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Saturday, November 02, 2013

Saturday 2nd November Breeders Cup Preview with four Bets



Just quick preview of four main races from breeders cup .(Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Turf) (Breeders Cup Turf ) (Breeders Cup Mile ) (Breeders Cup Classic) 

7.43 SANTA ANITA 10F BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE TURF:
10 runners declared for Filly & Mare turf over 10 furlongs on firm ground .The three main contenders : Dank , Tiz Flirtatious & Marketing Mix .

DANK : Progressive filly for Sir Michael Stoute ,winning 3 out 4 this season ,including winning group two Kilboy Estate stakes at Curragh in July  .Followed that with impressive performance in grade one Beverly D Stakes at Arlington beating Gifted Girl by over 4 lenghs . Obvious claims with conditions to suit .

TIZ FLIRTATIOUS : Decent American five year old mare .Winning 5 from 9 starts,including winning four times here at Santa Anita .Won grade one Rodeo Dive stakes in September over C&D beating Marketing Mix by head .

MARKETING MIX :Won 9 from 18 starts. Finished good second in this race last year behind Zagora .Won twice this season,including grade one Gamely Stakes at Hollywood Park .Looks closely matched with old rival Tiz Flirtatious .

VERDICT : DANK stands out here after winning grade one Beverly D Stakes last time in impressive style, with Marketing Mix well held in fourth .The fast ground will suit and should be difficult to beat .Looks solid bet at around 2-1 .

Tiz Flirtatious looks main danger, has good record here at Santa Anita 4 out 6  and looks to have each/way claims at around 7-1 .
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10.22 SANTA ANITA 12 FURLONG BREEDERS CUP TURF: 
12 runners declared for Breeders Cup turf over 12 furlongs .The three main contenders : The Fugue ,Point Of Entry & Magician 

THE FUGUE : High class 4 year old filly ,winning 5  from 12 starts ,including three group one races .Been better than ever this season winning last two starts ,including the Irish Champion Stakes at Curragh in September.Should go well with conditions to suit 

POINT OF ENTRY : Five time grade one winner in America, winning 7 from 9 starts .Finished unlucky second in this race last year behind Little Mike,when not getting very clear run in the race .Been in good form this season winning both starts at Belmont & Gulfstream .

MAGICIAN :Won 3 from 7 starts ,including the Irish 2000 guineas back in May .Big disappointment when finishing last of 9 in St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot in June .Will need to bounce back ,though is still lightly raced and could improve over this longer trip .

VERDICT: The Fugue will be popular here after beating the colts in Irish Champion stakes at Curragh last time and has ground conditions in her favour .However she was beaten in filly & Mare turf last year after getting no luck in running,though this looks stronger race .Has to respected ,though odds around 9-4 look poor value .

POINT OF ENTRY has done little wrong winning five grade one races and finished good second in this race last year .Has some useful form this season ,including beating Dubai World Cup winner Animal Kingdom in February .Odds around 9-2 look good each/way value .

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11.40 SANTA ANITA BREEDERS CUP MILE :
10 runners declared for Breeders Cup turf mile .The three main contenders: Wise Dan ,Silver Max & Olympic Glory .

WISE DAN :Highest rated horse in North America ,winning 17 from 24 starts ,including winning 7 grade one races .Has fantastic record on turf winning 10 from 11 starts .Impressive winner of this race last year beating Animal Kingdom 

SILVER MAX :Improving four year old American colt ,winning 9 from 15 starts.Been in good form this season winning last three starts ,including beating Wise Dan in grade one on poly track at Keenland last time .

OLYMPIC GLORY : Decent three year old colt for Richard Hannon ,winning 6 from 10 starts .Impressive winner of group one Queen Elizabeth stakes at Ascot by 5 lenghs last time on heavy ground .

VERDICT :Last years winner WISE DAN will take plenty beating here after winning much stronger race last year .Has fantastic record on turf winning his last 9 starts .11-10 looks good value bet.

Of the others Olympic Glory best form is on heavy ground and this tight track on firm ground looks big concern . 

Silver Max is improving with each start and should be in frame,though has plenty to find with Wise Dan on turf form . 
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12.35 SANTA ANITA 10 FURLONGS BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
12 runners declared for feature race the Breeders Cup classic .Three main contenders : Mucho Macho Man ,Fort Larned & Game On Dude .

MUCHO MACHO MAN : Won 6 of 19 starts ,finished close second in this race last year behind Fort Larned . Returned to form last time winning grade one Awesome Again Stakes over 9 furlongs at Santa Anita .Should go well for Gary Stevens.

FORT LARNED : Game winner of this race last year ,making all running beating Mucho Macho Man in close finish .Won twice this season at Churchill Downs,including the grade one Stephen Foster handicap by 6 lenghs .Should make bold bid from the front .

GAME ON DUDE : Disappointing favourite in this race last year only finishing seventh behind Fort Larned ,hardly put foot wrong since winning his last six starts .Won seven grade one races and also has good record at Santa Anita with 7 wins .

VERDICT : MUCHO MACHO MAN has been lightly raced this season ,though returned to his best form last time at Santa Anita .Should get the race run to suit here and can reverse last years form with Fort Larned .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value 

 Last years winner Fort Larned has to be respected if getting on the lead ,though is likely to be taken on by Game on Dude in early stages and both could be vulnerable in the closing stages .

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SATURDAY 2ND NOVEMBER BREEDERS CUP  BETS :

DANK 7.43 :BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE
1PT WIN @ 2-1 STAN JAMES * 
(WINNER SP 6-4 PROFIT £200.00 )

POINT OF ENTRY :10.22 BREEDERS CUP TURF
0.50 PTS EACH/WAY @ 5-1 LADBROKES 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 
(UNPLACED SP 4-1 LOSS £100.00)

WISE DAN : 11.40 BREEDERS CUP MILE
1PT WIN @ 11/10 888 SPORT  
(WINNER SP 4-5 PROFIT £110.00) 

MUCHO MACHO MAN : 12.35 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
0.50 PTS EACH/WAY @ 9-2 STAN JAMES* 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(WINNER SP 4-1 PROFIT £281.00)

TOTAL PROFIT = £491.00


Best price guarantee*

3 comments:

  1. Thanks Kevin ,yeah the Breeders Cup is normally lucky meeting for me :-)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Well done, Jerry. Excellent day's work.

    ReplyDelete