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Friday, February 04, 2011

Saturdays best bets !!

Fridays bet on Faithful Ruler finished well beaten third , no match for favourite Majuro who won very easily by 6 lenghs making all ,no damage done on the race though with the each way bet returning the stake.


Quickly on to Saturdays racing just one flat card at Lingfield ,going concentrate on the second race on the card 1 mile selling stakes at 1.50


8F SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 1.50
AFLAAM : Dual C&D winner at Lingfield ,ran fair third in 1 mile class 5 handicap at Kemton in December behind Gallantry ,failed to stay 10 furlongs when again finishing third behind Scary Movie in seller at Lingfield in January ,will be suited to the return to selling company over 1 mile, all three career wins over that trip.Should go well in this selling contest


VERDICT : This looks to concern three horses (Call Collect , Grand Vizier & Aflaam ) Call Collect    has three career victorys all over 7 furlongs ,though 0 from 5 over mile and looks doubtful stayer,though he can't be totally dismissed in very weak race.


Grand Vizier is clear top rated on BHA ratings,though hasn't looked the same horse on his last two starts since switching stables from Chris Wall to Conor Dore ,and looked very tricky ride last time at Wolverhampton,though still rates the main danger in this weak race.


At the prices AFLAAM looks fair value,returning to his best trip and proven winner over course & distance, will be suited returning to selling company for inform Ron Harris .




AFLAAM 1.50 LINGFIELD 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 
@ 3-1 WILLIAM HILLS BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


Updated 11.10  




Thursday, February 03, 2011

Fridays best bets!!

Thursdays bet Gitano Hernando was disappointing finishing well beaten fifth in group three contest at meydan,though not given the greatest of rides after being dropped out in last place and then coming widest of all ,never really picked up inside final two furlongs most disappointing run ,after being well supported in market 4-1 into 11-4.Loss -£200 / 2.00 pts on the day. 


South African horse Bold Silvano was very impressive winner for Mike de Koch who landed 4 timer on the card and is now favourite in some lists for Dubai World cup.


On too Fridays racing two flat cards at Lingfield & Wolverhampton ,going concentrate on 9 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton's evening card.


9F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00


FAITHFUL RULER : Back to form since being dropped in grade, winner of his last two races including easy seven lengh winner of 8F seller at Lingfield for Richard Fahey back in December ,followed up next time winning 10F claimer at Lingfield on his first start for Ron Harris beating Dream of Fortune.Looks well weighted in this claimer and should go close.


VERDICT : Majuro looks obvious danger after winning twice this winter (seller & claimer) and strictly on BHA ratings is the top rated ,though at prices looks no value at around 7-4 mark.


FAITHFUL RULER at around double the price looks the better value bet ,very consistent in this grade and  had some decent form in much better races last season. 


FAITHFUL RULER 6.00 WOLVERHAMPTON
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 
@ 5-1 STAN JAMES .BLUE SQUARE


Updated 11.15 am









Wednesday, February 02, 2011

Thursdays best bets !!

Not great deal been happening so far this week ,though on Thursday we have the weeks first bet ,going concentrate on the days feature race at the Dubai carnival ,Al Maktoum challenge this looks cracking group 3 contest over nine furlongs featuring five grade one winners.


1 MILE 1F GROUP 3 MAKTOUM CHALLENGE MEYDAN 


GITANO HERNANDO : High class performer with excellent record on AW surfaces winning 5 from 6 ,Won the grade one Goodwood stakes at Santa Anita in 2009 ,went off favourite for last years Dubai World cup finishing fair 6TH, though only beaten just over two lenghs ,finished the season with good 4TH in group one champion stakes at Newmarket.Looks sure go well back in group 3 company.


VERDICT : BOLD SILVANO is surprising favourite here ,though rated one best horses in South Africa last season, has plenty to prove having never ran on AW surface and drop in distance is also major concern, best form over 11 furlongs.Trainer Mike De Kock has also been struggling for winners at this years carnival.


AL SHEMALI looks big danger on last years form,ran some excellent races here last year at Meydan  including winning group one Duty Free on turf and has proven form on the tapeta surface,though has to prove his fitness having not run for 9 months.


GITANO HERNANDO  has rock solid form in grade one races and again has been trained for this years Dubai World cup in March currently 10-1 chance  ,though he hasn't run since last October in Champion Stakes at Newmarket has always gone well fresh in past winning first time out in 2009 & 2010 ,looks decent value in grade three race at around 3-1 mark.




GITANO HERNANDO 6.10 MEYDAN 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY @ 4-1 CORALS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE
* updated 10.00 am 

Monday, January 31, 2011

Lack of betting opportunities !!

Tomorrow see's the start of another month as we move into February,though again no good betting opportunities on Tuesday or Wednesday.


Lack of runners  is proving major problem on the flat at the moment, with majority of races having 6 or less runners . 


My betting strategy involves betting in races with 8 or more runners ,this has meant limited betting opportunities  over past 2 months.Field sizes are unlikely to improve till the start of the flat turf season in April.


The next two months are likely to be bit quiet ,though it just means staying extra patient and waiting for right betting opportunities to come along.











Sunday, January 30, 2011

Weekly / Monthly review !!

Sundays intended bet on Elhamri in 6 furlong claiming stakes at Kempton is now unfortunately non runner.Elhamri looked to have great chance in what looked weak race ,nothing else makes much appeal on the card ,no bets on Sunday.


Its been very quiet week with just one bet that was on Friday in 1 mile claiming stakes on 
Dream of fortune finishing second at 4-1.Small loss on the week -£20.00 / 0.20 PTS


Overall its been very consistent month with (8 BETS )(2 WINNERS) (3 SECONDS)(3THIRDS) PROFIT £400 / 4.00 PTS.Betting opportunities have been limited with only 8 bets on the month though quite pleased with consistency ,not the greatest profit on the month, though steady start to 2011.


RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK
1 BET ) 0 WINNER) LOSS -£20.00 / 0.20PTS


OVERALL AFTER WEEK FOUR 2011
8 BETS ) 2 WINNERS) 6 PLACES ) PROFIT £400 / 4.00 PTS


RETURN ON INVESTMENT
(STAKED £1600 / 16 PTS)( RETURN £2000 / 20PTS)  (ROI + 25%)


2010 PROFIT :+ £4670 / 46.70 PTS
2011 PROFIT : + £400 / 4.00 PTS


RUNNING TOTAL + £5070 / 50.70