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Thursday, December 15, 2011

Thursday's claiming analysis !!!

Two flat cards on Thursday at Southwell & Kempton .We have two claiming races 2.30 Southwell & 4.00 at Kempton .Both races have very small fields always problem this time of year in these claiming races. 


SOUTHWELL 2.30 1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Disappointing turn out with just four declared runners ,though three of these are C&D winners .The race looks between Double Duchess & On The Cusp.


DOUBLE DUCHES dual C&D winner at Southwell in January winning seller and handicap by wide margins ,making all on both occasions .Returned to form last time when finishing fair third in above average seller over C&D.


On The Cusp won four times this year including twice over C&D at Southwell .Won 10 furlong handicap at Ffos Las off mark 62 in November ,though has been disappointing on his last two starts   in handicaps here at Southwell .


VERDICT : On The Cusp has to be respected dropping into claiming company for first time this season,though may struggle to concede 12LB . DOUBLE DUCHES looks well treated here off 8 stone and should take some catching in this small field .


(1) DOUBLE DUCHES (2) ON THE CUSP .


NO BET RACE


4.00 KEMPTON 7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMER CLASS 6 
Five runners declared for this 7 furlong 2 year old claimer .With Young Prince & Crowning Star looking the main contenders .


YOUNG PRINCE Won in good style over C&D  here at Kempton in November off mark 72, looked disappointing last time at Lingfield when beaten in three runner race by Le King Beau when odds on favourite ,though that looked farce of race run at absolute crawl over 14 seconds slower than standard.This race should be run at better pace .


Crowning Star has looked disappointing on his last two starts ,though had some fair form earlier in season winning 6f maiden at Lingfield .Looks well treated at weights with decent claimer Ryan Powell taking off 5lb .


VERDICT :  Le King Beau faces difficult task at these weights .Crowning Star is best in at weights receiving 13LB from Young Prince and could improve for first time blinkers,though all his best form has been over 6 furlongs 


 YOUNG PRINCE looks more solid option  having won nicely in handicap over C&D in November ,can be forgiven for disappointing run last time in slowly run race .Odds around 4-5 make no appeal however.


(1) YOUNG PRINCE (2) CROWING STAR .


NO BET RACE










  

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