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Saturday, December 10, 2011

Saturdays best bets !!

Two flat cards on Saturday at Southwell & Wolverhampton .Just the one claiming race on Saturday at Wolverhampton's evening fixture .Again we have another 2 year old claimer ,at least this time we have few more runners.


7.50 WOLVERHAMPTON 1 MILE 1F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Ten runners declared for 2 year old claimer over the extended 1 mile 1f .Not the strongest looking 2 year old claimer with just two main contenders .Let Your Love Flow & Guava


Guava looks well treated in this claimer off 7 stone 11LB  .Won 6f handicap off mark 60 back in October and then finished fair third in 7 furlong handicap at Brighton off mark 65 .Hasn't shown great deal on his last two starts .Takes big step up in trip .


LET YOUR LOVE FLOW consistent filly who goes well her at Wolvehampton  ,won claimer here last time over 1 mile 141 yds beating two reliable claiming types Fast Delivery & Barn Dance .Should go well over this slightly longer trip.


VERDICT : GUAVA is 8LB clear on official handicap ratings ,though all her best form has been over 6 furlongs and there has to be doubt about her staying this longer trip .Odds around 6-5 look too short .


LET YOUR LOVE FLOW looks solid in this claimer after winner similar event last time at Wolverhampton  over slightly shorter trip ,that form has been boosted with third horse Barn Dance winning claimer Yesterday at Southwell .9-4 with Power Power is exceptable in what looks two horse race .


TODAYS BEST BET 
LET YOUR LOVE FLOW 7.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
(SECOND SP 9-4) LOSS £55.00
1PT EACH-WAY @ 9-4 PADDY POWER.
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE













Friday, December 09, 2011

Fridays claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Friday at Southwell & twilight card at Wolverhampton .We have two claiming races both for 2 year olds (11.10 Southwell) & (4.40 Wolverhampton) Not great fan of these 2 year old claimers this time of year as field sizes seem to be very small.


11.10 SOUHWELL 1 MILE 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Six runners declared for this 1 mile claiming stakes at Southwell .Another weak looking 2 year old claimer which  looks straight match between Point At Issue & Barn Dance .


POINT AT ISSUE seem to show massive improvement last time when winning 7 furlong claimer here at Southwell drawing away to win by 6 lenghs .Looked well suited by the step up in trip.


Barn Dance has run two solid races in claimers finishing close third last time at Wolverhampton over 9 furlongs .Runs on fibresand for first time .


VERDICT :Strictly on official handicap ratings Barn Dance is one to beat being 14LB clear with rating  77 ,though looks flattered by mark that high.POINT AT ISSUE is just preferred having shown big improvement last time at Southwell ,though has to prove he can stay this longer trip.


NO BET RACE 


4.40 WOLVERHAMPTON 6F CLAIMER CLASS 5
Another small field with six runners declared for 6 furlong 2 year old claimer.This looks hard too oppose Faraway who is 11LB clear on official handicap ratings.


FARAWAY won seller over C&D at Woverhampton back in September and then finished fair fourth off mark 72 in handicap  at Wolverhampton also in September .Will be suited by the drop back to 6 furlongs and the drop in grade. 


VERDICT : FARAWAY looks to have very little to beat in this very moderate 6 furlong claimer ,though odds around 4-6 makes limited appeal.I'm Still The Man would have possible chance if he could reproduce his maiden win at Sandown in June ,though that's a very big IF has shown next to nothing on his last four starts .


NO BET RACE  




  

Thursday, December 08, 2011

Thursdays claiming stakes analysis !!!

Just the one flat card on Thursday an evening fixture at Kempton park .With one 2-Y-O claiming race on the card.


4.00 KEMPTON 5F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 
Disappointing turn out with just five declared runners for this 5 furlong 2 year old claiming stakes and this looks straight match between Mr Knightly & Sonko 


Mr Knightly is unbeaten in claimers winning 3 out 3 all over different distances .Won 5 furlong claimer last time on his debut for Jim Boyle at Wolverhampton ,though that was very weak three runner race.


Sonko has won twice this season including winning 5 furlong claimer at Thirsk in August showing plenty speed .Slightly disappointing last time  in 6 furlong handicap at Kempton .Will be suited returning to claiming company over the minimum trip .


VERDICT : Very little to choose between Mr Knightly & Sonko at these weights .Sonko is speedy front runner  who could take some catching in this small field over her best trip and receives 13LB from her main rival .Mr Knightly is better suited over longer trips having won over 7 furlongs ,though rates as an obvious danger having won 3 out 3 in claiming company . 


NO BET RACE 

Wednesday, December 07, 2011

Wednesdays claiming analysis !!!

Tuesday's bet on Boy the Bell finished well beaten third in 6 furlong claiming stakes behind Global Village who won comfortably for inform Brian Ellison .


Boy the Bell was well supported in market going off 7-2 second favourite ,though never really got into the race,no damage done with money back on the race. 


Moving on to Wednesday's racing just the one claiming race at Lingfield 12.40


12.40 LINGFIELD 2-Y-0 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Just 6 runners declared for this 2 year old claiming stakes .This looks two horse race with Crystal Gem & The Name Is Don well clear on offical handicap ratings.


Crystal Gem won maiden over C&D at Lingfield in October beating La Romantique in good style by 2.5 Lenghs .Looked slightly disappointing last time when well beaten second behind Snowed In,when short price favourite in 1 mile claimer ,though didn't appear to get home over longer trip .


The Name Is Don caused 40-1 upset when winning 7 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton last time when beating Remix by 1.5 lenghs.Looked suited by forcing tactics that day  .


VERDICT : CRYSTAL GEM is clear pick at the weights and will be suited by drop back to 7 furlongs .Should take plenty of beating though odds around 4-6 make limited appeal .The Name Is Don looks the only possible danger , though faces stiff task trying to concede 8LB .


NO BET RACE 


  

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Tuesdays best bets !!

Monday's bet on Stevie Gee was disappointing finishing well beaten sixth ,though I had bad feeling about the race when horse started to take big drift in market going off 12-1 on betfair .


The race was won by One Way or Another who landed gamble 8-1 into 5-1 on his first start for David Evans . Loss on the day - £100


On Tuesday we have the one claiming stakes on the  fibresand at Southwell.


2.30 SOUTHWELL 6F  0-70 CLASSIFIED CLAIMER  CLASS 6 
14 declared runners for 6 furlong classified claimer .On paper this looks quite competitive with 6 course winners ,though very few are in any kind form at present .Soopacal , Boy the Bell and Global Village  look the three to concentrate on.  


Soopacal ran excellent second last time over C&D in 6 furlong handicap behind the highly progressive Take Cover who is unbeaten in three starts .Will be suited returning to claiming company.


BOY THE BELL has been in good form this season winning four times for Brian Ellison including winning handicap over C&D back in May .Ran fair fourth at Southwell last time over 7 furlongs  on his first start for Ollie Pears .


Global Village has some decent form on poly track having won 6 races over 7 furlongs, won 7 furlong handicap in October at Wolverhampton .Drops back to 6 furlongs for first time .First run on fibresand.


VERDICT : Soopacal looks sure to go well after running very good second last time over C&D at Southwell ,though he still looks better horse over 5 furlongs having won over the trip 3 times .There remains slight question mark over 6 furlongs having yet to win from 9 attempts.


BOY THE BELL goes well here at Southwell and is best in at the weights on official handicap ratings, the drop back too 6 furlongs  won't be problem having won over the trip 4 times . 5-1 looks decent each-way value.




TODAY'S BEST BET 
BOY THE BELL 2.30 SOUTHWELL
(THIRD SP 7-2 ) LEVEL  
0.50PTS EACH-WAY @  5-1 BOYLESPORTS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


  

Monday, December 05, 2011

Mondays best bets !!

Looks like quite busy week with the claiming races .On Monday we have the one claiming race 
1.30 at Lingfield .

1.30 LINGFIELD 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Nine runners declared for seven furlong claimer at Lingfield .This looks to concern three runners ,Golden Desert ,Fishforcompliments and Stevie Gee.


Golden Desert would be very difficult to beat if he can repeat his win off mark 90 in class 2 handicap at Newmarket in September for Robert Mills .Though ran nowhere near that level on his first start for Simon Dow when beaten in claimer by City Legend here last time .

Fishforcompliments won 7 furlong handicap  at Musselburgh in September off mark 73 his first win for over 2 years .finished close third in this race last year behind Caprio ,though not easiest horse to win with having won only 3 times from 58 starts .

STEVIE GEE is consistent sort at this level .Won 7 furlong 0-70 classified claimer at Wolverhampton in September beating Brynfa Boy by short head .Finished fair third last time in 7 furlong seller behind Faithful Ruler ,running on well at finish after racing wide.

VERDICT : Golden Desert  is the clear pick on official handicap ratings ,though  there still remains doubt about his ability to run too his current mark and odds around evens look too short.

Fishforcompliments should be thereabouts ,though is very difficult horse to win with .Has still to win on the All Weather from 10 starts.

 STEVIE GEE  goes well in this grade and has ran well on his last two starts on the All Weather.At around 5-1  looks fair each-way value against the favourite Golden Desert . 


TODAYS BEST BET 
STEVIE GEE 1.30 LINGFIELD 
(UNPLACED SP 9-1 ) LOSS - £100
0.50 EACH-WAY @ 5-1 BET 365 ,BOYLESPORTS ,VICTOR CHANDLER,HILLS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


STAKING :1 TO 3 POINTS : 
MY PERSONAL BETS ARE £100 PER POINT:

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!



THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK 
1 BET ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT +£420 )

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 41 
80 BETS ) 18 WINNERS ) 21 SECONDS ) 17 THIRDS )
PROFIT +£1193 

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011 
STAKED £18,891 ) RETURN £20,074 ) ROI +6.26 %

FROM JULY 7TH  2011 
*ALL SELECTIONS ARE  NOW PROOFED ON BETTING WEBSITE

 WWW.BETTINGLEAGUE.CO.UK UNDER JERRYB123
CURRENTLY IN 10TH POSITION OUT 44 TIPSTERS
 WITH 19.84 PTS PROFIT .ROI + 9.27