.

.

Saturday, June 18, 2011

nathaniel powers to victory !!!



Nice to finally have winner at Royal Ascot with Nathaniel winning the group two King Edward VII stakes in great style .


Nathaniel relishing the soft conditions went on to win by easy 5 lenghs and now looks well on target for St Leger at Doncaster on September 10th .




On to day 5 at Royal Ascot with ground conditions already testing and more rain forecast on Saturday it could turn into real slog .The final day at Royal Ascot looks very difficult and after going through the six races, I can't find anything that makes strong appeal and Saturday will just be watching brief.

Friday, June 17, 2011

Royal Ascot Best Bets Day Four !!!

Thursdays bet on Rumh was disappointing in group two Ribbledale stakes and appeared not to stay 1 mile 4 furlongs in testing ground ,after travelling OK in early part of the race,seem to stop very quickly two furlongs out finishing well beaten 6TH behind the Jim Bolger trained Banimpire.


To be honest I wasn't expecting ground conditions to change so drastically ,though in hindsight placing the bet the night before was probably mistake with plenty rain forecast.Loss on the day £222 .


On to Royal Ascot day four, ground conditions are going to be even more testing on Friday with more heavy showers forecast . With this in mind I'm Going concentrate on the group two 1 mile 4 furlong King Edward VII stakes at 3.05  


1 MILE 4F KING EDWARD VII STAKES GROUP 2 ASCOT 3.05
NATHANIEL :Ran excellent second last time in group 3 Chester Vase only beaten head behind Subsequent Epsom Derby runner up Treasure Beach ,appeared unsuited by the tight track that day and did well to finish so close.Will be much better suited to this more galloping track with ground conditions ideal .




VERDICT : NATHANIEL a late withdrawal from Epsom Derby when conditions were considered too fast,should relish these soft ground conditions at Ascot on Friday ,the form of  his second in Chester Vase looks very strong and looks the one to beat in this group two contest.11-4 looks very fair price.The two main dangers look to be Glens Choice and Mijhaar both improving types who have to be respected.


NATHANIEL 3.05 ROYAL ASCOT (WINNER SP 11-4)
£105 EACH-WAY @ 11-4. BET365. 1/3 ODDS 1-2-3 
5% OF BETTING BANK
PROFIT £385 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4583






Thursday, June 16, 2011

Royal Ascot Best Bets Day Three !!!

Wednesday's bet on Codemaster was once again another second,making it five bets in June one winner and four seconds , bit frustrating when nearly every bet seems to be finishing second at minute.


Codemaster was well supported in market going off the 7-4 favourite ,though closing at the finish never really looked like catching the Richard Hannon trained Strong Suit who got first run and held on to win by half lengh .


With the earlier withdrawal of Fury there was also 20p in £ deduction making it loss of £45.00 on the race.


On to day three at Royal Ascot the racing on Thursday looks very competitive with some very big fields .The feature race the Ascot Gold Cup looks quite tricky race with plenty question marks about most of the runners in the race, favourite Fame and Glory looks very short in market for horse who is unproven over this marathan trip ,though after studying the race for some time couldn't really come up with solid selection against the favourite.


Going concentrate on the second race on the card the group two Ribbersdale Stakes over 1mile 4 furlongs for 3-Y-0 fillies.


1MILE 4F RIBBESDALE STAKES GROUP THREE 3-Y-0 FILLIES 3.05
RUMH : Fast improving filly since stepping up in trip this season ,finished good third on her seasonal reappearance in the Swettenham Stud stakes at Newbury in April behind Izzi Top and Dancing Rain beaten just over 3 lenghs that form has been well and truly boosted with Dancing Rain and Izzi Top finishing 1st and 3rd in Oaks at Epsom .Followed that with an impressive 6 lengh win in Ballymcall Stud listed stakes at Newbury last week .




VERDICT : Both Banimpire and Rumh look two decent fillies .Banimpire has to rate as big danger after already winning 4 times this season including winning three group 3 races .Was impressive 3 lengh winner 4 days ago in group 3 contest at Cork over 1 mile 4f .Slightly surprising she's making such quick reappearance ,though looks very tough filly and looks sure to well.


RUMH takes step up in class from listed company ,though looked very impressive last time at Newbury and should be suited by this step up in trip, the stable has won the race for last two years. 4-1 looks fair value.






RUMH 3.05 ROYAL ASCOT (6TH SP 7-2 )
£111 EACH-WAY @ 4-1.BET365 1/3 ODDS 1-2-3
5% OF BETTING BANK 
LOSS -£222.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4198



Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Royal Ascot Best Bets Day Two !!!

Tuesdays bet on Excelebration finished second in market W/O Frankel behind the AP O 'Brien trained Zoffany .No real complaints ran decent enough race, though in the end was soundly beaten by Zoffany who ran excellent race to finish only 3/4 lengh behind Frankel.Loss £45.00 on the day.


On to Day two at Royal Ascot ,going concentrate on first race on the card the Group three Jersey Stakes over 7 furlongs.


JERSEY STAKES (GROUP 3)  3-Y-0 ASCOT 2.30
CODEMASTER :Impressive winner last time beating I Love Me by easy 2 lenghs in King Charles II listed stakes at Newmarket breaking the 7 furlong course record .Also had some decent form as 2 year old  winning decent maiden at Newmarket by 6 lenghs and finishing good second in the Redcar 2 year old trophy.Looks open to plenty impovement after only four starts.


VERDICT : Fury & Havane Smoker look the two main dangers. The French trained Havane Smoker ran good second in French 2000 guineas last time behind Tin Man beaten 2 lenghs and will be suited by drop  back to 7 furlongs. 


Fury unbeaten as 2 year old winning both starts, finished fair fifth in 2000 guineas at Newmarket behind Frankel .Ran decent second last time in 1 mile listed race at Sandown only beaten nose by Sir Michael Stoute trained Tazhum .


CODEMASTER looked impressive last time on his reappearence in listed race at Newmarket beating useful I Love Me in very quick time.Shown improvement with every race and looks the one to beat in this group three contest.






CODEMASTER 2.30 ROYAL ASCOT (SECOND SP 7-4) 20P RULE 4
£112 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365 .BOYLESPORTS.LADBROKES
5% OF BETTING BANK
LOSS - £45.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4420















Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Royal Ascot Best Bets Day One !!!

Tuesday see's the start of five fantastic days racing at Royal Ascot with the three feature races on day one being Queen Anne stakes,King Stand Stakes and St James Palace stakes at 3.45

Going concentrate on just one race, Group one St James Palace stakes over 1 mile Where the 2-5 favourite Frankel cannot be opposed after destroying the field in 2000 guineas at Newmarket last month.The market I'm interested in here is betting W/O Frankel which most bookmakers have priced up .

ST JAMES PALACE STAKES BETTING W/O FRANKEL 3.45 ASCOT
EXCELEBRATION :Improving sort finished credible second behind Frankel in Greenham at Newbury in April beaten 4 lenghs on fast ground .Followed that with impressive 7 lengh win in German 2000 guineas in Cologne on soft ground.Open to plenty improvement and proven over 1 mile on easy ground

VERDICT : Interesting betting race in W/O Frankel market which looks to concern just four horses.Wootton Bassett ,Excelebration ,Dream Ahead and Dubawi Gold .

Wootton Bassett high class 2 year old winning 5 times including group one Grand Criterium at Longchamp in October.Could only manage disappointing fifth in French guineas in May after probably going off too fast .Still big question mark about him staying a mile in this company.

Dream Ahead joint top rated 2 year old after winning the group one Middle Park at Newmarket by nine lenghs on soft ground .Disappointed in Dewhurst behind Frankel  in October finishing well beaten fifth .Not ran this season and all three wins have been over 6 furlongs, looks very doubtful stayer over 1 mile.

Dubawi Gold shown big improvement since switching stables to Richard Hannon ,won two listed contests over 1 mile at Lingfield in spring ,went on to finish good second in both English & Irish 2000 guineas .

EXCELEBRATION looks to be improving with every race and did give Frankel some kind race in Greenham  has proven form over 1 mile on easy ground .3-1 looks fair value with big question marks about both Dream Ahead and Wootton Bassett over this trip.Dubawi Gold looks the main danger after finishing second in two classics over 1 mile.

EXCELEBRATION 3.45 ROYAL ASCOT BETTING W/O FRANKEL
£113 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 WILLIAM HILLS (SECOND 3-1)
5% OF BETTING BANK
LOSS - £45.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4465





Sunday, June 12, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!

Finally a change of fortunes on Saturday with Kingswinford winning the 7 furlong claiming stakes at Chester at 9-2 winning by neck for £530 profit on the week


Just two bets on the week the other bet was Imperial Pippin finishing second in 10 furlong fillies listed race at Newbury on Thursday at 9-2 .


After such poor run in April and May its good to finally have decent week and hopefully the results will now start to improve in June .


THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK:
2 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT £530




OVERALL AFTER WEEK 23:
38 BETS )8 WINNERS)9 SECONDS )10 THIRDS)
PROFIT £442


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011:
STAKED £7600 )RETURN £8042 )ROI +6.38%


BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4510*
Starting from 1st June 2011 with £4000 betting bank. 5% staked on each bet