Saturday, November 20, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Fridays bet PHASE SHIFT was subject too big gamble after being available at 5-1 in the morning, had strong support all day going off 5-2 chance, the race itself was run in very thick fog and it was difficult to see anything till inside final furlong, PHASE SHIFT ran ok ,though she could only manage 3RD place behind 14-1 outsider Islesman, at least it was not losing race with money back.

Saturday two flat cards,going concentrate on Lingfield which stage quite decent meeting including two good listed races and we have two bets.


1 MILE SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 1.25 


IVAN'S A STAR : Consistent sort, finishing 2ND on his last two starts ,only just touched off in seller over 7f  at Southwell on Tuesday ,also finished good 2ND in handicap at Kempton over 8f behind REE'S RASCAL winner again since,should go well in very weak race.


VERDICT :SIR LUNCHALOT has shown the best form here ,winning twice this season ,though all his form is over shorter distances and has major stamina doubts.Stablemate IVAN'S A STAR is in good form and with proven stamina at 8f  looks the better value at around 3-1.


1MILE 2F LISTED STAKES CLASS 1 LINGFIELD 3.05


NIDEEB : Impressive 7 lengh winner last time in condition race at Kempton over 1 mile 2f beating Chock a block in fast time ,also finished fair third behind Timepiece in listed race at Newmarket at end last month,Looks improving 3-Y-0 & should go well.


VERDICT : SUMMIT SURGE is the class horse here after winning G2 race at York in July and finishing fair 5TH in G1 Arlington million in U.S.A ,though doesn't face easy task here trying concede 10LB to NIDEEB & all his best form has been on turf,only (1 from 6 on polytrack).NIDEEB looks open to plenty improvement and getting 10LB looks the value bet.




IVAN'S A STAR 1.25 LINGFIELD 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1 PT EACH-WAY


@ 11-4 BET365 


NIDEEB 3.05 LINGFIELD


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY


@ 7-2 BET365.VICTOR CHANDLER


* updated at 10.35 











Friday, November 19, 2010

Fridays best bets

Not had great run of results over past couple weeks,though still nicely in profit over the season,that's hope for change luck over the weekend.

Friday just the one flat card at Wolverhampton on the polytrack  ,not the greatest quality card though couple interesting races.

7F MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15


PHASE SHIFT : Promising run last time here at Wolverhampton ,finishing 3RD in fair maiden behind Mattoral  beaten under lengh ,that looks solid form with winner being rated 81, this looks weaker maiden and drop back to 7F shouldn't be problem.


VERDICT :UNEX GOYA looks the main danger after finishing promising 3RD on debut at Yarmouth on soft ground over 6F ,has since left the W.Haggas stable which is slight surprise after just one race,and has prove himself on polytrack.PHASE SHIFT sets good standard here with proven form at Wolverhampton and looks the one to beat getting 7LB from UNEX GOYA .


PHASE SHIFT 5.15 WOLVERHAMPTON


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY


@ 5-1 VICTOR CHANDLER


 BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


* updated 11.15 am*





Thursday, November 18, 2010

Bad luck !!

Sometimes luck plays big part in this game,when you are on poor run luck always seem to desert you.On Wednesday IVER BRIDGE LAD looked very unlucky,after rearing up at the start was soon behind in last place, in slowly run race took little time pick up ,once in clear ran on well inside final furlong and finished strongly only beaten 2 Lenghs in 4TH.

Dream Eater  was given excellent ride by Jimmy fortune coming with well timed run on outside to lead near the line,though I think IVER BRIDGE LAD would gone very close had he not reared up at start.
Loss £200 - 2.00 pts. Back to the drawing board as they say.

Thursday just the one flat card at Wolverhampton and quite poor quality card and no interest there ,just need a change luck sometime soon.

 

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Wednesdays best bets

Wednesday we have two flat cards at Lingfield & Kempton ,the racing so far this week has been extremely poor ,though on Wednesday the racing looks better. Kempton stage very decent 7 furlongs conditions race at 7.10

7F CONDITIONS RACE CLASS 3 KEMPTON 7.10


IVER BRIDGE LAD :Decent 2-Y-0 last season winning twice including listed race at Sandown , hasn't won this season though has some smart efforts including finishing 4TH in G3 contest at Ascot last month,ran another good race last time in class 2 handicap at Doncaster finishing very close 4TH only beaten 0.50 lengh off mark 105.Ran on polytrack twice here at Kempton winning maiden and finishing 2ND in G3.


VERDICT :On BHA ratings DREAM EATER is clearly the one to beat(8LB CLEAR)and taking big drop in class , has ran some excellent races this season including finishing 3RD in Queen Anne stakes at Royal Ascot behind the great GOLDIKOVA,though for all his good runs  he is very difficult horse to win with only winning twice in 27 starts and at around 13-8 looks no value.


At the prices IVER BRIDGE looks solid each-way value , after running several decent races this season and has proven form on polytrack at Kempton.With three firms pricing this race up overnight 6-1 looks well worth taking with BET365 & HILLS both best odds guarantee.


IVER BRIDGE LAD 7.10 KEMPTON 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH - WAY 


@ 6-1 BET365.HILLS BOTH BEST ODDS GUARANTEE. 



Monday, November 15, 2010

Quiet start to the week

Just the one flat card on Monday at Wolverhampton no real interest there with low grade seven race card ,looks like it could be quiet start too the week with not great deal happening till Wednesday.

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

Very poor  week with no winners from 4 bets and loss  £480 - 4.80 pts ,Saturdays each-way double bet summed up the week GREEN EARTH heavily backed 2-1 into 11-8,though ran no kind of race weakening to finish well beaten 6TH.All four bets were heavily supported in the market though never really performed and most disappointing week.

Not great start in November with two losing weeks in row ,hopefully we can bounce back next week!!

THE RESULTS :

0N THE WEEK 
4 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) LOSS £480 - 4.80 PTS )

OVERALL AFTER 40 WEEKS 
294 BETS ) 84 WINNERS ) PROFIT £4512 / 45.12 )