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Saturday, January 07, 2012

Saturdays claiming analysis !!!

Disappointing day on Friday with both bets in 5 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton both running poorly, after being well supported in market .Red Cape going off the 5-2 favourite from 7-2 and Hinton Admiral 9-2 from 6-1 ,though both horses ran well below form finishing fifth and sixth.


Not a bet I normally use backing two in the same race ,though I thought early morning favourite Drawnfromthepast was worth taking on at the prices and Red Cape & Hinton Admiral both looked value bets at the prices.


Have to admit got the race totally wrong with 12-1 outsider Desert Strike winning comfortably from Angelo Poliziano .Loss on the day £250 / 2.50 pts 


Moving on too Saturdays racing one flat card at Lingfield with 10 furlong classified claiming stakes at 12.40.


12.40 LINGFIELD 10F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
8 runners for 10 furlong classified claimer .The three last time out winners Kings Colour ,Ajdaad & Irons on Fire look the main contenders .


Kings Colour : Bounced back to form last time winning easily in seller over C&D at Lingfield ,had some decent form in 2010 winning three handicaps including winning at Epsom off mark 82 .


Ajdaad : Won three races in 2011 ,including winning 1 mile seller here at Lingfield last time beating Pipers Piping by neck .Has to prove he can stay this longer trip.


Irons on Fire : Has run two solid races over 12 furlongs here at Lingfield finishing second in handicap back in December off mark 63 ,followed that with an easy win in seller here last time at Lingfield beating Eagle Nebula by 3.5 lenghs .


VERDICT : This looks competitive claimer and not easy to separate the three last time out winners .Kings Colour has to concede weight all round ,though is slightly favoured after returning to form last time winning seller over course and distance.Had previously shown some decent form in better races.


Irons on Fire looks the biggest danger after winning 12f seller last time at Lingfield ,though the drop back in trip has to be concern . 



(1) KINGS COLOUR (2) IRONS ON FIRE (3) AJDAAD 




NO BET RACE 





Friday, January 06, 2012

Fridays best bets!!

Two flat cards on Friday at Lingfield & Wolverhampton .With quite interesting 5 furlong claiming race on Wolverhampton's twilight card .


4.45 WOLVERHAMPTON 5F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5
8 declared runners for 5 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton.This looks quite decent contest for class 5 race .The four main contenders look to be Red Cape , Drawnfromthepast , Lucky Art & Hinton Admiral .


Red Cape : Has been in good form this winter winning two handicaps at Wolverhampton .Won in good style last time in class 4 handicap off mark 77 over 6 furlongs.Should go well with ideal conditions .


Drawnfromthepast :Useful sprinter on his day won class 3 handicap at Bath in July off mark 89 ,though has looked bit disappointing on his last two starts when beaten in claiming company.


Lucky Art : Speedy front runner won five races in 2011 latest win in 5F claimer at Kempton in October ,been slightly disappointing on his last two starts in handicap company .Will be suited returning to claiming company .


Hinton Admiral : Been good form winning five races in 2011 including 3 claimers ,ran well on his last two starts here at Wolverhampton finishing placed both times in claimer & seller .


VERDICT : Drawnfromthepast is 4LB clear on official handicap ratings ,though there has to be question mark after being beaten on his last three starts in claiming company and did break blood vessel last time at Lingfield .Looks worth taking at around 9-4 mark 


RED CAPE : Has to concede weight all round ,though has been in great form here at Wolverhampton and hasn't finished outside the first two on his last four starts at the track .Odds around 7-2 look decent value.


Lucky Art : Has to bounce back after couple disappointing runs in handicaps ,though could take some catching if getting an early lead .Has to be respected returning to claiming company.


HINTON ADMIRAL : Goes well in claiming company winning 5 times from 12 starts ,ran two solid  races on his last two starts here at Wolverhampton  and looks fair value at 6-1 .


FRIDAYS BEST BETS :  


RED CAPE 4.45 WOLVWEHAMPTON 
0.75 PTS EACH-WAY @ 7-2 BOYLESPORTS
(UNPLACED SP 5-2 ) LOSS £150


HINTON ADMIRAL 4.45 WOLVERHAMPTON
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BOYLESPORTS 
(UNPLACED SP 9-2) LOSS £100






Thursday, January 05, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

One flat card on Thursday a twilight meeting at Wolverhampton again disappointing turn out for 6 furlong 3 year old claiming stakes with just six runners .With lack runners in claiming races over past two weeks good betting opportunities have been very limited .Hopefully field sizes will improve over next few weeks.


5.10 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F 3-Y-0 CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES
Just six runners declared  for 6f claimer at Wolverhampton .With three main contenders ,Faraway ,Adranian & One More Roman .


Faraway : Has been in good form this winter running three solid races ,winning claimer over C&D in December ,finished good second last time in quite decent claimer only beaten short head by prolific claiming winner Le King Beau .


Adranian :Has decent record here at Wolverhampton winning three times including two claimers ,has looked disappointing on his last two starts in handicap company at Southwell .Will be suited returning to Wolverhampton .


One More Roman : Won two races including winning 7f claimer here at Wolverhampton last time for J S Moore .Was subsequently claimed by Gay Kellaway for £6,000 .Looks well treated in this claimer off 8 stone 3LB .


VERDICT : One More Roman looks interesting on his first start for Gay Kellaway off low weight, after winning 7f claimer last time at Wolverhampton ,though has quite bit to find with Faraway on Kempton form.


Adranian has to bounce back after two disappointing runs at  Southwell ,though can't be totally ruled out here on his earlier form here at Wolverhampton .


FARAWAY has to concede weight all round here, though looks the one to beat after running excellent second last time behind Le King Beau who has already won 4 claimers this winter.Was hoping for around the 5-2 mark ,though at 7-4 this morning looks little short and no bet at that those prices.


NO BET RACE 


(1) FARAWAY (2) ONE MORE ROMAN      

Tuesday, January 03, 2012

Tuesdays best bets !!

One flat card on Tuesday on the fibresand at Southwell with quite interesting looking 6 furlong claiming stakes at 12.25 


12.25 SOUTHWELL 6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Just six runners for 6 furlong claiming stakes on the fibresand at Southwell .With two main contenders .Ingleby Arch & Punching .


Ingleby Arch : Course specialist with 9 wins here at Southwell and 8 wins over course & distance .Bounced back to form last time when winning 7 furlong claimer at Southwell beating Autumn Blades in good style .Looks sure to go well returning to his optimum trip .


PUNCHING : Another course specialist with 8 wins here at Southwell and 7 wins over course & distance .Won 6 furlong handicap back here in November beating Rowan Spirit by neck .Finished fair fourth last time on poly track at Lingfield .


VERDICT :Strictly on official handicap ratings Ingleby Arch is going to take plenty beating here,though was beaten couple times last season in claimers here at Southwell when short price favourite .Has to be respected though odds around 4-6 look too short .


At the prices PUNCHING looks better value and did beat Ingleby Arch in claimer here at Southwell over C&D back in February .Goes particularly well for Hayley Turner and looks fair value at around 3-1 in what looks two runner race.


PUNCHING 12.25 SOUTHWELL
0.50PTS  EACH-WAY @ 3-1 LADBROKES
(UNPLACED SP 11-4) LOSS -£100


STAKES 1 TO 3 POINTS
£100 PER POINT 

Monday, January 02, 2012

Monday's claiming analysis !!!

Just the one flat card on Monday on the fibresand at Soutwell with one claiming race over 1 mile.Again disappointing turn out with just five runners going to post.


2.20 SOUTHWELL 1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6:
Only five runners for 1 mile claiming stakes on the fibresand at Southwell .On official handicap ratings this looks between Sunnyside Tom & Mcconnel .


Sunnyside Tom :has excellent record in claimers on turf winning 6 from 11 ,though has only ran once on the AW at Southwell finishing 4TH in handicap back in 2009 .Should go well if handling this surface.


Mcconnel : Course specialist winning six times over course and distance at Southwell .Won twice in 2011 ,though was disappointing last time when well beaten in seller here at Southwell .


VERDICT : SUNNYSIDE TOM is 4LB clear on official handicap ratings and goes particularly well in this grade .Has to prove he can handle this fibresand ,though did finish fair fourth on his only try on this surface.Looks the one to beat though odds around 11-10 make little appeal.


Mcconnel has excellent record here at Southwell with his last 6 wins coming at this track over C&D,though did look disappointing last time when beaten in seller when short price favourite .Needs bounce back after that disappointing run ,though looks an obvious danger in weak race.


NO BET RACE


(1) SUNNYSIDE TOM (2) MCCONNEL