Friday, September 16, 2011

Fridays best bets!!

Been very quiet week with very few suitable betting opportunities. Fridays racing looks much better with four flat cards at Ayr ,Newbury ,Lingfield and evening card at Wolverhampton.Going concentrate on the feature race at Ayr The Harry Roseberry listed stakes at 4.30


5F HARRY ROSBERY LISTED RACE 2-Y-0 AYR 4.30
PONTY ACCLAIM : Reliable filly winning three times this season from seven starts .Good winner of conditions race at Ripon last time beating Kool Henry by easy 3.75 lenghs .Should go well in this listed race with ideal conditions.


VERDICT : Interesting 2 year old listed race with just two main contenders Caledonia Lady & Ponty Acclaim .


Strictly on BHA handicap ratings Caledonia Lady has quite bit in hand 11LB clear, after finishing excellent third in group two Flying Childers at Doncaster  last time and previously third in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot ,though has still to win race from  6 starts and did get beat in maiden race at Ffos Las when 1-3 favourite back in August .At odds of around 5-4 looks far to short for horse yet to finish in first two . 


PONTY ACCLAIM looks rock solid having already won three times this season .Won conditions race at Ripon last time in good style, 11-4 looks fair price in what looks quite weak listed race.




PONTY ACCLAIM 4.30 AYR  (UNPLACED 9-4 )
£161 EACH-WAY @ 11-4 BET365
BEST ODDS GUARANTEE 
LOSS £322.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £6136








Sunday, September 11, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!

Up and down week with one winner from three bets at Doncaster's St Leger meeting.The first bet was on Wednesday in 10 furlong conditions race on Elusive Pimpernel at 9-2 and looked to have ideal conditions ,though could only manage very disappointing fifth and is clearly a shadow of the horse that won the Craven stakes at Newmarket last year.Loss on the day -£328.00


The second bet on Thursday was on John Oxx trained Alanza at 3-1 in the 7F group three fillies & Mares Sceptre stakes.Alanza showed smart turn foot inside final furlong to get up close home and win by neck .Profit on the day + £581.00


The final bet of the week was on the Friday on Motrice at 5-1 in group two 2 mile 2 furlong Doncaster cup ,this just highlights the problem with each-way betting with bookmakers,placing bets the night before in 8 runner races.Before placing the bet I did realize there was possibility of non runner with Dayia only likely to run if the ground wasn't too firm.With the ground drying out it was no suprise Dayia was taken out .In hindsight should have waited till later in morning and backed Motrice with betfair for place who were still paying out on three places, would saved me to the tune of over £300 .In the race itself Motrice ran fair enough race in third ,though no match for winner inside final furlong.Loss on the day £340


Overall finished up losing week with loss of £87.00 ,though quite happy how bets have been running  over past 6 weeks ,could quite easily been winning week if things had worked out slightly different with Motrice race.




THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK :
3 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) LOSS -£87.00


OVERALL AFTER WEEK 35
69 BETS ) 17 WINNERS ) 18 SECONDS ) 15 THIRDS )
PROFIT + £2402


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011
STAKED £15,767) RETURN £18,169 ) ROI +15.23% )


BANK RUNNING TOTAL £6458


STARTING WITH £4000 BETTING BANK FROM JUNE 1ST 2011


5% OF BANK STAKED PER BET


FROM JULY 7TH  2011 
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