Thursday, November 08, 2012

Thursday 8th November Claiming Stakes Bet .

On Thursday we have 6 furlong claiming stakes on the poly track at Wolverhampton .This looks a wide open claimer with 13 runners declared .

5.20 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
With three morning non runners ,10 runners go to post for decent looking claimer for this class .This looks  competitive with few of these having some kind chance .The three strongest contenders look to be .Noverre To Go ,Last Sovereign & Where's Reiley.


NOVERRE TO GO : Won 6F class 4 handicap off mark 80 at Kempton in July ,been running consistently since without winning ,including finishing close fourth over C/D last time in class 4 handicap off mark 84.Should go well dropping back into claiming company .

LAST SOVEREIGN : Won four times this season ,including winning decent class 4 handicap over 5F at Newmarket in August .Also won 5F claimer at Wolverhampton in September .Slightly disappointing last time in class 3 handicap at Kempton when finishing 6TH ,though will be suited dropping back into claiming company .

WHERE'S REILEY :Fibresand specialist winning 7 times at Southwell .Returned to form last time winning 5f claimer at Wolverhampton beating Red Cape .Looks well treated at the weights and should be thereabouts.

VERDICT :LAST SOVEREIGN looked good when winning claimer on this course in good time at the end September and had previously won fair looking class 4 handicap at Newmarket .Looks well treated at these weights in this claimer and goes particularly well for 7LB claimer Jacob Butterfield .

Both Noverre To Go & Where's Reiley look main two dangers after running good races last time at this course .


THURSDAY 8TH NOVEMBER CLAIMING STAKES BET
LAST SOVEREIGN 5.20 WOLVERHAMPTON
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365* .PADDY POWER* .BETFRED *
(RESULT SECOND SP 7-2 LOSS £15.00 )



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Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Disappointing Return !!!

Disappointing return to action, with Tuesday's claiming stakes bet on Phase Shift running a stinker in 10 furlong claimer at Redcar for £100 loss on the day.

Arley Hall completely reversing form with Phase Shift winning the race easily by 5 lenghs ,with Phase Shift beaten over 16 lenghs in fourth.

Not sure why Phase Shift ran such poor race with ground conditions in her favour ,though for some reason she didn't repeat her Catterick form .though the drop back in trip probably didn't help her cause .

Looking ahead to later in the week we have 6 furlong claiming stakes on Thursday at Wolverhampton's evening fixture .Hopefully there will be much better outcome .



 

Tuesday 6th November Claiming Bet

After two month break its good to be back,hopefully we can return with good couple months before the end of the year.

On  Tuesday there are two claiming races .At Southwell we have 11 furlong claimer on the fibresand .Course specialist La Estrella looks impossible to oppose ,though at short odds makes no betting appeal .

Going concentrate on the 10 furlong claimer at Redcar ,though only 6 runners are declared this looks quite an interesting little race .

3.00 REDCAR 1 MILE 2F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
Ground conditions are going to be very testing at Redcar.The three main contenders look to be Phase Shift ,Arley Hall & Preistleys Reward . 

PHASE SHIFT : Showed improved form last time winning 12 furlong claimer at Catterick on soft ground  beating Arley Hall by comfortable 2.25 lenghs .Looked well suited by testing conditions last time and should go well in similar race.

ARLEY HALL :Consistent sort ,won 12 furlong handicap at Musselburgh in August on fast ground off mark 65 .Seemed to get outstayed last time when finishing second behind Phase Shift on testing ground at Catterick .

PREISTLEYS REWARD :Won 9 furlong handicap at Redcar on soft ground in May off mark 67. Returned to form last time, finishing fair second in 11 furlong claimer in France  .However had previously been beaten four times in selling company this season.


VERDICT : Preistleys Reward second in claimer in France last time is difficult to weigh up , though had looked disappointing when beaten in selling company and is passed over.

Arley Hall on 4LB better terms with Phase Shift has to be respected ,though not certain to appreciate this more testing ground conditions .Seemed to get outstayed in closing stages at Catterick last time.

PHASE SHIFT looks sure appreciate this testing ground after winning comfortably last time in claimer at Catterick on soft ground.The drop back to 10 furlongs on heavy ground shouldn't be problem and looks fair value at 11-4 in this small field.


TUESDAY 6TH NOVEMBER CLAIMING BET:
PHASE SHIFT 3.00 REDCAR
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @11-4 BET365 ,BETVICTOR,PADDY POWER
(UNPLACED SP 5-2 LOSS £100.00 )



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