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Saturday, March 12, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!

Disappointing end to the week ,with Saturdays bet on Restless Bay finishing disappointing fifth after getting shuffled back early in race and then not getting the clearest of runs ,could never really get into contention finishing never nearer fifth.

Five furlong races can sometimes go like that, it was still disappointing effort only finishing fifth in what was lower class race than Restless Bay had been running in.

Not been great week with -£254 / 2.54 pts loss, with no winners from three bets this week ,though two of the three bets did finish placed .

Overall its been consistent start to the year with 6 winners and 17 out 21 bets finishing in the first three.No spectacular profits, but steady enough start to 2011.

THE RESULTS :

ON THE WEEK 
3 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) LOSS - £254 / 2.54 PTS )

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 10 
21 BETS )6 WINNERS ) 5 SECONDS ) 6 THIRDS )
PROFIT + £1326 /13.26 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011
STAKED £4200 / 42PTS ) RETURN £5526 / 55.26 PTS) ROI +31.57)

Saturdays best bets !!

Wolverhampton stage a decent quality All weather card on Saturday,though most of the races look ultra competitive.Going concentrate on the one race that doesn't look too competitive the 5 furlong claiming stakes at 3.55

5F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5 WOLVERHAMPTON 3.55
RESTLESS BAY :Three time course winner ,been in great form over the last month, winning twice and finishing second twice.Good winner over C&D in class 5 handicap back in February beating Rylee Mooch.Ran fair second last time off mark 81 at Southwell in 5 furlong class 4 handicap behind the progressive Monsieur Jamie with three todays rivals behind.

VERDICT : Dandy Nicholls runs three in this claimer with Dream Catcher looking the best of the three, had some decent form last season in France winning four times ,though hasn't reproduced anything like that form so far this year, did finish behind Restless Bay last time at Southwell.

Sugar Beet who won twice last season for Roger Charlton ,changed hands for 13,000 gns at October Newmarket sales ,though has been well beaten on both starts for Ron Harris,including finishing behind Restless Bay last time at Southwell ,though is well treated at the weights and looks possible danger.

RESTLESS BAY is in good form and goes particularly well here at Wolverhampton, with all three career wins coming at the track, should go well dropping into claiming company for first time.



RESTLESS BAY 3.55 WOLVERHAMPTON
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 
@ 10-3 VICTOR CHANDLER BEST PRICE GUARANTEE













Thursday, March 10, 2011

Poor tactics !!!

Thursdays bet on Opinion Poll was slightly disappointing only finishing third at Meydan,again given far too much ground to make up in slowly run race . 


Ahmed Ajtebi seemed to ride an identical race to last time giving the horse an impossible task trying to make up so much ground.


Very poor tactics by Ajtebi who has given the horse two poor rides in my opinion , I guess in the circumstances Opinion Poll did well to finish third.Nevermind not to much damage done, could been a lot worse. loss on the day £34.00 


On to Fridays racing just one All Weather evening card at Wolverhampton ,no possible betting opportunities on Friday .


Saturday looks lot more promising with good looking card from Wolverhampton ,featuring a very decent seven furlong listed race and interesting looking 5 furlong claiming stakes.







Thursdays best bets !!

On Thursday we just  have one All Weather card at Kempton Park and another top quality card from Meydan, with no suitable bets at Kempton, going concentrate on the 2 mile group three contest at Meydan.


2M GROUP 3 DRC GOLD CUP MEYDAN 4.30
OPINION POLL : High class stayer, won three times in 2010 when trained by Michael Jarvis,including winning the group two lonsdale cup at York in August.finished the season with credible third in group one Prix Royal Oak at Longchamp in October.


Ran well on both occasions this season for Mahmood Al Zarooni ,finishing second both times here at Meydan ,looked very unlucky last time when finishing neck second behind Claremont in 1 mile 6 furlong listed race ,was given what looked poorly judged ride by Ahmed Ajtebi ,giving the horse far too much ground to make up in slowly run race,finished very strongly from last place and would won in another stride.Will be suited by the return to 2 miles.


VERDICT : Whispering Gallery won handicap over 1 mile 6 furlongs at Meydan back in January beating Opinion Poll by three quarters of lengh ,though was well beaten in this race last year behind Sabotage and appeared not to get home over 2 miles that day.


The main danger could be Mikhail Glinka who won last years group three Queens Vase at Royal Ascot over 2 miles when trained by Aidan O'Brien and ran fair second last time in handicap at Meydan and will be suited by return to 2 miles.


OPINION POLL can make amends for his unlucky defeat last time at Meydan,looks sure to be suited by the return to 2 miles.




OPINION POLL 4.30 MEYDAN 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY 
@ 10-3 CORALS BEST PRICE GUARANTEE







Tuesday, March 08, 2011

Close but no cigar !!!

Monday's bet on Swift Bird was bit frustrating finishing very close second only beaten head behind the heavily gambled on favourite Insieme ,after trying to make all the running, just getting worn down near the finish.


Slightly surprised that horse drifted so much in betting going off 4-1 chance,though with best price guarantee that most bookmakers offer ,thats never going be a problem.


There was late jockey change Liam Jones replacing Jamie Spencer ,no real complaints was given good  ride by Liam Jones just unable to hold on near the finish.No damage done on the race with just £20.00 loss on the day.


On to Tuesdays racing just one All Weather card at Southwell ,though after going through the meeting there are no suitable betting opportunities, on what looks a very competitive eight race card.

Monday, March 07, 2011

Mondays best bets !!

Just the one All Weather card on Monday at Lingfield Park ,going concentrate on 1 mile fillies maiden stakes at 5.00 


1 MILE MAIDEN FILLIES STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 5.00
SWIFT BIRD : Made promising debut last July at Newbury finishing seventh of  20 in decent looking 6 furlong maiden behind the Richard Hannon trained Celebrity.Was then sent off odds on favourite to win 7 furlong maiden at kempton 11 days ago ,was given plenty to do that day,though did stay on quite well to finish close 4TH only beaten 1.75 lenghs.The step up to 1 mile should suit.


VERDICT : The John Gosden trained Judgement looks the main danger ,after finishing promising third in 7 furlong maiden at Wolverhampton back in November,though looks short in market at around 6-4 mark ,though should improve over this longer trip.


Insieme finished fair 4TH in 1 mile maiden at Yarmouth on soft ground back in October ,though has to prove himself running on poly track for first time.5-2 looks on short side for horse that has only ever ran on soft ground .


SWIFT BIRD looks open to plenty improvement over this longer trip,with Jamie Spencer looking an eye catching jockey booking for this small stable,also his only ride of the day.
5-2 looks very fair value in this uncompetitive maiden.


SWIFT BIRD 5.00 LINGFIELD
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY
@ 5-2 BET365.VICTOR CHANDLER.BEST PRICE GUARANTEE

Sunday, March 06, 2011

Weekly results / round up !!

Not great deal to report this week, with only the one bet on the Wednesday in 5 furlong selling stakes at Wolverhampton.Sharp Shoes winning at 11-4 for £330 / 3.30 profit 

Decent profit all the same ,and quite pleased how the bets have gone so far this year on the All Weather.Hopefully we will see few more bets over the next couple weeks ,as we approach the start of the flat turf season.

RESULTS : 

ON THE WEEK
1 BET ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT + £330 / 3.30 PTS )

OVERALL AFTER WEEK 9 
18 BETS ) 6 WINNERS ) 4 SECONDS ) 5 THIRDS ) 
PROFIT + £1580 / 15.80 PTS

RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011 
STAKED £3600 / 36 PTS ) RETURN £5180 / 51.80 PTS) ROI + 44.09 %