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Saturday, September 18, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Very small loss on Friday £8.00 / -0.08 PTS  after THE THRILL IS GONE finished third,and was Subject to quite big gamble 9-2 into 5-2, though never really looked like winning and was quite well beaten in the end by 8-1 winner Arctic Feeling .

Another busy Saturday with five cards as normal the racing looks very competitive, Ayr stage the big race of the day, The William Hill Ayr Gold Cup with maximum 27 runner Field and sprint king Dandy Nicholls bids to win for 6TH time in 11 Years.

Though for my only bet of the day ,I will be looking at far less competitive race at Ayr  the 1 Mile 2F Doonside Cup listed contest .

1 MILE 2F DOONSIDE CUP LISTED RACE AYR 4.30
VESUVE :Former E.Lellouche trained French colt ,won small conditions race at Newmarket at end of July beating Smokey Oakey by 4 Lenghs,Ran good 4TH last time in group 3 contest at York over 9 furlongs behind stable mate Rio De La Plato staying on well towards finish after getting outpaced .will be well suited by the return to 1 mile 2F( stays further) and can reverse form with likely favourite Kings Gambit over this longer trip.

DANGER :KIRKLEES had some very decent form last season winning 4 times including group 2 contest at York ,though hasn't ran since finishing unplaced in Caufield cup in Australia last October,would take all the beating if he returns to that York form, though Frankie Dettori who has won on him 7 times has elected to ride his race fit stable companion  VESUVE.

VERDICT:VESUE looks open to plenty improvement returning to 1 mile 2F for first time this season and can reverse form with Kings Gambit over this longer trip and looks good value at 7-2.Stablemate KIRKLEES rates the big danger if returning fit after 336 days lay off.

VESUVE AYR 4.30
£100 E-WAY /1PT E-WAY @ 7-2
 BETFAIR/STAN JAMES
(WINNER) PROFIT + £437
updated 11.00 am Saturday







Friday, September 17, 2010

Fridays best bets

Some decent racing on Friday with four cards, Newbury ,Newmarket,Ayr,Wolverhampton.,though Newbury stage the best quality card ,I'm going concentrate on the 2-Y-0, 5 furlong listed race at Ayr.


5 FURLONG 2-Y-0 LISTED RACE AYR 3.55
THE THRILL IS GONE: Speedy filly been running well in top company ,finished very good 5th    last time in group two Flying Childers at Doncaster only beaten 2 Lenghs by Zebedee.also ran  good 3RD at Newbury in 5 furlong  listed race behind Electric Waves in August.This doesn't look the strongest of listed races and should go well for Mick Channon.


DANGER :KRYPTON FACTOR looks the big danger ,winning 5 times from 8 starts and still looks on the upgrade ,though is up in class here and faces his stiffest task to date.


VERDICT ;THE THRILL IS GONE has proven form in this grade and has looks sure to run her race from decent draw in stall 8.KRYPTON FACTOR looks the danger though looks very short price at 6-4 for horse running in listed company for first time.At the prices THE THRILL IS GONE looks the value bet at around 7-2.


THE THRILL IS GONE 3.55 AYR
£75.00 E/WAY  / 0.75 PTS E/WAY 
@ 9-2 SPORTINGBET
(THIRD ) LOSS - £8.00 /0.08 PTS


 updated 11.15 am Friday











Thursday, September 16, 2010

Another quiet day

Four cards on Thursday at Yarmouth,Pontefract,Ayr and Wolverhampton, the racing looks very competitive with plenty big field handicaps.

So far its been very quiet week with only the one bet ,and again Thursday will be another blank day for me,though just have to stay patient and wait for the right races to come along.Fridays racing looks lot more promising with very decent card at Newbury.

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Nothing on Wednesday

Slightly disappointing run from SAMARINDA after being very well supported  6-1 into 7-2 , no real excuses tried make all running and with 2 furlongs to run had good lead but weakened inside final furlong and could only manage 4TH, loss of £100 / 1.00 point.

Four fair quality cards on Wednesday ,including two listed races .though nothing really stands out so will be sitting out Wednesday.

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Tuesday's best bets

Three average meetings on Tuesday ,Lingfield ,Yarmouth,Haydock,my local track Yarmouth stage there feature meeting of the season ,three day eastern festival, though the races there look very difficult on Tuesday .Just the one race of interest the 1 mile 2F claiming race at Lingfield Park.

1 MILE 2F CLASS 6 CLAIMER 3.20 LINGFIELD
SAMARINDA : Course specialist who goes well at Lingfield winning four times and twice over course/distance ,below form on last two starts in lot better company,won claimer over 7 Furlongs back in May,Making all beating Orchard Supreme by 2 lenghs.Drop back into class 6 claiming company sure to suit and should go well.


DANGER LANG SHINING looks the main danger ,has decent record in claimers on turf 4 from 7 ,unproven on poly track and not the most straight forward has to be delivered late as possible.though goes well in this grade.


VERDICT : SAMARINDA, proven in better quality races,good record on poly track ( 8 wins)
 1 out 1 in claiming company and has already beaten likely favourite Orchard Supreme this season,looks well treated at the weights . 4-1 or bigger would be decent value.


SAMARINDA 3.20 LINGFIELD 
 £50 E/WAY @  6-1 BETFAIR 
(UNPLACED) LOSS - £100
updated at 12.00


Monday, September 13, 2010

Quiet Monday

Quiet start to the week with three typical  low grade cards on Monday ,Musselburgh ,Redcar and Brighton ,not great deal too get excited about,and no possible bet on Monday.

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

Very consistent week with just the four bets 2 winners (6-1)(7-2) & 2 seconds for profit £888 / 8.88 pts.Very satisfied how the bets are going so far in September.8 Bets (3 Winners) 4 seconds) 1 third  )

The changes I made at the end of August seem to be paying off, with far more consistency with the bets ,though there will be far fewer bets each month, on average around 18 bets ,the stakes will be lot bigger ranging from £100,£150,£200,£250,£300

THE RESULTS:


ON THE WEEK
4 BETS)2 WINNERS) PROFIT £888 / 8.90 PTS


OVERALL AFTER 31 WEEKS
261 BETS)74 WINNERS)PROFIT 42.20 PTS

Watching brief on Sunday

We have some top quality racing in France and Ireland this afternoon in France its Arc trials day at Longchamp,the feature race being group one Prix Vermeille this looks fascinating contest between Sariska ,midday and sarfina ,all eyes will be on sariska after she refused to race last time at York.

In Ireland the Curragh also stage decent card with three group races, the feature race being the group two Blanford stakes, this race looks wide open with Elenora Duse,Aviate,Obama Rule,She's our mark , all having decent chances.No bets for me on Sunday, though will be watching with plenty interest.