking group three contest ,3-1 looks very good value with Ladbrokes .

SATURDAY 11TH MAY GROUP THREE STAKES BET:
ULTRASONIC 4.00 LINGFIELD 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 LADBROKES  
(UNPLACED SP 7-4 LOSS £100.00)