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Sunday, December 11, 2011

Sundays claiming analysis !!!

Saturday's bet on Let The Love Flow finished second in 9 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton  ,though would probably won the race had she not pulled so hard for first half mile .


In very slowly run race run over (6 seconds slower than standard) Sophie Doyle just couldn't get the horse too settle and in circumstances did well to finish close second .Slightly disappointing ,though not too much damage done with £55.00 loss on the day.


Moving on to Sunday we have one flat card at Southwell with two claiming races 12.30 & 2.30 


12.30 SOUTHWELL 1MILE 4F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
Just six runners declared for 1mile 4 furlong claiming stakes this looks very tricky race with in form trainer Brian Ellison having three runners .With three main contenders Bivouac ,Overule & Lifetime.


BIVOUAC  Goes well here at Southwell won five races here in 2010 ,though hasn't ran for nearly year .Would take plenty beating if fully fit .


Overule not won since 2009 ,though did finish fair second in claimer at York in July .Not shown great deal on his last four starts and unproven on fibresand.


Lifetime Won 9f maiden at Hamilton for Mark Johnston in August ,though has been disappointing in handicaps on his last three starts .Changed hands for £7,000 at October sales.Takes drop in class here ,though unproven on fibresand.


VERDICT :  Plenty question marks here with both Overule & Lifetime having there first start on fibresand . BIVOUAC is proven winner on fibresand,though has too prove his fitness having not run since December 2010.Not race to get involved in with too many question marks.


NO BET RACE


2.30 SOUTHWELL 7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 
8 runners declared for 7 furlong claimer at Southwell .With three main contenders Jobe ,Autumn Blades & Ingleby Arch .


JOBE Won claimer over C&D at Southwell  in November beating Salerosa by head with Autumn Blades well behind ,disappointed last time in handicap at Kempton .Will be suited returning to claiming company  .


Autumn Blades finished second last time in seller over 7f at Wolverhampton  behind One way Or Another .Had looked very disappointing on his first three starts this season .


Ingleby Arch course specialist with eight course wins all over 6 furlongs ,last win came here in claimer in February .Poor record over this trip 0 from 9.


VERDICT :JOBE returning to claiming company is well treated at these weights and looks the one to beat .Ingleby Arch has never convinced over this trip and Autumn Blades looks very unreliable these days.I was expecting around 5-2 / 11-4 mark for JOBE at best price 2-1 this morning I will not be getting involved .


NO BET RACE.
   

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