Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Claiming Thoughts !!!

Since the start of the year the claiming races have been disappointing, with the lack of runners making it very difficult to find suitable betting opportunities.Trying to find any value in four and five runner races is never easy .

Trainers seem reluctant to run horses in the claiming races this year on All Weather, with nearly every race having under 6 runners.The main two reasons being the bad weather and very low prize money in claiming races.

Having specialized in the claiming races since December 2011 ,the profits have been satisfactory with £1524 profit from 68 bets and over 25% return on investment .However the first two months this year have been very poor with £617 / 6.17 pts loss.

I have to admit the start of the year has been bit of struggle,the bets haven't performed up to my normal standard ,though with there being only five bets this year the main problem has been finding any decent betting opportunities in the claimers  .

I have decided to make few changes to the blog before the start of the turf season in April.Hopefully in the mean time we can turn things around with few winners.

Moving onto Wednesday we have three claiming races ,though all three races look uncompetitive races with small fields .

The first claiming race the 10 furlong claiming stakes at Lingfield at 1.30 .Just three runners here for three year old claimer .Strictly on official handicap ratings this looks tight little race .

ITS ONLY BUSINESS  has been in great form winning 4 of last 5 starts and is unbeaten in claiming company 3 out 3 .Looks the one to beat if staying this longer trip.However backing Odds on shots that are unproven over the trip is not recommended .

The second claiming race the 5 furlong claiming stakes at 2.00 Lingfield with five runners declared . HARMOODY has been in good form recently winning twice at Wolverhampton and only just touched off in class 4 handicap over course & distance last time .Should be difficult to beat returning to claiming company .Odds around 11-8 look fair in this little field .

Over at Kempton we have 7 furlong claimer with 6 runners at 6.30 .HURRICANE SPIRIT has  great record in claiming company winning 4 out 5 ,and looks well treated at the weights.The only  concern is this shorter trip not won over 7 furlongs since December 2006.However is not short of pace and should cope with drop back in trip .Odds around 5-6 are about right in weak race .

No  bets for the blog today as I don't recommend  anything under 5-2 ,though both HARMOODY & HURRICANE SPIRIT look to have very solid chances.