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Thursday, January 12, 2012

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Thursday with the first claiming race of the week.Another small field with just 6 runners for 5 furlong classified claimer for apprentices on the fibresand at Southwell.


12.55 SOUTHWELL 5F CLASSIFIED CLAIMER CLASS 6
Six runners for 5 furlong apprentice claimer .On paper this looks between the two in form course winners Soopacal  & Upper Lambourn .


Soopacal : Consistent sort in this grade, finished second on his last two starts over 6 furlongs here for Michael Herrington .Runs for first time for Brian Ellison after being claimed for £5,000 after finishing fair second behind Global Village in claimer last time at Southwell .


Upper Lambourn : Lightly raced 4-Y-0 only had the six starts winning twice here at Southwell .Won 6 furlong handicap last time at Southwell coming from off the pace to  beat Mazovian by 1 lengh .


VERDICT : Not great deal to choose between Soopacal & Upper Lambourn at these weights ,though preference is for SOOPACAL who will be suited by this drop back to 5 furlongs having won three times over the distance including winning similar race over C&D around this time last year .


UPPER LAMBOURN looks the obvious danger though drop back to 5 furlongs may not suit ,having looked to need every yard of the 6 furlong trip last time at Southwell .


Not betting race for me SOOPACAL looks the most likeliest winner ,though odds around 13-8 don't  make great appeal.


(1) SOOPACAL (2) UPPER LAMBOURN 









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