Friday, January 20, 2012

Fridays claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Friday at Lingfield & Wolverhampton ,though very disappointing turn out for 6 furlong claiming stakes at Lingfield with just five runners going to post.


1.25 LINGFIELD 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just five runners for 6F claiming stakes at Lingfield and this looks two horse race between Hinton Admiral & Drawnfromthepast .


Hinton Admiral : Good record in claiming company with 5 wins from 13 starts ,returned to form last time winning 7 furlong seller here at Lingfield .Looks sure to go well in this weak claimer.


Drawnfromthepast : Won 6 furlong class 3 handicap off mark 89 back in July for Ed Walker ,though hasn't reproduced that form,and has looked bit disappointing for Jamie Osborne on his last two starts.


VERDICT :Strictly on official handicap ratings Drawnfromthepast is the one to beat being rated 85  ,though has failed to deliver on last four starts in claiming company .


HINTON ADMIRAL looks more solid having won five times in claiming company and looks the one to beat .Odds around 5-4 don't make great appeal and not betting race for me.


(1) HINTON ADMIRAL (2) DRAWNFROMTHEPAST  

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Good start to the week with 2 winners from 3 bets.On Monday Bawaadi won 7F claiming stakes in good style at 3-1 for £348.00 / 3.48 pt profit .


Wednesday we had two bets with Lastkingofscotland winning 7F classified claimer at Lingfield at 10-3 under excellent tactical ride from Hayley Turner for nice £400 / 4.00 pt profit .The second bet was on Red Somerset in 1 mile claiming stakes at Kempton finishing third for small loss of £10.00 / 0.10 pts . 


After what had been slow start to the year, its good to turn things around this week with £738 profit  ,hopefully the good run will continue.


Moving onto Thursday's racing just the one flat card at Wolverhampton with one claiming race over 1 mile 6 furlongs.


5.00 WOLVERHAMPTON 1 MILE 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just 7 runners go to post for 14 furlong claimer at Wolverhampton .This looks very weak claimer with odds on favourite La Estrella looking impossible to oppose.


La Estrella : Been in great form this winter winning twice ,including winning class 4 handicap here at Wolverhampton last time .Has fantastic record in claiming company winning 10 from 11 


Admiral Duque looks the one for forecast after winning class 5 handicap over C&D in December by easy 7 lenghs , though was well beaten by La Estrella last time at Wolverhampton .


VERDICT :LA ESTRELLA should make it claiming win number eleven in what looks very weak race .Odds around 2-7 make little betting appeal.


(1) LA ESTRELLA (2) ADMIRAL DUQUE   








Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Wednesday best bets !!

Two flat cards on Wednesday at Lingfield & Kempton with no less than three claiming races with two at Lingfield and one at Kempton .




1.20 LINGFIELD 7F CLASSIFIED CLAIMER CLASS 6
Nine runners declared for 7 furlong claiming stakes at Lingfield with three main contenders .Lastkingofscotland , Joe The Taxis & Lutine Charlie 


Lastkingofscotland :Four time course winner here at Lingfield ,bounced back to form earlier this month landing gamble in 7 furlong handicap at Wolverhampton .Slightly disappointing last time at Lingfield over 6F when getting no kind of run on inside .Will be suited returning to 7 furlongs .


Joe The Taxis : Won four 6F handicaps on the All Weather for Mark Johnston earlier last year .Ran twice in America for Gerard Butler showing absolutely nothing finishing last on both runs in 1 mile claimers .


Lutine Charlie : Won 6F seller at Kempton in November and then finished fair second in handicap over C&D at Lingfield ,though needs bounce back after disappointing run in 6F claimer at Kempton on Sunday .


VERDICT : Joe The Taxis looks interesting returning to Mark Johnston stable after winning four handicaps earlier last year ,though all his best form is over 6 furlongs and this will be his first run since last June .


Lutine Charlie looks well treated off 8 stone 2LB having finished 2ND in handicap here off mark 74 in November ,though was disappointing on Sunday in what looked weak claimer at Kempton .


LASTKINGOFSCOTLAND looks more solid than his two main rivals and has decent record here at Lingfield and will be suited returning to this longer trip.Odds around 7-2 look fair value .


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2.25 LINGFIELD 2 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Just six runners declared for 2 mile claiming stakes .This looks very weak claimer with the Mark Johnston trained Exemplary looking hard to oppose after finishing 2ND in class 4 handicap at Wolverhampton last time off mark 85 


VERDICT : EXEMPLARY looks impossible to oppose, 7LB clear on official handicap ratings and is proven winner over 2 miles .Kavoloti looks the one for forecast after winning 2 mile handicap back in June ,though this will his be first run since July.Not betting race for me odds around 4-11 make little betting appeal .


(1) EXEMPLARY (2) KAVOLOTI 


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4.55 KEMPTON 1MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Nine runners for 1 mile claimer at Kempton .On official handicap ratings this looks between  Marajaa & Red Somerset 


Marajaa : Bolted up in claimer over C&D in December beating Fishforcompliments by an easy 3 lenghs .Followed that by winning 1 mile class 4 handicap at Lingfield off mark 80 .That form has been franked with the second horse Nibani winning handicap next time .


Red Somerset :Three time C&D winner here at Kempton .Has excellent record in claiming  company 4 wins from 6 starts .Not shown great deal on his last three starts in handicap company ,though will be suited returning to claiming company .


VERDICT : Marajaa looks sure to go well returning to claiming company ,though faces no easy task trying to concede 13LB to his main rival .Odds around 5-4 look on the short side ,though has to be repected.


RED SOMERSET looks very well treated at these weights and goes well here at Kempton in claiming company .Odds around 7-2 look very fair value .




WEDNESDAY'S BEST BETS :


1.20 LINGFIELD. LASTKINGOFSCOTLAND 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 10-3 BOYLESPORT 
(WINNER SP 3-1 ) PROFIT +£400.00


4.55 KEMPTON .RED SOMERSET 
0.50PT EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BET VICTOR
(THIRD SP 4-1 ) LOSS -£10.00


*Both best price guarantee 





Monday, January 16, 2012

Mondays best bets !!

Busy start to the week with two claiming races on the Wolverhampton card .The first race on the card at 2.25 we have 7F claiming stakes and the second claiming race at 4.25 over the 1 mile for three year olds.


2.25 WOLVERHAMPTON 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 
 7 runners  for 7F claiming stakes at Wolverhampton .The stable companions,Bawaardi & One Way Or Another look the main two contenders .


Bawaardi : Won three times in 2011 for Richard Fahey including winning 7F class 3 handicap at Newcastle in May .Returned to form on Boxing day when winning claimer over C&D beating One Way Or Another by head .Was subsequently claimed by David Evans for £9,000 ,though was disappointing in handicap at Lingfield on his first start for the stable.


One Way Or Another :Consistent sort ,won twice in 2011 including winning  7F claimer in December at Lingfield.Looks very closely matched with stable companion Bawaardi on Wolverhampton form .


VERDICT :The David Evans pair One Way or Another and  Bawaardi look very closely matched at these weights ,though slight preference is for BAWAARDI who has won at lot higher level and goes well here at Wolverhampton .Odds around 3-1 look fair value .


4.25 WOLVERHAMPTON 1MILE 141YDS 3-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
 With three non runners just the six runners go to post,though this looks wide open 3 year old claiming stakes with,Anginola & Let Your Love Flow looking the main two contenders.


Let Your Love Flow : Consistent filly in this grade won claimer over C&D in November and also been placed five times here at Wolverhampton 231223 .Should be thereabouts again off bottom weight .


Anginola : Won 1 mile nursery handicap at Kempton back in September off mark 61 ,running consistently since including finishing third at Nottingham & fourth here at Wolverhampton in handicap over C&D in behind Maybeagrey .


VERDICT : This looks very weak claiming stakes with only Let Your Love Flow & Anginola having won a race . Let Your Love Flow returning to Wolverhampton in claiming company should go well ,though slight preference is for ANGINOLA who looks very well treated off  7 stone 11LB and could also improve for first time visor having hung badly right last time at Kempton .


Not betting race for me with so many question marks about most of the runners .


(1) ANGINOLA (2) LET YOUR LOVE FLOW 
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MONDAY'S BEST BET:
BAWAARDI 2.25 WOLVERHAMPTON 
(WINNER SP 5-2 ) PROFIT +£348 / 3.48 PTS 
1PT WIN      @ 3-1 BET365 ,PADDY POWER ,LADBROKES
1PT PLACE @ 1.50 BETFAIR


*Betfair paying three places on place market .