Monday, August 20, 2012

Monday 20th August Claiming Bet !!

On Monday we have three claiming stakes races , going concentrate on the 5 furlong claimer at Thirsk & 7 furlong claimer at Kemptons evening fixture .

2.30 THIRSK 5F  2 YEAR OLD CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 4
9 runners declared for 5 furlong 2 year old claimer at Thirsk on good ground .On official handicap ratings the three main contenders look to be Done Dreaming ,Dream Vale & Coconut Kisses

DONE DREAMING : Won 5 furlong maiden last time at Ayr beating Bogsnog by half lengh.Looks open to more improvement after just two starts ,though does have to concede plenty weight in this claimer.

DREAM VALE : Bolted up by 7 lenghs in 5 furlong maiden at Catterick in May and then ran decent 4th in Hillary Needler at Beverley .Has looked disappointing on his last two starts at Chester & Newmarket ,though will be suited by this drop in class .

COCONUT KISSES : Won 5 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton in April ,showing plenty of speed .Outclassed last time when finishing last of 3 in conditions event at Lingfield .Makes her turf debut .

VERDICT : This looks tricky 2 year old claimer .Done Dreaming has to be respected here after winning maiden last time at Ayr ,though doesn't face an easy task having to concede weight all round .

DREAM VALE will need to bounce back after two disappointing efforts ,though would take plenty of beating if she can reproduce her Catterick or Beverley form in this claimer .Odds around 4-1 look fair value .

MONDAY 20TH AUGUST CLAIMING BET:
DREAM VALE 2.30 THIRSK
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY@ 4-1 PADDYPOWER*
(THIRD SP 5-2 LOSS £100.00 ) *2 non runners 7 runner race.

Best price guarantee*

*unfortunately there's no second bet at Kempton ,with Dark Ben being non runner ,this race is now 7 runner race and makes no appeal for each-way betting .

Sunday, August 19, 2012

Weekly results round up !!

Not great week with two losing bets for £120 / 1.20 pts loss .The first bet was on Wednesday in 7 furlong 0-75 classified claiming stakes at Beverley on Lindoro ,though well supported in the market 9-2 into 7-2 could only finish disappointing fifth . Loss of £100.00 on the bet .

The second bet was on Friday in 7 furlong claiming stakes at Newbury on Duster ,and again this one was also well supported in the market going off 2-1 favourite from 7-2 .After trying to make all the running could only manage well beaten third .Loss of £20.00 on the bet .

The last few bets have been bit disappointing with only one winner from last 7 bets ,though no great losses the winners have dried up somewhat .Hopefully that will change next week .

Moving on to next week it looks like being busy day on Monday with three claiming races scheduled .There looks a strong possibility of  at least two bets on Monday .

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK :
2 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) 1 THIRD ) 1 UNPLACED )
LOSS £120.00 / 1.20 PTS

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 33 :
38 BETS ) 12 WINNERS ) 6 SECONDS ) 3 THIRDS ) 17 UNPLACED )
STRIKE RATE 31.64% ) PROFIT+ £1631 / 16.31 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012 :
STAKED £4550 / 45.50 PTS ) RETURN £6180 / 61.80 ) ROI +35.86%