Saturday, February 12, 2011

Weekend off !!

Two All Weather flat cards on Saturday, Lingfield & evening meeting at Wolverhampton ,though after studying the two cards nothing really appeals,in fact both cards look quite poor quality for Saturday. With no flat racing on Sunday its going to be very quiet weekend ,with no bets. 

Thursday, February 10, 2011

Thursdays reflections !!

It turned out one them disappointing days on Thursday with a £200 / 2.00PTS loss, Bankable finishing very unlucky 4TH in 1 mile listed race at Meydan.After getting badly hampered and virtually taken out the race at half-way by the back peddling 100-1 outsider Accountforgold.


Difficult to say if Bankable would won the race with trouble free passage ,though how he finished  passing 6 horses inside final furlong to finish 4TH.He would gone very close with anything like a clear run,and not given hard race by Ryan Moore once his chance had gone.


Will be keeping close eye on Bankable as I'm sure he will win more races at Meydan ,with his main target likely to be Dubai Duty Free on March 26th.















Wednesday, February 09, 2011

Thursdays best bets !!

Two flat cards on All Weather, though both cards make very limited appeal with some very tough looking handicaps .

Going concentrate on Dubai carnival at Meydan where there looks very interesting 1 mile listed race at 4.50

1 MILE LISTED FIREBREAK STAKES MEYDAN 4.50
BANKABLE : Former Luca Cumani & Gary Moore trained 7-Y-0 ,looked better than ever last season when  winning 8F group two Al Fahidi Fort stakes at Meydan on turf and then finishing excellent second in group one 9F Dubai Duty free behind Al Shamali.

Made eye catching reappearance four weeks ago at Meydan finishing 4TH in conditions race over 6F on tepeta, finishing fast after not getting anything like clear run  .Will be suited by the return to 1 mile and should go well in this listed contest.

VERDICT : MUSIR looks the main danger , unbeaten at Meydan winning 3 out 3  last season for Mike De Koch,including winning group 2 UAE Derby last March ,though looks short enough in market for horse that hasn't run for nearly year.

Mike De Koch's other runner IMBONGI also looks possible danger after running decent second at Meydan in group 3 race last time behind the useful Mendip ,and did win group two race here on turf last season ,though was beaten twice by Bankable at Meydan last season.

At the prices BANKABLE looks good value  ,had some rock solid form last season, including finishing second in group one Dubai Duty Free at Meydan and goes particularly well for Ryan Moore.

BANKABLE 4.50 MEYDAN 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY
@ 7-2 BET365. 1/4 ODDS PLACE .BEST PRICE GUARANTEE

Updated 11.30 am 

Wednesday !!

At Lingfield today I did like the chances of Dream of Fortune in 1 mile 2 furlong claiming stakes at 1.55. I was expecting much bigger price around 5-2 mark.Even allowing for Cobo Bay being non runner looks no real value at around 13-8.No bet for me at that price!!


Dream of Fortune looks the most likely winner with big question marks about both the second & third favourites.


Visions of Johanna has looked disappointing lately and was well held in handicap last time by Dream of Fortune and has yet to win on the All Weather from 7 starts.


Silver Guest is well treated in this claimer,and has very decent record on All Weather 4 wins from 9 ,though all his best form is over 1 mile or less , looks very doubtful stayer over 1 mile 2 furlongs.


Hopefully there will be some better value bets later in the week.



Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Tuesday reflections !!

Tuesdays bet on Colorus in 5 furlong selling stakes finished fair second,trading as short as 4-11 in running on betfair ,could never quite get to the David Barron trained Tsar Bomber losing by 3/4 lengh.


Too be honest not horse I even considered, having never ran on the All weather before and hadn't shown great deal on turf last year in maiden races.Colorus was slightly unfortunate to bump into horse that has shown quite bit of improvement running on fibresand for first time. Loss on the day £40.00 / 0.40 PTS 


On to Wednesdays racing two flat cards at Lingfield & evening card at Kempton,one possible bet though currently lot shorter on betfair than I was expecting.Will update tomorrow around 11.00 am 











Monday, February 07, 2011

Tuesdays best bets !!

Field sizes on All Weather this winter have been very disappointing with the majority races having  6 runners or less ,though hardly surprise with such low prize money levels.Looking through this weeks entries there does look few more horses entered up ,hopefully we will start to get some better sized fields over the final few weeks of the AW season.


On Tuesday just the one flat card at Southwell ,going concentrate on the 5 furlong selling stakes at 2.45

5F SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 SOUTHWELL 2.45


COLORUS: Six time course & distance winner at Southwell ,won 4 times in 2010 including claimer here at Southwell at the end of December beating Soopacal by short head.Could only manage 7TH of 14 last time in competitive class 5 handicap at Southwell though was only beaten 3 lenghs.Takes drop in class here into selling company for only second time in his career ( won easily last time in seller) 


VERDICT : On paper this looks competitive selling stakes, though both Lord of Reigns & Rievaulx World have big question marks having both disappointed on fibresand in the past. 


Ridley Didley won claimer over course & distance in January, though was well beaten in handicap last time at Southwell finishing over 4 lenghs behind Colorus,though can't be totally dismissed dropping into seller.


Spic n Span  has good record here at Southwell with 5 wins over course & distance and has decent record in selling races 3 wins from 6 starts,though has bit to find off these terms.


Course specialist COLORUS has great record at Southwell with six wins over course & distance , looks to have plenty in his favour  dropping into selling company.Looks fair value at around 3-1 mark.


COLORUS 2.45 SOUTHWELL
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 
@ 3-1 BET365.VICTOR CHANDLER .BOYLESPORTS 
ALL BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


*Updated at 10.40





Sunday, February 06, 2011

Weekly review !!

Good finish to the week with Aflaam advised at 3-1, winning the selling stakes in good style,well supported in market 3-1 into 15-8 jt favourite for tidy + £360 / 3.60 pts profit on the day.


Overall its been another steady week with one winner from three bets for  £160 / 1.60 profit.Not massive profits,though quite happy with the consistent run of results since the start of the year.


RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK 
3 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) + PROFIT £160 / 1.60 PTS )


OVERALL AFTER WEEK FIVE 
11 BETS) 3 WINNERS ) 3 SECONDS ) 4 THIRDS)  
+ PROFIT £560 / 5.60PTS


RETURN ON INVESTMENT 2011 
STAKED £2200 / 22 PTS) RETURN £2760 /27.60 ) ROI + 25%)


2010 PROFIT £4670 / 46.70 PTS
2011 PROFIT £560 / 5.60 PTS


RUNNING TOTAL PROFIT  £5230 / 52.30 PTS