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Friday, October 11, 2013

Saturday 12th October Future Champions Day Bet

On Saturday we have an early start. I will be making the 70 mile trip form Lowestoft too Newmarket for Future champions day .The weather forecast doesn't look great, though hopefully it wont be too bad when the racing gets under way at 2.05 .

Newmarket stage a cracking seven race card with 6 group races plus the Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap on Rowley mile course .

Going concentrate on the first race on the card the 7 furlong group two Dubai Challenge Stakes for my main bet of the day .

10 runners declared for 7 furlong group two contest ,with plenty rain forecast ground is likely to be on the soft side . This looks quite competitive  race with the four main contenders being .Darwin ,Lockwood, Amarillo & Fiesolana 

DARWIN :Progressive 3-Y-0, winning three from five starts ,including beating Gordon Lord Byron in 7 furlong group three contest in July on fast ground .Slightly disappointing last time when beaten odds on favourite in 1 mile G3 contest at Curragh .

LOCKWOOD :In good form winning two of last three starts ,including winning G3 Supreme stakes at Goodwood in August .Also finished good second last time in G2 Park Stakes at Doncaster.Goes well on soft ground and will suited by any more rain .

FIESOLANA :Improving Irish filly ,Already won four times this season ,including two G3 races .Finished fair fifth last time in G1 Matron stakes at Curragh over 1 mile .Seems to handle any ground and should go well dropping into G2 company .

VERDICT : Darwin looked good when beating Gordon Lord Byron at Curragh in July ,though may been flattered by that result ,and was disappointing last time when beaten odds on favourite .Soft ground conditions would also be concern .

LOCKWOOD has been in top form recently and looks to have ideal conditions here 7 furlongs on easy ground .Finished good second last time behind the useful filly Irish Filly Viztoria in group 2  at Doncaster .Odds around 9-2 looks decent each-way value .

Of the others Fiesolana has to be respected after showing some decent form in top fillies races this season and German raider Amarillo could also go well if reproducing his early season form ,which includes finishing second to Moonlight Cloud .

LOCKWOOD 2.05 NEWMARKET 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 9-2 CORALS 1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 
(UNPLACED SP 7-2 LOSS £100 )

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