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Saturday, July 21, 2012

Saturday 21st July Claiming Bet !!

This week has  been disappointing so far with £228 / 2.28 pts loss going into Saturday .Hopefully we can recover them losses on Saturday .
It's back to the All Weather on Saturday  with 1 mile claiming stakes on the poly track at Lingfield's evening card .

8.15 LINGFIELD 1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
10 runners declared for 1 mile claimer on poly track at Lingfield .This doesn't look the strongest claimer with the main two contenders being Munsarim & Aciano .

MUNSARIM : Profilic winner in this grade for trainer Keith Dalgleish winning 5 out 5 in claiming company ,including two here at Lingfield .Hasn't shown much in two starts in handicap company for Richard Fahey .Will be suited returning to claiming company and looks well treated at these weights.

ACIANO : Returned to form last time winning 1 mile seller at Wolverhampton .Had previosly shown some fair form in 2011 for Brian Meehan ,including winning 1 mile handicap at Doncaster and finishing second at Newmarket .

VERDICT : Aciano has to be repected after winning seller at Wolverhampton last time and has fair record on poly track winning 2 from 4 starts.

Of the other runners Firebreak would have possible chance on last years turf form ,though has looked disappointing on his last three starts and not certain to stay this mile trip.

MUNSARIM will need to bounce back after two poor efforts in handicap company ,though he is the class act here being rated (84) 5lb clear at the weights.Trainer Richard Fahey is also in great form having 16 winners in last two weeks .Odds around 11-4 look very fair value for horse who is unbeaten in this grade.

SATURDAY 21ST JULY CLAIMING BET :
MUNSARIM 8.15 LINGFIELD
1PT EACH-WAY @ 3-1 WILLIAM HILLS*
(WINNER SP 11-10 PROFIT +£360 / 3.60 PTS )
Best price guarantee*
  

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Wednesday 18th July Claiming Bet !!

Not great start to the week with £128.00 loss on Monday .Bold Marc was very disappointing in 7 furlong claiming stakes at  Southwell after being big drifter in market .Normally a front runner ,though could never get to the lead and weakened tamely before half-way .

The second bet was on White Deer in 1 mile 4 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton.After not getting the clearest of runs could only manage second after being well supported in the market 5-2 into 11-8 .

Moving on to Wednesday we are finally back on the turf at Catterick after they passed an early morning inspection with the ground described as soft.

3.40 CATTERICK 1 MILE 4F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
9 runners declared for 12 furlong claimer on the turf at Catterick .Ground conditions are going going be very testing with more rain forecast .On paper this looks three horse race between Private Story ,Elizabeth Coffee & Eijaaz.

PRIVATE STORY : Decent performer for Richard Hannon in 2009/10 .Got back to winning ways on his first start for David O 'Meara in 1 mile 6 furlong seller at Catterick in June .Well beaten in class 2 handicap at Royal Ascot last time, now wears first time visor.

ELIZABETH COFFEE : Won three times in Ireland last year ,including two handicaps at Dundalk .Returned to form last time winning 10 furlong claimer at Redcar for Ian Williams .Should go well under simular conditions .

EIJAAZ : Course specialist  with 7 wins at Catterick and won this race last year .Struggling to get his head in front this season, finishing second four times .Should be thereabouts, but has bit to find at these weights.

VERDICT:Elizabeth Coffee looks sure to go well here after winning simular race at Redcar last time, with Eijaaz well held back in fourth.However odds around 6-4 don't look great value on this very testing ground.

 PRIVATE STORY was well beaten last time at Royal Ascot ,though is 9lb clear on official handicap ratings and will be suited dropping back into class 6  race.The return to 1 mile 4 furlongs on testing ground shouldn't be problem .Odds around 11-4 look fair value in weak looking claimer . 


WEDNESDAY 18TH JULY CLAIMING BET :
PRIVATE STORY 3.40 CATTERICK
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 11-4 BET 365* ,BET VICTOR*
(UNPLACED SP 9-4 LOSS £100.00 )

Best price guarantee*

Monday, July 16, 2012

Monday 16th July Claiming Bets

 A busy start to the week with two bets on Monday both on the All Weather at Southwell and this evening at Wolverhampton .

3.15 SOUTHWELL 7 FURLONG 0-75 CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES

Nine runners declared for 7 furlong claiming stakes on the fibresand at Southwell .This looks quite competitive 0-75 classified claimer .The three main contenders look to be Flying Pickets ,Son Of Vida & Bold Marc .

FLYING PICKETS :Three time C/D winner here at Southwell  and also finished runner up three times at the course .Won 7 furlong claimer at Southwell back in March beating One More Romain by short head .Been disappointing on his last three starts ,though will be suited returning to his favorite course.


SON OF VIDA : Dual course winner here at Southwell for Mark Johnston .Changed hands for 6.600 guineas after winning seller back in March .Hasn't shown great deal on his first two starts on the turf for Alan Bailey ,though will be suited returning to the fibresand.


BOLD MARC : Front runner , looked as good as ever when bolting up by 8 lenghs in 1 mile claimer at Southwell in April . Not been at his best on his last two starts in handicap company,Will be suited by this dropping back in grade .


VERDICT : Not much to separate the three main contenders on official handicap ratings.Both Son Of Vida & Flying Pickets go well on this course and have to be respected .


BOLD MARC gets the vote after winning impressively in similar race at southwell back in April and could take some catching if in the same kind of form .Odds around 4-1 look very fair value.

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8.00 WOLVERHAMPTON 1MILE 4F 0-60 CLASSIFIED CLAIMER
11 runners declared for 12 furlong 0-60 classified claimer on the poly track at Wolverhampton .This looks very weak claimer the two main contenders are White Deer & Guga


WHITE DEER : Won five times on turf though not won for over year .The last win coming in 14 furlong seller at Catterick last June .Finished fair fourth last time only beaten 2 lenghs over C&D in 0-65 handicap .


GUGA : Four time winner on turf ,the last win coming in May 2011 in 10 furlong handicap at Nottingham.Finished fair fourth on his last two starts in handicap company .Should be thereabouts in weak race.


VERDICT: This looks a very poor claimer with most of the field completely out of form .


WHITE DEER does at least know how to win in this grade and looks the one to beat .After putting in two solid runs at Wolverhampton in handicap company this season.Though not the greatest price doesn't appear to have lot to beat and 5-2 is an acceptable price.

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MONDAY 16TH JULY CLAIMING BETS :

BOLD MARC 3.15 SOUTHWELL
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 SKYBET.BLUESQUARE.PADDY POWER*
(UNPLACED SP 11-2 LOSS £100.00 )

WHITE DEER 8.00 WOLVERHAMPTON
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 5-2 BET365* LADBROKES*
(SECOND SP 11-8 LOSS £27.50 )
R4 APPLIES 10P IN £ TO EARLY PRICES
Best price guarantee*
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Another racing blog that I can recommend with some interesting features:
 http://blog.highclassequine.com/

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Sunday, July 15, 2012

Weekly results round up !!

This summer has so far been complete washout with more heavy downpours over past week .Hard to imagine nearly every big race meeting since May has been run on soft ground.
Looking back over the claiming bets this year ,there has so far been only four bets on the turf and its been over five weeks (June 9th ) since the last turf bet .

Obviously when betting in low class claiming races ,there are going to be quite few bets on the All Weather,though you don't expect to be having nearly all your bets on the All Weather in middle of summer .Hopefully the weather will improve soon, and we can have a few more bets on the turf.

Going back to last week there was just the one bet on Danny Warbucks in 1 mile three old claiming stakes on the the fibresand at Southwell .

Danny Warbucks made all the running and battled on well inside the final furlong to win by half lengh for £165.00 profit .Well supported in the market going off 7-4 favorite from an early 11-4 .That puts us back in profit in July .

Looking ahead to next week we are back on the All Weather on Monday with two claimers :  (3.15 Southwell 7 furlong classified claimer) (8.00 Wolverhampton 12 furlong classified claimer) .With the strong possibilty of at least one bet on Monday .

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK:
1 BET ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT + £165.00 / 1.65 PTS

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 28 :
27 BETS ) 10 WINNERS ) 5 SECONDS ) 1 THIRD ) 11 UNPLACED )
STRIKE RATE 37.03% ) PROFIT +  £1701 / 17.01 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2012:
STAKED £3350 / 33.50 PTS ) RETURN £5050 / 50.50 PTS ) ROI +50.82%