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Saturday, October 23, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Good to come back with winner on Friday evening with SILVER OCEAN landing nice gamble 7-2 into 9-4 for in form Ralph Beckett stable.£315 / 3.15 PTS PROFIT on the day.

Saturday we have some top quality racing at  Doncaster & Newbury with the G1 Racing Post trophy for 2 year olds at Doncaster the feature race.Kempton park's evening card is low on quality,though they do stage quite interesting claiming race.

1 MILE G1  RACING POST TROPHY DONCASTER 2.55 


CASAMENTO :High class 2-Y-0 ,ran excellent 2ND in the G1 National stakes at Curragh in early September only beaten head by the unbeaten & highly regarded PATHFORK ,followed that with easy win in 1 mile G2 Beresford stakes at Curragh.Frankie Dettori takes the ride for first time.


VERDICT: CASAMENTO looks the clear form choice here, has proven form over 1 mile and in G1 company. 3-1 looks decent value .The unbeaten DUNBOYNE EXPRESS looks the main danger after winning G3 contest at Curragh by 8 lenghs .though will need  improve to take this G1 contest.




1 MILE 4F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 7.15


TALENTI: Fair hurdler,done well back on the flat this season -35131 ,won claimer last time at Wolverhampton over 1 mile 4F staying on strongly to get up close home.Consistent type and looks fairly well treated at these weights.Goes well for Dane O' Neil who is 2 from 3.


VERDICT :TALENTI should go well here, in good  form and very consistent in these type races.Most of the opposition look very unreliable types who cannot be trusted.POTENTIALE
 looks possible danger after winning handicap at Epsom last month and is course winner at Kempton.




CASAMENTO 2.55 DONCASTER 
£50.00 EACH/WAY / 0.50PTS EACH/WAY
@ 3-1 STAN JAMES,LADBROKES. 


TALENTI 7.15 KEMPTON PARK
£50.00 EACH/WAY / 0.50 PTS EACH/WAY 
@ 4-1 PADDY POWER


* updated at 11.15 am*











Friday, October 22, 2010

Fridays best bets

Three flat cards on Friday,Ayr, Doncaster,Wolverhampton ,Doncaster stage best card in terms of quality ,though the field sizes are massive, and look far to competitive to even consider a bet.

Nothing really appeals at Ayr that leaves us with Wolverhampton's evening card an there does look quite interesting 2-Y-0. 6 furlong maiden race.

6F 2-Y-0 MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 5 WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15

SILVER OCEAN :Two decent placed efforts in maidens at Lingfield & Kempton ,only just beaten in three way photo last time at Lingfield behind Look who's Kool & Pearl ice ,that looks solid form with Pearl Ice going on to win maiden next time at kempton by 4.5 lenghs.The return to 6 furlongs will suit better after getting little outpaced over 5 furlongs last time.

VERDICT:This looks three horse contest between SILVER OCEAN .CRIMSON CLOUD,KHALEEJI all three running promising races last time, though SILVER OCEAN looks to have the more solid form and proven on poly track,and the return to 6 furlongs suit.

SILVER OCEAN 6.15 WOLVERHAMPTON

£75 EACH/WAY / O.75PTS E/WAY

@ 7-2 STAN JAMES BEST PRICE GUARANTEE 




Thursday, October 21, 2010

Blank on Thursday

Very puzzling race from INDIAN VALLEY last night at Kempton , after being held up in early stages, she made ground up very quickly and came with what looked perfectly timed run ,when leading over 1 furlong out  ,though she seem to find very little inside final furlong and faded badly to finish 4TH .

Not sure what happened there as she normally see's out her races really well ,though not on this occasion disappointing to say the least. LOSS -£200 /2.00 PTS.

Thursday we have two flat cards Brighton and Kempton both cards look very poor and no bets on blank Thursday.

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Wednesdays best bets

Slightly disappointing run from Moonsail on Tuesday finishing well beaten second behind the heavily gambled favourite Mohedian Lady,she pulled far too hard in early stages and never really settled in race,though she did battle on well for second place, quite big drifter on course going off 7-2. Loss - £30.00 / 0.30 PTS on the day.

Just two flat cards on Wednesday Ffos Las & Kempton park ,and just one race of interest the 1 MILE claimer 7.20 at  Kempton.park.


1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 


INDIAN VALLEY :Improving filly ,with good record in claiming company winning 2 from 3 ,won claimers at Yarmouth and Pontefract both over 1 mile on soft ground,though just as effective on poly track , looks well in at these weights & should go well.


VERDICT: INDIAN VALLEY is in form filly who looks to have plenty in her favour here,won two claimers ,handles poly track and running over her best trip.SABATINI looks the main danger ,C/D winner with also good record in claimers 4 wins from 7 starts,though was disappointing in claimer last time at Wolverhampton finishing well beaten 5TH.




INDIAN VALLEY 7.20 KEMPTON 


£100 EACH-WAY / 1PT EACH/WAY


@ 7-2 BET365 ,HILLS,STAN JAMES


*updated at 10.45 am*





Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Tuesday's best bets

Just the two flat cards to work with on Tuesday ,my local track Yarmouth and Lingfield ,both cards are very low on quality ,though as normal Yarmouth do stage a couple decent looking maiden races.

1 MILE FILLIES MAIDEN CLASS 5 YARMOUTH 2.20 


MOONSAIL : Beautifully breed daughter of Kazzia (Guineas and Oaks winner) ,made promising debut last month at Haydock over 1 Mile on soft ground, finishing 2ND running on well at finish beaten 2.25 lenghs by John Gosden filly Umseyat ,looks open to plenty of improvement on her second start.


VERDICT :Moheian Lady has ran two decent races at Newmarket and looks the big danger,though MOONSAIL was given very easy introduction at Haydock and was really staying on well towards the finish and looks open to plenty of improvement on her second start and can improve past her main rival.


MOONSAIL 2.20 YARMOUTH
2ND 7-2


£100 EACH /WAY / 1PT EACH/WAY


@ 9-4 BET365 ,STAN JAMES BEST ODDS GUARANTEE







Monday, October 18, 2010

Quiet Monday

Typical Monday with just two flat cards at Pontefract & Windsor and not great deal to get excited about, consisting mainly of  very tricky handicaps, which make very limited betting appeal.No bets on quiet Monday.

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

Disappointing end to week with LATIN LOVER running very disappointing race at Naas after leading till 2 furlongs out ,she weakened very quickly and could only finish 9TH. Not sure what happened though she clearly didn't run her race ,she had beaten EMULOUS two starts ago, this time she was beaten over 12 lenghs by that rival.

Its been losing week though not to much damage done.Overall its been quite struggle in October only 2 winners from 10 bets.

After having very good month in September (£2290 PROFIT, 7 WINNERS FROM 16 BETS),October has been bit disappointing with loss of  £495 on the month so far.


THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK 
4 BETS)1 WINNER) LOSS £85.00 / 0.85 PTS


ON THE MONTH
10 BETS) 2 WINNERS) LOSS £495 / 4.95 PTS


OVERALL AFTER 36 WEEKS
279 BETS) 80 WINNERS) PROFIT £4797 / 47.97 PTS

Sundays best bets

Saturdays intended  bet BUSHWHACKER never reached 5-2 after opening very short odds in morning at 2-1 then shortened further with second favourite Mottley Crewe being non runner, going off very short odds on favourite.

It turned out blessing in disguise not having bet ,in the race itself BUSHWHACKER could only manage third beaten 1/2 lengh after looking sure to win going inside final furlong ,though seemed too find very little and looks one to avoid in future.

On too Sundays racing no interest in GB ,though there looks very interesting listed race in Ireland at Naas

1 MILE LISTED STAKES (FILLIES) NAAS 4.45 


LATIN LOVE :Excellent 2ND last time in G2 race at Woodbine in Canada finishing 1.75 lenghs behind the useful Miss keller.Won listed contest over 1 mile 1f back in July at Curragh beating Emulous by 1.25 lenghs.Should go well back in listed company.


VERDICT: LATIN LOVE proven winner in this grade winning 2 listed races, and now 11LB better of with Emulous,should go close & J. Murtagh takes the ride. Emulous still rates as main danger after showing improved form last time at Tipperary winning G3 over 7.5 furlongs contest in good style.


LATIN LOVE 4.45 NAAS 
£50 WIN @ 11-4 BET365 
£50 PLACE