Wednesday, April 06, 2011

Wednesdays reflections !!!

Wednesdays bet on Dabbers Ridge in 1 mile selling stakes at Beverley was slightly frustrating after finishing close third beaten half lengh and short head.


Dabbers Ridge travelled well in the race and  looked likely winner when leading inside the final furlong and traded as short as 1-7 in running on betfair,though didn't find great deal and had to settle for third behind Rowan Lodge.Not too much damage done with £34.00 loss on the day.



Wednesdays best bets !!

Plenty flat racing action on Wednesday with four cards , two on the turf at Nottingham & Beverley and two All weather cards from Lingfield & Kempton ,going concentrate on the 1 mile selling stakes at Beverley


1MILE 100YDS SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 BEVERLEY 2.10
DABBERS RIDGE : Dual C&D Winner at Beverley ,won four times in 2010 including winning this race last year .Ran some decent races last season including winning class 4 handicap at Pontefract off mark 75, also finished good third in class 3 handicap at Ascot in July .Ran fair fifth on his seasonal reappearance at Wolverhampton last time.


VERDICT : Opus Maximus looks the big danger in this seller, 8LB clear on official  BHA handicap ratings and did win three times in 2010, including winning two class 4 handicaps and finished good second last time in fair claimer behind Erinjay at Kempton,though not the most reliable of horses and looks too short in the market. 


At the prices DABBERS RIDGE looks the better value bet, has good record at the track from four starts 3113 ,should come on for his recent run at Wolverhampton and will be suited dropping back into selling company for first time since winning this race last year.


DABBERS RIDGE 2.10 BEVERLEY 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 
@ 11-4 BET365 .HILLS .PADDY POWER .BEST PRICE GUARANTEE















Sunday, April 03, 2011

Analyzing the results !!!

Not the greatest of weeks with - £200 / 2.00 pt loss ,only one bet on the week Captain Dimitros finishing unplaced in 6 furlong selling stakes at Leicester on Thursday .


THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK
1 BET ) 0 WINNER ) LOSS - £200 / 2.00PTS 


OVERALL AFTER WEEK 13
25 BETS ) 7 WINNERS ) 7 SECONDS ) 6 THIRDS )
PROFIT £1396 / 13.96 PTS )


RETURN ON INVESTMENT  
STAKED £5000 / 50 PTS ) RETURN £6396 / 63.96 ) ROI 28.20 %
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
With having a quiet weekend its given me time to analyze the past seven months results,its always important for me to analyze all the different type races I'm placing bets on and which type races are making the biggest  profits or losses. 


My bets are split into six different categories over the past seven months :
Group races.Listed.Maidens.Claimers.Selling Stakes.Condition Races


 THE RESULTS 6 DIFFERENT CATEGORIES:
ALL BETS 1PT EACH -WAY 


GROUP RACES :7 BETS )2 WINNERS )1 PLACED ) LOSS -1.44 pts
WIN STRIKE RATE 28.57 % ( ROI LOSS -11 % ) 


LISTED RACES :9 BETS )4 WINNERS )2 PLACED ) PROFIT + 8.57
WIN STRIKE RATE 44.44 % (ROI PROFIT +49.25 )


MAIDEN RACES:17 BETS )4 WINNERS )10 PLACED) PROFIT +11.66 
WIN STRIKE RATE  23.52 % (ROI PROFIT +35.15)


CLAIMERS : 32 BETS )10 WINNERS )11 PLACED ) PROFIT +23.60
WIN STRIKE RATE 31.25 % (ROI PROFIT +36.98)


SELLING STAKES:13 BETS)4 WINNERS)7 PLACED) PROFIT +9.10
WIN STRIKE RATE 30.76 % (ROI PROFIT +35.13)


CONDITION RACES :2 BETS ) 0 WINNERS) 1 PLACED )LOSS -3.00




ANALYZING THE RESULTS:
Looking at the results makes interesting reading .


with 40% of the total bets are in CLAIMING RACES ,which also returns the biggest profits of 23.60pts.


LISTED RACES have the highest winning strike rate 44.44 % and return the best ROI of +49.25 % .though thats from only small sample of seven bets.


MAIDEN RACES have been fairly profitable, good win and place strike rate 82.64%.though only 23.52 % win strike rate.


SELLING STAKES have the highest win & place strike rate 84.74,with fairly decent profits from only 13 bets.


GROUP RACES have not been profitable ,with loss of 1.44 pts ,from small sample of 7 bets ,looking through the results I have noticed three of the selections were on non UK racing returning disappointing loss of 4.34 pts


CONDITION RACES are running at 3pt loss ,though impossible to make an opinion after only 2 bets.


After checking the results I have discovered that the non UK results have been very poor,which includes Group and listed races from Ireland , France & Dubai from five bets. no winners with 8.34 pts loss .With these poor results don't see much point in continuing on betting on non UK races,which will be the only change this upcoming flat season.


Very happy with the other four categories.Claimers .Listed .Selling Stakes.maidens, which have made good profits over the past seven months .Hopefully it will continue this flat season.