Saturday, March 10, 2012

Saturdays Claiming Analysis !!

One flat card on Saturday on poly track at Wolverhampton and we have five furlong claiming stakes at 4.40 .

Six runners declared for 5F classified claimer at Wolverhampton .On official handicap ratings this looks match between Steelcut & Angelo Poliziano 

STEELCUT : Four time course winner at Wolverhampton and won this race last year .Been knocking on the door recently finishing close second on his last three starts .Looks sure to go well with ideal conditions.

ANGELO POLIZIANO :Dual C&D winner at Wolverhampton ,finished good second over C&D last time in above average claimer behind Desert Strike .Not the most consistent of performers ,though looks well treated at the weights .

VERDICT : Both Steelcut & Angelo Poliziano look very closely matched at these weights .Angelo Poliziano looks big danger after decent run last time, though is not always that reliable.

Slight Preference is for STEELCUT who has put in three solid runs at Wolverhampton this year and goes well in this grade having won three claimers . At best price 13-8 this morning that's about the right price, though not a betting race for me at those odds.  


Thursday, March 08, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Slightly disappointing result on Wednesday with Thundering Home only managing fourth in 1 mile 4F claiming stakes at Lingfield .In a race run at very slow pace 5.55 seconds slower than standard. 

Thundering Home appeared unsuited by the slow pace ,though only beaten half-a-lengh, never really looked like getting to the leaders in closing stages off such slow pace .Loss on the day £100 .

Daniel Thomas a horse who I thought would struggle over this longer trip, went on to win the race by head ,though with such slow pace his lack of stamina was never really tested.

Moving on to Thursday's racing we have one claiming race at Wolverhampton's evening meeting for 3 year old's over the extended mile.

Just six runners go to post for 1 mile claiming stakes for 3 year olds .This looks straight match between  Clean Bowled & Flying Pickets .

CLEAN BOWLED :Big improver since being fitted with cheek pieces,landing quick fire hatrick in claiming company .Including winning by 10 lenghs over this C&D earlier last month .Looks sure to go well with ideal conditions.  

FLYING PICKETS : Good record at Southwell landing his third course win last week over 7F ,though was well beaten by Clean Bowled at Lingfield earlier last month, after being very slowly away. Should get closer on 5LB better terms ,though has poor record on poly track 0 from 5 .

VERDICT : Not great deal to separate the two main contenders on official handicap ratings ,though Flying Pickets has big question mark on this surface having been well beaten on all five starts on poly track.

CLEAN BOWLED is difficult to oppose after winning his last three starts in claiming company and this looks good opportunity to land the four timer .Not betting race for me at odds on ,though  8-11   looks fair price in such weak race.


Wednesday, March 07, 2012

Wednesdays best bets!!

Not much to report over the past week with no suitable betting opportunities in the claiming races.Hopefully once the flat turf season gets underway at the end of this month we should start to see plenty more betting opportunities in claiming races .

On Wednesday we have two flat cards with one claiming race at Lingfield over 1 mile 4 furlongs.Another small field with five runners going to post ,though this looks quite competitive little claimer.

Just five runners declared for 12F claimer at Lingfield ,though apart from Imperial Fong the other four runners look to have some kind of chance .

COUNTRY ROAD : Good record at Wolverhampton with 3 wins from 8 starts .Won in good style last time in 12F handicap at Wolverhampton beating Illustrious Forest by 3 lenghs off mark 73 .Looks well treated at these weights .

EAGLE NEBULA : Consistent type who goes well here at Lingfield with 2 wins over C&D .Finished fair second last time in handicap over C&D off mark 67  ,though both wins came in selling company and has bit to find at these weights .

THUNDERING HOME :Good winner last time in claimer at Wolverhampton beating reliable yardstick Kames Park by comfortable 3 lenghs .Goes well in this grade and should go close .

DANIEL THOMAS : Four time course winner at Lingfield ,won 10F seller last month beating Enriching by 1.5 lenghs .Fairly treated at these weights ,though disappointed on his only try at this trip .

VERDICT : Country Road has best recent form winning handicap off mark 73 last time ,though seems to reserve all his best form at Wolverhampton ,there has to be doubt he can reproduce that form here at Lingfield, and does have poor record in this grade 0 from 5 in claiming company . Odds around 6-5 look on the short side .

Danial Thomas has been in good form this winter winning four times ,though there has to be big doubt over this longer trip .

THUNDERING HOME goes well in this grade and is preferred after winning similar contest at Wolverhampton last time in good style .3-1 looks very fair value in this small field  . 

(UNPLACED SP 3-1 LOSS £100 /1.00 PTS)