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Saturday, June 25, 2011

Blank Saturday !!!

Good result on Friday with Certral winning the claiming stakes at Newmarket in great style for £366 profit on the day.


Quite big gamble took place with 7-2 & 3-1 available in morning ,the price quickly disappeared and the price had changed before I was able to post on the blog and the bet will be recorded at 5-2. 


On to Saturdays racing very busy day with six meetings up and down the country,though as usual on Saturday the racing looks very competitive and there are no suitable betting opportunities. 

Friday, June 24, 2011

Fridays best bets!!

Thursdays bet on Chilledtothebone finished well beaten second in 7 furlong selling stakes at Leicester after being well supported in market 10-3 into 15-8 .The horse looked very difficult ride and K.Fallon did well to finish second in circumstances Loss of £42.00 on the day.


Plenty racing as usual on Friday with five flat cards,though only one race of interest the 1 mile claiming stakes at Newmarket's evening fixture.


1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES 3-Y-0 CLASS 5 NEWMARKET 7.05
CERTRAL : Won twice this season including winning class 5 handicap at Newcastle by 5 lenghs off mark 61 .Won claimer back in April at Windsor over 1 mile 2 furlongs.Slightly disappointing last time when finishing 4th behind Submission at Nottingham ,though that was in class 4 handicap ,drops back into claiming company . 


VERDICT : Janet's Pearl ,Central & Malice and Mischief look the three to concentrate on .


Janet's Pearl is very consistent filly finishing second five times ,her only victory came in seller at Musselburgh last season . Not the easiest horse to win with, should be thereabouts though looks no value at 9-4


Malice or Mischief has to concede plenty of weight to his main rivals ,though is proven winner in this grade and will be suited by this faster ground and has to be respected.


CERTRAL looks well treated in this claimer and looks sure to go well with ideal conditions,the  drop in class will also suit . 3-1 looks very fair value.


CERTRAL 7.05 NEWMARKET (WINNER SP 7-4)
£122 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365
5% OF BETTING BANK 
* unfortunately the price had changed before I was able to post now 5-2 best Stan James*
*For blog purposes will record bet at 5-2 *
PROFIT £366 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £5276

















Thursday, June 23, 2011

Thursdays best bets !!

Plenty racing on Thursday with Four flat cards at Newcastle, Warwick and two evening fixtures at Leicester & Hamilton.Going concentrate on evening card at Leicester and the seven furlong selling stakes at 7.40.


7 FURLONG 3-Y-0 SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 LEICESTER 7.40 
CHILLEDTOTHEBONE:Good second last time in 7F selling stakes at Redcar behind Frognal, that looked quite decent seller with the winner & fourth both winning next time.Frognal going onto win class 4 handicap at Leicester off mark 74.Had some fair form as 2-Y-0 Winning 6F auction maiden last October on poly track at Kempton.


VERDICT :On paper this looks quite competitive  selling stakes, though quite few these runners have big question marks.


The highest rated runner Orchid Street would take all beating on last years 2-Y-0 form which included finishing placed off marks in high 70's,though has shown nothing on her last 5 starts in handicaps. Drops into selling company for first time.


So is She, has won twice over 7 furlongs and is very consistent filly ,though all her best form has been on fibresand at Southwell,


Eternal Youth is very consistent in this grade ,though all his best form has been over 6 furlongs and has question mark over this longer trip.


CHILLEDTOTHEBONE, has best recent form the second last time at Redcar looks very solid selling form .Conditions look ideal 7 furlongs on good ground. K.Fallon also looks an eye catching jockey booking for selling stakes having won on horse last season at Kempton . 


CHILLEDTOTHEBONE 7.40 LEICESTER (SECOND  SP 15-8 )
£124 EACH-WAY @ 10-3 BETFRED .VICTOR CHANDLER
5% OF BETTING BANK 
LOSS -£42.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4910













Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Good start to the week !!!

Good start to the week with Porgy early price 11-4 winning 1 mile 4 furlong claiming stakes at Beverley in good style and totally outclassing the opposition winning by easy 5 lenghs for £369 profit on the day.


The new staking plan seems to be working quite well with 5% of the betting bank being staked on each bet .Long term this staking method should make far greater profits than level stakes ,though its still early days and time will tell how profitable this staking method will be. 


On to Wednesdays racing four flat cards at Carlisle ,Salisbury and two evening fixtures at Bath & Kempton .After going through the four cards there are no suitable betting opportunities on Wednesday .  

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Tuesdays best bets !!

Three average flat cards on Tuesday at Brighton, Beverley and evening fixture at Newbury.No real interest at either Brighton or Newbury,though there does look quite interesting 1 mile 4 furlong claiming stakes at Beverley .


1MILE 4F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 BEVERLEY 2.45  
PORGY :Inconsistent 6-Y-0 gelding who is not always most straight forward, though has plenty of ability and has won twice this year,including an impressive winner of 1mile 4f class 4 handicap at Goodwood earlier this month beating Classic Vintage by 3.25 lenghs off mark 79 .Finished fair fourth last time in 1 mile 4f class 3 handicap at Haydock off mark 85 .


VERDICT :Interesting little claimer with only Palamar ,Porgy & Hels Angel having any serious chance at these weights .


Strictly on BHA handicap ratings Palamar is the one to beat after winning 2 mile handicap off mark 85 last October at Musselburgh and ran very respectable 7th of 19 last week at Royal Ascot in Ascot Stakes over 2 mile 4f ,though all his best for has been over 2 miles and the drop back to 1mile 4f may not suit and looks too short in market at around 6-4.


Hels Angel looks fairly treated at these weights and won claimer at Catterick in early May ,though was very disappointing last time in handicap at Catterick ,needs bounce back though can't be totally dismissed.


PORGY  has to concede weight all round ,though is proven over the distance and handles any ground ,takes massive drop in class into  class 6 claimer and was an easy winner at York last July the only other time he ran in claimer.Looks sure to go well with ideal conditions 11-4 looks decent value.  


PORGY 2.45 BEVERLEY (WINNER SP 2-1)
£112 EACH -WAY @ 11-4 BETFRED
5% OF BETTING BANK 
PROFIT +£369 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4952

Sunday, June 19, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!

Some fantastic racing this past week at Royal Ascot and quite satisfied to come out with smallish profit in the end. 


The first bet was on Tuesday in group one St James Palace stakes on  Excelebration in  market W/O frankel ran fair enough race finishing second in that market at 3-1. Loss of £45.00 on the race


Second bet was on the Wednesday in group three Jersey Stakes on Codemaster at 3-1 again this one finished second, beaten 1/2 lengh behind Strong Suit. Loss on the race £45.00


Third bet on the Thursday was in group two Ribbesdale stakes on Rumh at 4-1 ,this was very disappointing running no kind race and looked unsuited by soft ground conditions finishing well beaten  6TH   .Loss on the race £222


Final bet of the week was on the Friday in group two King Edward VII stakes on Nathaniel at 11-4 ,the soft ground was perfect for Nathaniel who won very impressively by 5 Lenghs .Profit on the race £385.


Quite happy to come out of Royal Ascot with small profit of £73.00 ,especially being £312 down going into Friday .These big meetings are never easy to come out with profit, so quite satisfied how the week has finished.         


THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK :
4 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT £73.00 )


OVERALL AFTER WEEK 24 :
42 BETS ) 9 WINNERS ) 11 SECONDS ) 10 THIRDS)
PROFIT £515 )


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011 :
STAKED £8471 ) RETURN £8986  )ROI  +6.15 %)


*BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4583
STARTING JUNE 1ST 2011 WITH NEW STAKING METHOD
£4000 BETTING BANK STAKING 5% OF BETTING BANK PER BET .