Saturday, January 01, 2011

Quiet start on New years day !!

Not great deal happening on New years day ,with just the one flat meeting at Southwell and this card makes no great appeal with some very tricky looking races.

Seems to be quite problem at Southwell lately with lack of runners and New years day is no different with four  races having 6 or less runners ,always difficult to find any value bets with such small fields.No bets on New years day.

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Summary of 2010 !!

Bitterly disappointing run from Thursdays bet  FOXTROT GOLF in the 7F claiming stakes, finishing well beaten 6TH  LOSS £200 / 2.00 PTS  ,pulled far to hard in first time blinkers and Luke Morris could never settle the horse,though hard to understand why they decided to change tactics and hold the horse up, in previous races the horse had made the running.

Not great way to finish 2010 ,though overall its been satisfactory year with £4670 profit over 11 months since the blog started in February 2010.

As the table shows below the first 5 months were quite successful with good profits of £6410 , that was followed by horrendous month in July losing £3150 .normally a good month for me, though it turned out to be a disaster with only 4 winners from 36 bets, that's just 11 % strike rate .

Not happy with how the last 6 months went with only September being winning month , I will be making big changes next year concentrating more on certain types of races ,which will mean lot less bets around 180 over the year ,though this should ensure far greater quality bets and hopefully bigger profits.


2010 FINAL RESULTS AFTER 47 BETTING WEEKS 
312 BETS ) 88 WINNERS ) 28% PROFIT + £4670 / 46.70 PTS )


MONTHLY RECORD 


FEB: LOSS  £790
MAR:PROFIT £4240
APR:PROFIT £830
MAY:LOSS £1000
JUN:PROFIT £3130
JUL:LOSS £3150
AUG:LOSS £260
SEP: PROFIT £2290
OCT:LOSS £100
NOV:LOSS £335
DEC:LOSS £185

TOTAL £4670 PROFIT

Thursdays best bets !!

Two flat cards on Thursday at Lingfield & Kempton ,both just average meetings though the 7 furlong
2 year old claiming stakes at Kempton looks quite interesting.

7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 4.40


FOXTROT GOLF : Shown promise on both starts at Kempton ,finished 4TH in maiden over C&D back in November behind Orange Ace ,ran fair 2ND last time in claimer behind Silver Age only beaten 1 lengh.Looks well  weighted in this claimer off 8 stone 3LB .Wears first time blinkers .


VERDICT :TAKEAWAY looks the obvious danger after winning 3 times this season ,though struggled to win selling stakes last time at Wolverhampton, and hasn't looked quite as good since switching from Richard Hannon stable to Jim Boyle, and looks poor value at around 11-8


FOXTROT GOLF goes well at Kempton and wearing blinkers first time also looks significant ,at around 4-1 looks the value bet to upset the favourite.


FOXTROT GOLF 4.40 KEMPTON 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 7-2 BET365 ,VICTOR CHANDLER. BEST PRICE GUARANTEE




* updated 12.40

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Sitting out Wednesday !!

Weather conditions have at last started to improve ,with all five scheduled cards in UK & Ireland set to go ahead on Wednesday ,two flat cards at Wolverhampton and Kempton though both cards look very difficult with some very competitive racing ,nothing really stands out,so will be sitting out Wednesday.

Monday, December 27, 2010

Good start to final week of 2010 !!!

Good start to the final week of the year with COLORUS landing big gamble in 5 furlong claiming stakes, making it six  wins over course & distance at Southwell, advised early morning at 7-1  backed into
3-1,really strange betting race early morning favourite Matsunosuke was a big drifter from 13-8 to 7-2 and ran very poorly, finishing well beaten 6TH.

It was very close finish with COLORUS  just holding on by short head  from 20-1 outsider Soopacal in very tight finish,the race worked out really well for me,with the other split stakes bet SLOOP JOHNB 
finishing 3RD.£420 PROFIT ON THE DAY.


Tuesday we have two flat meetings at Lingfield & Southwell, though I  don't really like either card both look incredibly tricky cards with no possible bets.

Mondays best bets !!

Just one card surviving on Monday at Southwell ,though I guess that's one better than Boxing day!!,the weathermen forecast the temperatures too improve by Wednesday that's hope there right, not the greatest quality card at Southwell though the 5 furlong claiming stakes at 1.15 looks quite interesting.

5F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 SOUTHWELL 1.15 


SLOOP JOHNB : C&D winner back in November beating Lost in Paris by head in class 4 handicap of mark 70,finished placed on last three starts in handicaps ,including finishing 3RD last time over C&D  behind  Sir Geoffrey .Looks well suited to fibresand and should go well dropping into  claimer for first time.


COLORUS : Course specialist winning 5 times over C&D at Southwell ,won 3 times this season,ran good 3RD over C&D in November just behind SLOOP JOHNB only beaten head & neck.Should go well, dropping in class on his favourite track.


VERDICT : Strictly on form MATSUNOSUKE has quite bit in hand  in this claimer being rated 100 ,though was very disappointing 5TH last time when short price favourite in claimer at Lingfield, and hasn't  the greatest record at Southwell  0 from 3,finishing last of 9 last time he ran at Southwell.


Both SLOOP JOHNB & COLORUS are very closely matched ,both have good course records at Southwell and look good value to upset the favourite.


1.15 SOUTHWELL 


SLOOP JOHNB .
£50 EACH-WAY / 0.50PTS  EACH-WAY @ 5-1 WILLIAM HILLS.


COLORUS.
£50 EACH-WAY / 0.50PTS  EACH-WAY @ 7-1 WILLIAM HILLS.




Split stakes bet, not a bet I normally use though both SLOOP JOHNB & COLORUS look difficult to separate on form, and not easy to choose between the pair.So quite happy to back them both at decent odds.



























Sunday, December 26, 2010

Total wipeout on Boxing day !!

wolverhampton snow racecourse

THERE will be no racing in Britain and Ireland on Sunday after Wolverhampton became the final victim of the cold snap.
Eleven meetings had been scheduled for Sunday, but the arctic conditions have put paid to that with Fontwell and Wolverhampton succumbing on the morning of racing.
Temperatures dropped to -11.5C at Wolverhampton on Saturday night, forcing clerk of the course Fergus Cameron and his team to revise their decision to inspect at 6.30am.
A second inspection at 8am resulted in a final outcome, although not the one race fans were looking for.
"We've abandoned," Cameron said just after the second inspection.
"The reason is there are still some snow or ice crystals on the track.
"The temperatures have started to rise, albeit it's only -10C now, and some forecasts have been revised downwards.
"There's insufficient evidence to support putting on racing, despite the huge efforts of our grounds staff."
Wolverhampton is due to race on Wednesday and Cameron added: "I don't anticipate any problems for that."