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Friday, January 13, 2012

Saturdays claiming analysis !!!

Disappointing run from Elijah Pepper on Friday in 1 mile claiming stakes finishing well beaten third behind the Keith Dalglish trained Munsarim who landed big gamble 7-1 into 7-2 .Not horse I really considered having already been beaten by Elijah Pepper and didn't look well treated off 9 stone 8lb .


Not been great start to 2012 with all three bets running disappointing races and loss of 5.50 pts on the month.,though a disappointing start in January its still early days and long term profits are what count in this game .Hopefully we can recover losses before the end of the month.


Moving onto Saturday's racing just the one flat card and we have an early start at Lingfield with 10 furlong claimer at 11.55 


11.55 LINGFIELD 10 FURLONG CLAIMER CLASS 6
Seven runners declared for 10 furlong claimer at Lingfield with three main contenders Brunston ,Kings Colour & Ajdaad 


Brunston :Fair handicapper back in 2009/2010 including winning the spring cup at Newbury in 2010 off mark 86 .Switched to hurdles last season winning two novice hurdles for Nicky Henderson .Below form when finishing seventh in 12F handicap at Lingfield last month .


Kings Colour : Won seller over C&D at Lingfield in December beating Potentiale by 3.5 lenghs .Ran another solid race last time when beaten short head in claimer at Lingfield over C&D behind Irons On Fire .


Ajdaad : Won three times in 2011 winning two sellers and handicap .Finished close third last time over C&D at Lingfield only head behind Kings Colour .


VERDICT : Brunston has to be respected taking big drop in class after contesting some decent handicaps on turf and will be suited by the drop back to 10 furlongs,though does have to prove himself on poly track .


Slight preference is for KINGS COLOUR who Kieron Fallon looks interesting jockey booking for small stable .Ran well on his last two starts over course and distance at Lingfield  and can confirm form over Ajaad .With only seven runners declared not betting race for me .


(1) KINGS COLOUR (2) BRUNSTON  










  

Fridays best bets!!

Two flat cards on Friday at Lingfield & Wolverhampton .Just the one claiming race today at Wolverhampton's twilight card at 6.40 


6.40 WOLVERHAMPTON 1 MILE 141 YDS CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5
Just the six runners declared for 1 mile claiming stakes at Wolverhampton.This looks tricky little race with three main contenders .Standpoint , Sunnyside Tom & Elijah Pepper 


Standpoint : Consistent sort ,won claimer over C&D back November beating Opus Maximus by neck ,followed that with two seconds in class 4 handicaps at Wolverhampton & Southwell .Slightly disappointing last time when finishing well beaten fifth at Southwell .Will be suited returning to claiming company .


Sunnyside Tom : Good record in claimers on turf  winning six times .Lightly raced on the All Weather with just the two starts .Slightly disappointing last time at Southwell in claimer when beaten in 4 runner race behind Mcconnel  .


Elijah Pepper : Good record here at Wolverhampton with 4 wins from 10 starts.Won class 5 handicap here at Wolverhampton back in October beating Dream Of Fortune.Very disappointing run last time at Lingfield when finishing last of eight .


VERDICT : Interesting little claimer with very little to choose between the three main contenders at these weights .STANDOUT returning to claiming company looks sure to go well after finishing second in better races and could take some catching in this little field ,though isn't the easiest horse to win with having only won twice from 35 starts .


SUNNYSIDE TOM has excellent record in this grade on turf ,though has to prove himself on the poly track.Can't be ruled out though there has to be question mark about this surface.


ELIJAH PEPPER has to bounce back from disappointing run at Lingfield last time ,though has an excellent record here at Wolvehampton 2134231151 with three wins coming over this C&D .Drops into claiming company for first time since 2008 .Odds around 5-2 look decent value in this small field .


 ELIJAH PEPPER 6.40 WOLVERHAMPTON 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 5-2 BOYLESPORTS ,BETFRED 
(THIRD SP 3-1 ) LOSS £200 / 2.00 PTS 



Thursday, January 12, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Thursday with the first claiming race of the week.Another small field with just 6 runners for 5 furlong classified claimer for apprentices on the fibresand at Southwell.


12.55 SOUTHWELL 5F CLASSIFIED CLAIMER CLASS 6
Six runners for 5 furlong apprentice claimer .On paper this looks between the two in form course winners Soopacal  & Upper Lambourn .


Soopacal : Consistent sort in this grade, finished second on his last two starts over 6 furlongs here for Michael Herrington .Runs for first time for Brian Ellison after being claimed for £5,000 after finishing fair second behind Global Village in claimer last time at Southwell .


Upper Lambourn : Lightly raced 4-Y-0 only had the six starts winning twice here at Southwell .Won 6 furlong handicap last time at Southwell coming from off the pace to  beat Mazovian by 1 lengh .


VERDICT : Not great deal to choose between Soopacal & Upper Lambourn at these weights ,though preference is for SOOPACAL who will be suited by this drop back to 5 furlongs having won three times over the distance including winning similar race over C&D around this time last year .


UPPER LAMBOURN looks the obvious danger though drop back to 5 furlongs may not suit ,having looked to need every yard of the 6 furlong trip last time at Southwell .


Not betting race for me SOOPACAL looks the most likeliest winner ,though odds around 13-8 don't  make great appeal.


(1) SOOPACAL (2) UPPER LAMBOURN 









Sunday, January 08, 2012

Weekly results / round up !!

Disappointing start to 2012 with what can only be described as very poor week .Both bets ran shocking races after being well supported in market .With loss £350 / 3.50 pts on the week.


The first bet was on Tuesday in 6 furlong claiming stakes at Southwell on Punching £50 each-way at 7-2  after travelling well in early part of the race found very little once headed finishing well beaten fourth behind the 14-1 long shot Dickie Le Davoir .Loss - £100 / 1.00 pt


Second bet was on Friday at Woverhampton in 5 furlong claiming stakes this was split stakes bet on two horses Red Cape £75 each-way @ 7-2 & Hinton Admiral £50 each-way @ 6-1 .Really disappointed with this race both horses had been in good form this winter and looked to have strong chances in this claimer ,though both ran no kind race finishing fifth and sixth behind 12-1 outsider Desert Strike  .Loss -£250 / 2.50 pts .


Moving quickly onto next weeks racing, its going to be very quiet start to the week, for some reason there are no flat claiming races in Uk till Thursday .Why we don't have any claimers in early part the week is anyone's guess .Hopefully it will be better week than last week :-) 


Next blog update Thursday 13th January .




THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK :
2 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) LOSS £350 / 3.50 PTS


OVERALL AFTER WEEK ONE 2012 :
0 WINNERS ) 0 SECONDS ) 0 THIRDS )
LOSS - £350 / 3.50 PTS