Thursday, December 30, 2010

Summary of 2010 !!

Bitterly disappointing run from Thursdays bet  FOXTROT GOLF in the 7F claiming stakes, finishing well beaten 6TH  LOSS £200 / 2.00 PTS  ,pulled far to hard in first time blinkers and Luke Morris could never settle the horse,though hard to understand why they decided to change tactics and hold the horse up, in previous races the horse had made the running.

Not great way to finish 2010 ,though overall its been satisfactory year with £4670 profit over 11 months since the blog started in February 2010.

As the table shows below the first 5 months were quite successful with good profits of £6410 , that was followed by horrendous month in July losing £3150 .normally a good month for me, though it turned out to be a disaster with only 4 winners from 36 bets, that's just 11 % strike rate .

Not happy with how the last 6 months went with only September being winning month , I will be making big changes next year concentrating more on certain types of races ,which will mean lot less bets around 180 over the year ,though this should ensure far greater quality bets and hopefully bigger profits.


2010 FINAL RESULTS AFTER 47 BETTING WEEKS 
312 BETS ) 88 WINNERS ) 28% PROFIT + £4670 / 46.70 PTS )


MONTHLY RECORD 


FEB: LOSS  £790
MAR:PROFIT £4240
APR:PROFIT £830
MAY:LOSS £1000
JUN:PROFIT £3130
JUL:LOSS £3150
AUG:LOSS £260
SEP: PROFIT £2290
OCT:LOSS £100
NOV:LOSS £335
DEC:LOSS £185

TOTAL £4670 PROFIT

Thursdays best bets !!

Two flat cards on Thursday at Lingfield & Kempton ,both just average meetings though the 7 furlong
2 year old claiming stakes at Kempton looks quite interesting.

7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 4.40


FOXTROT GOLF : Shown promise on both starts at Kempton ,finished 4TH in maiden over C&D back in November behind Orange Ace ,ran fair 2ND last time in claimer behind Silver Age only beaten 1 lengh.Looks well  weighted in this claimer off 8 stone 3LB .Wears first time blinkers .


VERDICT :TAKEAWAY looks the obvious danger after winning 3 times this season ,though struggled to win selling stakes last time at Wolverhampton, and hasn't looked quite as good since switching from Richard Hannon stable to Jim Boyle, and looks poor value at around 11-8


FOXTROT GOLF goes well at Kempton and wearing blinkers first time also looks significant ,at around 4-1 looks the value bet to upset the favourite.


FOXTROT GOLF 4.40 KEMPTON 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 7-2 BET365 ,VICTOR CHANDLER. BEST PRICE GUARANTEE




* updated 12.40

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Sitting out Wednesday !!

Weather conditions have at last started to improve ,with all five scheduled cards in UK & Ireland set to go ahead on Wednesday ,two flat cards at Wolverhampton and Kempton though both cards look very difficult with some very competitive racing ,nothing really stands out,so will be sitting out Wednesday.

Monday, December 27, 2010

Good start to final week of 2010 !!!

Good start to the final week of the year with COLORUS landing big gamble in 5 furlong claiming stakes, making it six  wins over course & distance at Southwell, advised early morning at 7-1  backed into
3-1,really strange betting race early morning favourite Matsunosuke was a big drifter from 13-8 to 7-2 and ran very poorly, finishing well beaten 6TH.

It was very close finish with COLORUS  just holding on by short head  from 20-1 outsider Soopacal in very tight finish,the race worked out really well for me,with the other split stakes bet SLOOP JOHNB 
finishing 3RD.£420 PROFIT ON THE DAY.


Tuesday we have two flat meetings at Lingfield & Southwell, though I  don't really like either card both look incredibly tricky cards with no possible bets.

Mondays best bets !!

Just one card surviving on Monday at Southwell ,though I guess that's one better than Boxing day!!,the weathermen forecast the temperatures too improve by Wednesday that's hope there right, not the greatest quality card at Southwell though the 5 furlong claiming stakes at 1.15 looks quite interesting.

5F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 SOUTHWELL 1.15 


SLOOP JOHNB : C&D winner back in November beating Lost in Paris by head in class 4 handicap of mark 70,finished placed on last three starts in handicaps ,including finishing 3RD last time over C&D  behind  Sir Geoffrey .Looks well suited to fibresand and should go well dropping into  claimer for first time.


COLORUS : Course specialist winning 5 times over C&D at Southwell ,won 3 times this season,ran good 3RD over C&D in November just behind SLOOP JOHNB only beaten head & neck.Should go well, dropping in class on his favourite track.


VERDICT : Strictly on form MATSUNOSUKE has quite bit in hand  in this claimer being rated 100 ,though was very disappointing 5TH last time when short price favourite in claimer at Lingfield, and hasn't  the greatest record at Southwell  0 from 3,finishing last of 9 last time he ran at Southwell.


Both SLOOP JOHNB & COLORUS are very closely matched ,both have good course records at Southwell and look good value to upset the favourite.


1.15 SOUTHWELL 


SLOOP JOHNB .
£50 EACH-WAY / 0.50PTS  EACH-WAY @ 5-1 WILLIAM HILLS.


COLORUS.
£50 EACH-WAY / 0.50PTS  EACH-WAY @ 7-1 WILLIAM HILLS.




Split stakes bet, not a bet I normally use though both SLOOP JOHNB & COLORUS look difficult to separate on form, and not easy to choose between the pair.So quite happy to back them both at decent odds.



























Sunday, December 26, 2010

Total wipeout on Boxing day !!

wolverhampton snow racecourse

THERE will be no racing in Britain and Ireland on Sunday after Wolverhampton became the final victim of the cold snap.
Eleven meetings had been scheduled for Sunday, but the arctic conditions have put paid to that with Fontwell and Wolverhampton succumbing on the morning of racing.
Temperatures dropped to -11.5C at Wolverhampton on Saturday night, forcing clerk of the course Fergus Cameron and his team to revise their decision to inspect at 6.30am.
A second inspection at 8am resulted in a final outcome, although not the one race fans were looking for.
"We've abandoned," Cameron said just after the second inspection.
"The reason is there are still some snow or ice crystals on the track.
"The temperatures have started to rise, albeit it's only -10C now, and some forecasts have been revised downwards.
"There's insufficient evidence to support putting on racing, despite the huge efforts of our grounds staff."
Wolverhampton is due to race on Wednesday and Cameron added: "I don't anticipate any problems for that."

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Wishing everyone Merry Christmas !!

Final post before Christmas just like to wish everyone who reads the blog a very Merry Christmas & Happy new year.

No excuses for Wednesdays bet NOTHING TO HIDE in 7 furlong maiden stakes at Kempton Park ,simply not good enough had the perfect position in second place though failed to pick up inside final 2 furlongs finishing disappointing 4TH .LOSS £200 / 2.00PTS.

Hopefully the weather will start improve before the start of the new year ,it's been such stop start month with so many abandonments ,making it very difficult to find quality bets , overall its been Satisfactory year with profits of over £4400 , though the last 3 months have been disappointing, no real big losses though it's been difficult to get any forward momentum .

I do expect to make big improvements in 2011 with one or two changes ,which should help ensure bigger profits over the year.

Wednesday best bets !!

Three scheduled flat cards on Wednesday ,though Lingfield & Kempton both face early morning inspections with more snow forecast.

No interest at Lingfield or Southwell both cards look very tricky, Kempton parks late afternoon meeting looks the days best quality card and will hopefully pass the early morning inspection.The 7 furlong maiden stakes at 4.55 looks quite interesting race.

7F MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 4.55


NOTHING TO HIDE : Placed 5 times from 8 starts ,though still maiden has run some decent races including finishing 2ND in 7 furlong handicap at Newbury in July off mark 74.Ran good 2ND last time in 1 mile maiden at Kempton ,behind Flying Power only beaten neck.Should go well in weak maiden.


VERDICT : CORSICAN BOY ran very promising 3RD last time over C&D  and looks open to plenty improvement after only two starts ,though looks bit short in market at around 
6-4.NOTHING TO HIDE returned to form last time at Kempton, has highest BHA rating 75, with plenty solid form over 7 furlongs.At the prices looks good value bet at around 3-1.


NOTHING TO HIDE 4.55 KEMPTON GUIDE PRICE 3-1


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY


@ 3-1 VICTOR CHANDLER .BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


 *updated 11.20 am







Sunday, December 19, 2010

Weekly results round up !!

Quiet week with just the two bets both finishing second ,slightly frustrating to finish up a losing week,both bets  ran good races though narrowly beaten in photo finishes. LOSS £98.00 / 0.98 PTS on the week .

Poor weather conditions haven't helped this month with so many cards being abandoned,with no scheduled racing from Thursday 23RD to 25TH December, it's probably good time for short break with weather conditions so poor at moment.

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK 
2 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) LOSS £98.00 / 0.98 PTS ) 


OVERALL AFTER 45 WEEKS 
309 BETS )87 WINNERS ) PROFIT + £4654  /  46.54 PTS  

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Snow snow and more snow !!

No bets on Saturday after Lingfield card was abandoned ,the weather forecast is looking pretty grim for next  week ,all Sunday's racing in UK has already been abandoned,and only Wolverhampton left on Monday.

Saturdays best bets !!

Not much luck so far this week with Fridays bet ABBONDANZA finishing second beaten neck in another close finish ,ran decent enough race though just couldn't catch Punching who held on by neck.LOSS £53.00 / 0.53 PTS.

On to Saturdays racing we have two flat cards weather permitting, Lingfield hold an early morning inspection at 6.45 am,hopefully there meeting will get the go ahead with couple decent looking races including 10f listed contest ,the other meeting at Southwell looks very poor card for Saturday with very few runners again.

6F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 11.50


CAPTAIN DIMITRIOS : Won 6f seller at Newbury back in July making all ,consistent form since finishing 2ND three times ,ran good forth last time claimer at Kempton behind Rosina Grey ,that looked decent claimer with 2ND ,3RD, 5TH,6TH& 7TH all winning races.Should go well in this much weaker claimer.


VERDICT : CAPTAIN DIMITRIOS stands out in this claimer after running plenty decent races this season in better class races.AROWANA looks the main danger after finishing fair 2ND in 6f claimer at Wolverhampton .






1 MILE 2F LISTED STAKES CLASS 1 LINGFIELD 1.55 


SUITS ME : Decent front runner ,finished 2ND in this race the last two years only beaten short head last year behind Tranquil Tiger,also finished credible 2ND in this years G3 winter Derby in March again behind Tranquil Tiger,back to form last time finishing fair 3RD in listed race behind the useful Nadeeb.


VERDICT : Not the strongest listed race.SUITS ME is the only listed race winner in the field and goes particularly well at Lingfield,and should go well from front. CHAPTER AND VERSE & AKHMATOVA are both improving types and look possible dangers ,though will have to improve again to win this listed contest.




CAPTAIN DIMITRIOS 11.50 LINGFIELD
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY MIN PRICE 9-4


SUITS ME 1.55 LINGFIELD 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY 
@ 3-1 LADBROKES BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


Updated 10.00 am Saturday

Friday, December 17, 2010

Arctic Conditions return !!

Looks like we are in for another long spell  of snow and freezing temperatures, which is sure to affect the racing over Christmas period with plenty meetings being called off again.Looking out the office window the snow has already started here in the East of England ,looks like we are in for one long winter.

Friday we have two flat cards at Southwell & Wolverhampton both cards look very low on quality ,though there does look quite interesting 6 furlong claiming stakes at Southwell.

6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 SOUTHWELL 12.05 


ABBONDANZA : Great record in claimers this year winning 6 times ,back to form last time winning 6 furlong  claimer at Wolverhampton beating Stablemate Spin Again by easy 3 lenghs ,has to prove himself on fibresand,only ran on this surface once finishing slightly disappointing 5TH , though trainer Dandy Nicholls has excellent record at the track ,will go close if handling the surface.


VERDICT : ABBONDANZA & EBRAAM both stand out here with excellent records in claimers.EBRAAM won his last two races in claiming company at Lingfield & Wolverhampton ,though has never won on fibresand, his trainer Ron Harris is not in the best form 1 winner from 29 in December.At the prices ABBONDANZA looks the better value bet with the stable in great form.






ABBONDANZA 12.05 SOUTHWELL


£100 WIN @ 13-5 BETFAIR- 1PT WIN
£100 PLACE @ 1.60 BETFAIR -1PT PLACE


*Updated at 10.45 













Thursday, December 16, 2010

Tough Thursday !!

Just the two flat cards on Thursday ,Southwell & Kempton ,it looks very tricky day with very small fields at Southwell ,not sure why but they don't seem be attracting many runners at moment,though I guess with very little prize money on offer its not great surprise. Kempton park stage an 8 race evening card,though this looks tough, very competitive racing with no possible bets.

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

No luck whatsoever !!

Still hard to believe how Wednesdays bet DREAM OF FORTUNE was beaten in claiming stakes!!

After being held up in early part of race, travelling very smoothly DREAM OF FORTUNE took the lead inside final furlong and quickly going 2 lenghs clear,at this point looked the certain winner, trading at minimum price          1-100 on betting exchanges,somehow he got caught on line by EDGEWORTH who came from nowhere to lead on post and win by short head.Just one them  very frustrating days and loss £55.00 / 0.55 pts

Wednesday best bets !!

Two flat cards on Wednesday at Kempton park & Lingfield,just the one race of interest in the opening race at Lingfield 10 furlong claiming stakes.

10F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 12.05


DREAM OF FORTUNE :Very consistent 6-Y-0 & three time C&D winner at Lingfield,in good form this season winning twice and placed 7 times ,ran good 3RD on Monday at Wolverhampton in class 5 handicap only beaten 1/2 lengh.Drops back into claiming company and should go well.


VERDICT : DREAM OF FORTUNE is very consistent in this grade, goes particularly well at Lingfield. Tom Queally looks significant jockey booking having won one him twice this season
MERRYMADCAP & TURJUMAN look the main two dangers.




DREAM OF FORTUNE 12.05 LINGFIELD


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 9-4 BET365,PADDY POWER,VICTOR CHANDLER 
ALL BEST PRICE GUARANTEE 


Updated 10.45  









Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Blank Tuesday !!

Unfortunately yesterdays intended bet STEPS was lot shorter price than I expected ,with 2 non runners in the race the early 2-1 soon disappeared and was heavily backed into 5-4 .STEPS was easy 2 lengh winner making all ,slightly disappointing to miss out on winner,though never reached my minimum price of 9-4.this game is all about value for money and there didn't look much value in that price.

Tuesday we just have one flat card at Southwell which stages an 8 race card, though this looks very poor quality meeting and nothing of interest there today.

Monday, December 13, 2010

Mondays best bets

We may see bit more racing this week, with bit warmer temperatures forecast for the early part of the week,just the one flat card on Monday at Wolverhampton which stages 8 race card.Only the one race of interest the 5 furlong 2-Y-O maiden stakes at 3.20

5F 2-Y-O MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 5 WOLVERHAMPTON 3.20 


STEPS :Placed on all three starts,only just beaten last time in three way photo at Lingfield behind Crimson Cloud, finished strongly that day and would have won in another few strides.That looks  solid form with 2ND from that race Liberty Green winning maiden next time.


VERDICT : QUALITY ART looks the obvious danger after finishing good 2ND last time at Kempton  in fair maiden over 6F ,though Gary Moore stable are not in best of form (1 from 27) in last 6 weeks, and looks very short in market.


STEPS has very solid form and looks sure to go well from decent draw in stall 3,trainer Michael Jarvis has excellent record at Wolverhampton this season with his 2 year old's
( 75 % strike rate (3 out 4 ) 


STEPS 3.20 WOLVERHAMPTON 


£100 EACH -WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY. MIN PRICE 9-4


* The best price available 2-1 this morning ,disappointing was expecting bit bigger price and has been backed further into 15-8 ,Was as big as 3-1 last night on betfair to small money.NO BET UNLESS  9-4 or bigger.


Updated 10.45 am   















Saturday, December 11, 2010

Weekly results round up !!

Disappointing end to the week with POLLY HOLDER finishing unplaced in 2-Y-0 claiming stakes, only managing 6TH and didn't show any improvement stepping up in trip, most disappointing effort.

It did finish up winning week thanks to CAPRIO winning at 9-2 on Monday ,though still not happy how things turned out this week, with the last two selections both running so poorly.

THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK 
3 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT + £140 / 1.40 PTS )


OVERALL AFTER 44 WEEKS 
307 BETS ) 87 WINNERS ) PROFIT + £4752 / 47.52 )



Friday, December 10, 2010

Saturdays best bets !!

Three flat cards on very busy Saturday, nothing of interest at afternoon cards though there looks quite interesting 1 mile 1 furlong, 2 year old claiming stakes at Wolverhampton's evening card.

1 MILE 1 FURLONG 103 YDS CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20


POLLY HOLDER : Three promising runs in maiden company(two at Wolverhampton) staying on well each time ,looks sure to improve stepping up in trip, being daughter of Pentire Celebre ,takes drop in class here into claiming company for first time.Looks well weighted off 8 stone 


VERDICT : Interesting little claimer ,SHELIA'S STAR looks sure to go well after winning her last two races at Wolverhampton (claimer & seller ) won over C&D last time beating A Little Bit Dusty.though this does look tougher race.POLLY HOLDER is open to plenty of improvement over this trip and with drop in class also in her favour ,looks the value bet at around 7-2 to beat likely favourite SHELIA'S STAR.


POLLY HOLDER 7.20 WOLVERHAMPTON 


£100 WIN @ 5.40
£100 PLACE @ 1.76


Updated 11.00 am
  

Thursdays reflections !!

Bitterly disappointing day on Thursday  after GOLDEN SHINE ran an absolute shocker finishing well beaten 5th ,hard to believe she ran so badly after being subject to massive gamble 9-2 into 13-8 favourite , she never  looked like winning after getting behind early and never picked up.

No great surprise JOHNNY HANCOCKS went on to win the race, as he was obvious danger.The good thing is we still £340 / 3.40 pts in profit on the week,though still disappointing to give back £200 / 2.00 pts.

On too Fridays racing we have two flat cards at Southwell & Wolverhampton ,though no great appeal at either meeting, Southwell have very small fields and Wolverhampton looks very competitive with some very tricky races.

Thursday, December 09, 2010

Thursday best bets !!

Quiet start to the week with just the one bet so far ,two cards on Thursday  at Wolverhampton & Kempton not great deal of interest at Wolverhampton, though there look very interesting 5 furlong claiming stakes at Kemptons evening meeting.

5F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 4.00


GOLDEN SHINE :Failed to stay 7 furlongs last time at Wolverhampton when finishing disappointing 9th,though the return to 5 furlongs is sure to suit here,ran fair third in claimer at Wolverhampton over 5 furlongs behind Lady Prodee only beaten neck & head after racing wide.Looks well weighted in this claimer off 8 stone and should go well.


VERDICT : JOHNNY HANCOCKS & GOLDEN SHINE are closely matched on there running earlier last month at Wolverhampton when only head separated the pair.GOLDEN SHINE is 2lb better off here and that may be enough to turn the tables and at the prices looks the better value bet.




golden shine 4.00 kempton


£100 win @ 9-2 
£100 place @ 1.70


both with betfair


 updated 12.45 pm







Wednesday, December 08, 2010

Quiet Wednesday

The weather continues to play havoc with the racing,if its not snow or ice its now freezing fog.Tuesdays meeting at Southwell only survived three races before be abandoned.(freezing fog )

Weather permitting  we have two cards on Wednesday,Lingfield & Kempton ,though again both cards look very tricky and nothing really appeal.








Tuesday, December 07, 2010

Great start to the week !!

Great start to the week with CAPRIO winning at 9-2  for £540 / 5.40 pts profit on the day,in very close finish CAPRIO just held on beating the favourite EVERYMANFORHIMSELF by nose.

Two cards on Tuesday southwell & lingfeld ,both cards look very tricky and nothing stands out no bets.  

Monday, December 06, 2010

Mondays best bets

Monday we have two cards at  Lingfield & Southwell ,nothing of interest at Southwell which stages mixed card with three national hunt flat races ,though there  looks quite interesting 7 furlong claiming stakes at Lingfield.

7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 2.00


CAPRIO :Three time claiming winner earlier in the season ,ran good third  at Kempton in September (class 4 ) 7 furlong  handicap of mark 80 only beaten 1 lengh behind REGENERATION.Also ran good third over C&D last time in claimer only beaten short head & head,goes particularly well for Nicky Mackay and should go close.


VERDICT : EVERYMANFORHIMSELF & CAPRIO are very closely matched only head separated the pair last time at lingfield . CAPRIO looked unlucky not to win that day after coming from long way back and would won in another stride ,consistent type and has good record in claimers and looks the better value bet at around 4-1 / 9-2 mark.


CAPRIO 2.00 LINGFIELD 


£100 EACH -WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 4-1 CORAL ,VICTOR CHANDLER . 


updated at 10.45 am

Sunday, December 05, 2010

Weekly results / monthly round up !!

Its not  been easy week with very poor weather conditions making it difficult to find winners, and ended up slightly disappointing week. 3 bets.(0 winners)(1 second)(1 third)(1 unpl )(loss £265 / 2.65 pts. )

Going back to November it ended up losing month with loss £335 / 3.35.
(13 bets)( 2 winners)( 3 seconds)(3 thirds ) ,though normally November is the worse month of the year for myself ,with the finish of flat turf season and the start of winter all weather season making it difficult in the early weeks.

THE RESULTS :




ON THE MONTH (NOVEMBER)
13 BETS) 2 WINNERS ) LOSS - £335 / 3.35PTS )


ON THE WEEK 
3 BETS ) O WINNERS ) LOSS - £265 / 2.65 PTS )


OVERALL AFTER 43 WEEKS 
304 BETS ) 86 WINNERS ) PROFIT + £4612 / 46.12 PTS )




  

Saturday, December 04, 2010

Shivering Saturday !!

Fridays bet SPARKING finished second in tight finish, could not quite catch CRIMSON QUEEN getting beat neck at 11-4   loss £45.00 / 0.45 pts

Saturday we have three AW cards, though after going through all the races nothing really makes strong appeal ,with some really tricky races and very difficult to pinpoint any decent bet.With the continuing freezing weather conditions  its probably good time to take couple days out.,hopefully the weather will start to improve sometime soon.

Friday, December 03, 2010

Fridays best bets

Most disappointing day on Thursday ,firstly Lingfield was abandoned after heavy snow, then Wolverhampton had to survive two afternoon inspections before getting the go ahead.

That left just one bet A LITTLE BIT DUSTY in 4.30.and was subject to heavy support in market 7-1 into  7-2  in the race he travelled really well, turning into straight looked the winner with 2 furlongs to run and traded as low as 1-3 in running at that point ,though found very little inside final furlong and weakened and could not even finish in the places,finishing forth behind IVAN'S A STAR ,the track appeared to be running really slow and appeared not get home unfortunately. loss £200 / 2.00 pts on the day.

Two scheduled meetings on Friday, Lingfield & Wolverhampton, must be some doubt about Lingfield going ahead after all the snow that fell there yesterday,Wolverhampton stage massive 10 race card 2.35 to 7.15

Like the look of two bets on Friday one at each meeting 12.40 Lingfield & 6.45 Wolverhampton.


(LINGFIELD HAS NOW BEEN ABANDONED FROZEN TRACK !!)






5F MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 5 WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45


SPARKING : Placed three times in maidens here at Wolverhampton over 5 & 6 furlongs ,including when close third over C/D back in October behind Doc hay ,should go close in this very weak maiden race.


VERDICT :Sprint maidens don't come much weaker than this & SPARKING looks the clear form pick after three fair placed runs at Wolverhampton.Trainer D.Barrons is also in good form.
Francis Albert looks the main danger after finishing good second last time in 5 furlong handicap at Kempton.




SPARKING 6.45 WOLVERHAMPTON 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY


@ 5-2 VICTOR CHANDLER BEST PRICE GUARANTEE 


 Updated 3.30 pm













Thursday, December 02, 2010

Thursdays best bets

Thursday we have two flat cards at Lingfield & Wolverhampton ,the major problem at minute is lack of runners with trainers reluctant to run horses in blizzard like conditions, which is understandable travelling in these conditions must be nightmare..

Saying that there looks couple interesting races on Thursday one at each meeting ,1 mile 4f claiming stakes Lingfield 2.30 & 1 mile selling stakes at Wolverhampton 4.30.Hopefully there wont be too many non runners.

1 MILE 4F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 2.30


TALENTI :In great form winning 4 times in 5 starts all over 1 mile 4f and 3 out 3 in claimers ,claimed for £6,000 by D. FLOOD after winning claimer last time at Kempton .Goes particularly well for DANE O' NEIL who's won on him 4 times.Should go well in weak race.


VERDICT :SWORN TIGRESS looks the only danger ,had some decent form earlier in the season winning three times in March ,though hasn't won since ,and was slightly disappointing when beaten in seller last time at Wolverhampton.TALENTI  has done well this season winning 4 times ,and has excellent record in claimers 3 out 3, looks the one too beat.


I MILE 2-Y-0 SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 4.30


A LITTLE BIT DUSTY : Won seller at Lingfield over 1 mile,  2 weeks ago beating Ivan's a Star by 2.5 lenghs making all ,ran good 2nd on Monday in seller at Wolverhampton over 1 mile 1f ,again  tried to make all just getting caught near finish by Shelia's Star.will be suited by drop back to 1 mile.


VERDICT : BILL PAGE & SO IS SHE both look possible dangers though both are unproven over 1 mile and look plenty short enough in betting.A LITTLE BIT DUSTY proven winner over 1 mile and has good draw for front runner .looks solid each-way bet at around 4-1 mark.




TALENTI. 2.30 LINGFIELD 
£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY MIN PRICE 9-4


(LINGFIELD HAS NOW BEEN ABANDONED SNOW !!)




A LITTLE BIT DUSTY.4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON
£100 / 1PT WIN @ 7-1 BETFAIR
£100/ 1PT  PLACE @ 2.3 BETFAIR


*UPDATED AT 11.30 AM






* prices updated 11.00 am Thursday  





















Wednesday, December 01, 2010

More snow blizzards on Wednesday ??

Horrendous conditions on Tuesday with both meetings run in snow blizzards ,not to disappointed with the run of LEWYN who finished reasonable third at 4-1 in claiming stakes, finishing strongly from off the pace in terrible conditions.Small loss on the day - £20.00 / 0.20 pts.

Wednesday we have just the one meeting  at Kempton park , though another very poor quality meeting with no possible bets there ,not easy to find quality bets at minute.though it has to be expected with these bad conditions.Hopefully there will be something better later in the week.

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Tuesdays best bets

We have an extra flat card on Tuesday at Southwell after they abandoned there jumps card due to snow and frost,though to be honest this looks very poor quality 6 race card with hardly any runners and nothing of interest there.Going concentrate on the one race at Lingfield 5F claiming stakes at 1.15.


5F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 1.15


LEWYN :Won three times earlier in season at Wolverhampton, returned to form last time finishing good 4TH in decent class 3 handicap at Wolverhampton behind Whoezthecat beaten 2 lenghs,that looks solid form with the 5TH horse Piscean boosting the form by winning handicap next time.Drops into claiming company for first time and Jamie Spencer looks interesting Jockey
booking.


VERDICT : Matsunosuke looks big danger after winning two claimers at Wolverhampton ,and finishing good 4TH at Lingfield in class 2 handicap of mark 105, will be hard to beat at these weights.though looks no value at around 6-5 mark.LEWYN still only 3 year old looks open to plenty improvement back on polytack( 4 wins from 10 starts )and looks solid each-way bet dropping into claimer for first time.


LEWYN  1.15 LINGFIELD 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 4-1 PADDY POWER . LADBROKES


*Prices updated 11.20 AM







Monday, November 29, 2010

Snow bound Monday !!

Just the one flat card on Monday Wolverhampton stage 8 race card though they face 11.00 am inspection to see if racing can go ahead,even by Monday standards this looks very poor quality card with no possible bets.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Summary of weeks bets

Saturdays bet Orchid Supreme could only manage second behind the heavily gambled on odds on favourite Majuro who backed from 4-5 into 2-7 and won very easily by 10 lenghs.


Orchid Supreme was very big drifter 2-1 out to 9-2 and never looked like finishing better than second,though no real damage done with each-way bet,and with best odds guarantee at 9-2. 
LOSS - £10.00 / 0.10 PTS


The cold snap continues to play havoc with the racing, just one card surviving on Sunday at Kempton on polytrack ,just an average 8 race card and nothing of interest there.


Overall its been fairly decent week with £190 / 1.90 pts profit
(1 winner , 1 second ,1 unplaced from 3 bets)


The only real disappointment on the week was Samarinda in 7F claiming stakes on Wednesday who ran no kind of race folding very quickly after trying to make all ,not sure what happened there but for some reason never ran his race finishing very disappointing 6TH. 


THE RESULTS :




ON THE WEEK 
3 BETS ) 1 WINNER ) PROFIT £190 / 1.90 PTS


OVERALL AFTER 42 WEEKS
301 BETS ) 86 WINNERS ) PROFIT + £4877 / 48.77 PTS













Saturday, November 27, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Good result on Friday with WHAT ABOUT YOU making all and winning easily by 5 lenghs ,very well supported in market 10-3 available with Stan James backed into 9-4.Nice profit on the day £400 / 4.00 PTS .

It turned out great day for Richard Fahey who landed 203-1 across the card treble,and his stable continues to be in great form.

Saturday we have two AW cards and Kempton stage very decent card, featuring two decent listed contests and  interestingly we see the return of NADEEB  who was winning selection last Saturday at Lingfield ,reluctantly I will have to pass him over on this occasion, as he is unproven over the distance 1 mile 4 furlongs  ,though he will take plenty beating if he does stay this extra 2 furlongs.The other listed contest looks very tricky race with 4 or 5 with decent chance.

Wolverhampton looks the worst meeting in terms of quality, though there does look quite interesting 1 mile selling stakes at 7.20 and hopefully the meeting will get the go ahead.

1 MILE SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20


ORCHID SUPREME :Former Richard Hannon trained 7-Y-0 ,claimed for £10,000 by John Akehurst after finishing 2ND in claimer at Lingfield ,has been running consistently well this season in claimers finishing 2ND three times, and did win class 2 handicap at Wolverhampton of mark 86 back in March.Drops into seller for first time and should go well.


VERDICT : This looks straight match between ORCHID SUPREME & MAJURO Strictly at the weights MAJURO is the one beat being 11lb clear ,though there look question marks about MAJURO having gone over 2 years since his last win and only one win in his last 34 races and looks no value at around 4-5 mark.ORCHID SUPREME looks the percentage call here proven record at track and is very consistent performer .At around 9-4 looks very low risk each-way bet.


ORCHID SUPREME 7.20 WOLVERHAMPTON
Looking for minimum price 9-4


Three early morning non runners Just Jimmy ,Athaboy Auction ,Marshs Gift.


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 5-2 STAN JAMES & VC BET. BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


Updated at 6.30 pm











Friday, November 26, 2010

Fridays best bets

Weather conditions look pretty grim over the next 10 days ,with heavy snow forecast all over the country, looks like plenty meetings will be lost over next few days,though shouldn't effect AW flat racing too much and we have two meetings on Friday at Lingfield and Wolverhampton.

Not great deal of quality on offer at either card, though there does look quite interesting maiden auction stakes   Wolerhampton 5.00

6F MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00


WHAT ABOUT YOU : Promising 4TH last time over C/D only beaten 1/2 lengh behind the Michael Jarvis trained Indian Emperor,looked bit unlucky there not getting any room near the rail ,looks open to plenty improvement after only two starts.Steve Drowne looks interesting jockey booking for trainer Richard  Fahey (1 out 2 ) over last 5 seasons.


VERDICT :ITS YOU AGAIN & WHAT ABOUT YOU look the two concentrate on here. ITS YOU AGAIN  ran good 2ND last time over C/D  in handicap of mark 75 ,finishing 2ND for the third time and looks big danger, though looks very short price at 6-5 for horse still maiden after 6 starts.At the prices WHAT ABOUT YOU looks the better value bet at around 3-1.




WHAT ABOUT YOU 5.00 WOLVERHAMPTON


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 10-3 STAN JAMES OR 3-1 BOYLES & LADBROKES B.O.G

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Wednesdays best bets

Two average flat cards on Wednesday at Kempton & Lingfield ,with just one race of interest at Lingfield the 7 furlong claimer looks quite interesting race.

7F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 1.00


SAMARINDA : 4 times course winner ,won twice this season both in claimers including over C/D  back in May beating Orchid Supreme ,fair 5TH in class 4 handicap at Kempton last time ,the return to class 6 claiming company will suit and looks well drawn in stall 4 for front runner.




VERDICT: EVERYMANFORHIMSELF looks the main danger ,not shown great deal in handicaps on turf this season though did win class 3 conditions race over C/D back in February and now takes big drop in class.SAMARINDA looks more solid with plenty in his favour here C/D winner and decent record in claimers 2 from 3 ,goes particularly well for Micky Fenton who has won on him  8 times.


SAMARINDA  1.00 LINGFIELD


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 10-3 BET365 BEST PRICE GUARANTEE 


Two early morning non runners Edgeworth & Goodbye Cash, 10-3 looks very fair price with bet365  


* updated at 10.25 am  *











Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Blank Tuesday

Just the one flat meeting on Tuesday at Southwell ,this looks very poor 8 race card even by Southwell standards with biggest race only worth £2115 to the winner.Why owners & trainers bother to race for such small amounts is hard to understand ,though in the current climate I guess things are only going to get worse.

Wednesdays racing looks more promising with two flat cards at Lingfield and Kempton and I will be working on these cards later today.

Monday, November 22, 2010

Quiet start !!

Looks like very quiet start to the week with no flat racing on Monday and very poor card at Southwell on Tuesday.The racing gets better towards the end of the week.With the winter racing on all weather there are plenty days with no possible betting opportunities, just got stay patient and wait for right races to come along.

Sunday, November 21, 2010

Summary of weeks bets

Good finish to the week with NADEEB winning at 7-2 in the 1 mile 2 furlong listed race at Lingfield ,the first bet IVAN'S A STAR in the 1 mile selling stakes finished 2ND at 11-4.

Nideeb is fast improving 3-Y-0 for Clive Brittain, looks sure to win more races this winter, and is well on target for next years winter derby at Lingfield .

After frustrating run of results over the past two weeks, its good to finally have decent day with £375 - 3.75 pts profit on the day.

THE RESULTS : 


ON THE WEEK 
4 BETS ) 1 WINNER) PROFIT £175.00 / + 1.75 PTS)


OVERALL AFTER 41 WEEKS 
298 BETS ) 85 WINNERS ) PROFIT £4687 / + 46.87 PTS )

Saturday, November 20, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Fridays bet PHASE SHIFT was subject too big gamble after being available at 5-1 in the morning, had strong support all day going off 5-2 chance, the race itself was run in very thick fog and it was difficult to see anything till inside final furlong, PHASE SHIFT ran ok ,though she could only manage 3RD place behind 14-1 outsider Islesman, at least it was not losing race with money back.

Saturday two flat cards,going concentrate on Lingfield which stage quite decent meeting including two good listed races and we have two bets.


1 MILE SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 1.25 


IVAN'S A STAR : Consistent sort, finishing 2ND on his last two starts ,only just touched off in seller over 7f  at Southwell on Tuesday ,also finished good 2ND in handicap at Kempton over 8f behind REE'S RASCAL winner again since,should go well in very weak race.


VERDICT :SIR LUNCHALOT has shown the best form here ,winning twice this season ,though all his form is over shorter distances and has major stamina doubts.Stablemate IVAN'S A STAR is in good form and with proven stamina at 8f  looks the better value at around 3-1.


1MILE 2F LISTED STAKES CLASS 1 LINGFIELD 3.05


NIDEEB : Impressive 7 lengh winner last time in condition race at Kempton over 1 mile 2f beating Chock a block in fast time ,also finished fair third behind Timepiece in listed race at Newmarket at end last month,Looks improving 3-Y-0 & should go well.


VERDICT : SUMMIT SURGE is the class horse here after winning G2 race at York in July and finishing fair 5TH in G1 Arlington million in U.S.A ,though doesn't face easy task here trying concede 10LB to NIDEEB & all his best form has been on turf,only (1 from 6 on polytrack).NIDEEB looks open to plenty improvement and getting 10LB looks the value bet.




IVAN'S A STAR 1.25 LINGFIELD 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1 PT EACH-WAY


@ 11-4 BET365 


NIDEEB 3.05 LINGFIELD


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY


@ 7-2 BET365.VICTOR CHANDLER


* updated at 10.35 











Friday, November 19, 2010

Fridays best bets

Not had great run of results over past couple weeks,though still nicely in profit over the season,that's hope for change luck over the weekend.

Friday just the one flat card at Wolverhampton on the polytrack  ,not the greatest quality card though couple interesting races.

7F MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15


PHASE SHIFT : Promising run last time here at Wolverhampton ,finishing 3RD in fair maiden behind Mattoral  beaten under lengh ,that looks solid form with winner being rated 81, this looks weaker maiden and drop back to 7F shouldn't be problem.


VERDICT :UNEX GOYA looks the main danger after finishing promising 3RD on debut at Yarmouth on soft ground over 6F ,has since left the W.Haggas stable which is slight surprise after just one race,and has prove himself on polytrack.PHASE SHIFT sets good standard here with proven form at Wolverhampton and looks the one to beat getting 7LB from UNEX GOYA .


PHASE SHIFT 5.15 WOLVERHAMPTON


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY


@ 5-1 VICTOR CHANDLER


 BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


* updated 11.15 am*





Thursday, November 18, 2010

Bad luck !!

Sometimes luck plays big part in this game,when you are on poor run luck always seem to desert you.On Wednesday IVER BRIDGE LAD looked very unlucky,after rearing up at the start was soon behind in last place, in slowly run race took little time pick up ,once in clear ran on well inside final furlong and finished strongly only beaten 2 Lenghs in 4TH.

Dream Eater  was given excellent ride by Jimmy fortune coming with well timed run on outside to lead near the line,though I think IVER BRIDGE LAD would gone very close had he not reared up at start.
Loss £200 - 2.00 pts. Back to the drawing board as they say.

Thursday just the one flat card at Wolverhampton and quite poor quality card and no interest there ,just need a change luck sometime soon.

 

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Wednesdays best bets

Wednesday we have two flat cards at Lingfield & Kempton ,the racing so far this week has been extremely poor ,though on Wednesday the racing looks better. Kempton stage very decent 7 furlongs conditions race at 7.10

7F CONDITIONS RACE CLASS 3 KEMPTON 7.10


IVER BRIDGE LAD :Decent 2-Y-0 last season winning twice including listed race at Sandown , hasn't won this season though has some smart efforts including finishing 4TH in G3 contest at Ascot last month,ran another good race last time in class 2 handicap at Doncaster finishing very close 4TH only beaten 0.50 lengh off mark 105.Ran on polytrack twice here at Kempton winning maiden and finishing 2ND in G3.


VERDICT :On BHA ratings DREAM EATER is clearly the one to beat(8LB CLEAR)and taking big drop in class , has ran some excellent races this season including finishing 3RD in Queen Anne stakes at Royal Ascot behind the great GOLDIKOVA,though for all his good runs  he is very difficult horse to win with only winning twice in 27 starts and at around 13-8 looks no value.


At the prices IVER BRIDGE looks solid each-way value , after running several decent races this season and has proven form on polytrack at Kempton.With three firms pricing this race up overnight 6-1 looks well worth taking with BET365 & HILLS both best odds guarantee.


IVER BRIDGE LAD 7.10 KEMPTON 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH - WAY 


@ 6-1 BET365.HILLS BOTH BEST ODDS GUARANTEE. 



Monday, November 15, 2010

Quiet start to the week

Just the one flat card on Monday at Wolverhampton no real interest there with low grade seven race card ,looks like it could be quiet start too the week with not great deal happening till Wednesday.

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

Very poor  week with no winners from 4 bets and loss  £480 - 4.80 pts ,Saturdays each-way double bet summed up the week GREEN EARTH heavily backed 2-1 into 11-8,though ran no kind of race weakening to finish well beaten 6TH.All four bets were heavily supported in the market though never really performed and most disappointing week.

Not great start in November with two losing weeks in row ,hopefully we can bounce back next week!!

THE RESULTS :

0N THE WEEK 
4 BETS ) 0 WINNERS ) LOSS £480 - 4.80 PTS )

OVERALL AFTER 40 WEEKS 
294 BETS ) 84 WINNERS ) PROFIT £4512 / 45.12 )







Saturday, November 13, 2010

Friday's summary and Saturdays best bets

 FRIDAYS SUMMARY  :

Bitterly disappointing performance from SECOND ENCORE who could only manage 6TH place in 5 furlong claiming stakes ,well supported in market 3-1 into 9-4 ,though after racing in second place was soon in trouble and looked well beaten at half-way.Not sure what happened there but SECOND ENCORE  ran no kind of race.

Bit of strange result with 22-1 outsider LADY PRODEE  coming from last to first and winning in four way photo finish.LOSS £200.00 - 2.00 PTS

Its been bit of sticky patch over the last two weeks and six bets without winner,though its been poor run of results, I'm not that concerned these losing runs will always happen over the course of the season.The main goal as always long term profits.

On to Saturday we have two flat cards on the poly track at Lingfield and evening card at Wolverhampton.There's couple interesting races and again I will be going for each-way double bet.

1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 12.30


GREEN EARTH :In good form in recent weeks finishing second twice here at Lingfield and winning  1 Mile claimer at Kempton  beating Pastello by 1 lengh.Appeared not too quite get home last time when finishing second over 1 Mile 2f here last time.The return to 1 Mile will suit and should go well.




1 MILE 1F 103YDS MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 5 WOLVERHAMPTON 8.50 


HALFSIN : Two highly promising runs in decent maidens at kempton & Newmarket finishing second both times over 1 mile ,slightly disappointing last time when only third at Nottingham ,though appeared unsuited by very soft ground.The return to poly track and step up in trip will suit better and should go well for back to form Marco Botti .




GREEN PATH. 12.30 LINGFIELD.@ 2-1 SKY BET


HALFSIN. 8.50 WOLVERHAMPTON.@5-4 SKY BET


£100 EACH-WAY DOUBLE - 1PT EACH-WAY DOUBLE


2-1 & 5-4 WITH SKYBET DOUBLE PAYS @  11-2 

*Prices updated 11.00 am Saturday*






Friday, November 12, 2010

Fridays best bets

 SUMMARY  OF THURSDAYS BET  :

No excuses for IMPREMIS TAGULA who was beaten fair and square by MATSUNOSUKE who always travelled like the winner and won easily by 1.25 lenghs ,the only surprise was the big drift in betting MATSUNOSUKE going off very big price at 3-1,double his early morning price.IMPREMIS TAGULA went off 11-4 jt fav, battled on to snatch 2ND on the line .LOSS £40.00 - 0.40 PTS

Friday we have two flat cards Lingfield & Wolverhampton ,again we go to Wolverhampton for the day's only bet in 5 furlong 2-Y-0 claimer at 4.50

5F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 4.50


SECOND ENCORE : Won two races over 5 furlongs this season,including over C/D winning seller last month ,fair third last time at Kempton in claimer over 5 furlongs, behind a fair sort Chevise beaten under lengh when trying to make all.Looks well weighted in this claimer off 8 STONE 1LB.


VERDICT : JOHNNY HANCOCKS tough 2 year old, having his 20TH race of the season,looks the main danger ,takes drop in class here and has to be respected ,though looks plenty short enough for horse only won twice from 20 starts.SECOND ENCORE has fair record over 5 furlongs, 2 wins from 6 starts and looks decent value around 11-4 / 3-1 mark.




SECOND ENCORE 4.50 WOLVERHAMPTON
(UNPLACED)


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY 


@ 3-1 BET365 BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


*Updated at 11.00 am*


STAKE £200.00
RETURN -£0.00
LOSS -£200.00









Thursday, November 11, 2010

Thursdays best bets

Thursday we have two flat cards on very wet and windy day ,Southwell & Wolverhampton ,just the one race of interest 6f claiming stakes at Wolverhampton at 4.50.

6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 4.50


IMPRIMIS TAGULA :C/D winner ,won twice on turf this season in handicaps at Hamilton & Newmarket ,slightly disappointing last time when unplaced in class 3 handicap at Kempton,takes big drop in class here into class 6 claimer ,has decent record in claiming company over 6 & 7 furlongs winning 3 times.


VERDICT :MATSUNOSUKE looks very well treated in this claimer ,and looks the obvious danger, though only just scrapped home last time in weaker claimer and looks plenty short enough at around 6-4.At the prices IMPRIMIS TAGULA looks solid each-way bet at around 3-1 taking big drop in class.




IMPRIMIS TAGULA 4.50 WOLVERHAMPTON 
(SECOND)




£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH-WAY


@ 3-1 BET365,LADBROKES BEST PRICE GUARANTEE     


STAKE £200.00
RETURN £160.00
LOSS -£40.00



Monday, November 08, 2010

Strange day at Wolverhampton !!

Mondays each-way double bet both finished placed 2ND &3RD ( LOSS -£40.00 / 0.40 PTS) though that didn't tell the whole story the first leg of double BILKO PAK was heavily backed 8-11 into 8-13 and travelled well in third place and looked the likely winner when leading at furlong pole though clearly didn't stay 7 furlongs finding very little inside final 50yds and got caught near finish by MY LORD.

The second leg of the double MISS KINGWOOD was big gamble 2-1 into 10-11,though ran very very strange race ,everything seemed fine to start with when leading for first half mile, though all of sudden started to hang badly right on the bends and Jockey Hayley Turner had an impossible job steering the horse and was losing so much ground going wide on bends ,though once in straight ran on well again and did manage to finish third.

In the end quite happy to come out only losing £40.00 / 0.40 PTS on a day where not much went right.Hopefully things will improve over all weather season.

Tuesday we have no all weather flat racing in UK, so tomorrow will be blank day.

Mondays best bets

After all the excitement of the breeders cup over the Weekend ,its back to bread- and- butter racing on Monday.Just Wolverhampton on flat to work with, though there does look couple interesting races.

7F 2-Y-0 CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35


BILKO PAK :Won 3 times this season including here at Wolverhampton in claimer over 6F in September beating reliable sort Hortensia by 1.25 lenghs giving that rival 6LB ,on breeding should be well suited by the step up to 7F .Looks well treated at the weights. 




1 MILE 4F MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 6 WOLVERHAMPTON 4.15


MISS KINGWOOD :Ran promising third in maiden at Kempton over 1 Mile 4F ,behind Wulfrida staying on well at finish ,though was very disappointing last time on turf at Nottingham over 1 Mile 2F finishing well beaten 12th of 16.The return back to 1 Mile 4F on poly track look sure to suit and should go well in this very weak class 6 maiden race .


*Each-way double is bet I will be using in certain type of races over the coming months*


BILKO PAK 2.35 WOLVERHAMPTON.2ND


MISS KINGWOOD 4.15 WOLVERHAMPTON.3RD


£100 EACH / WAY DOUBLE - 1PT EACH / WAY DOUBLE


@ 8-11 and 2-1 with PADDY POWER BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


DOUBLE PAYS 42-10 


STAKE £200.00 
RETURN £160.00
LOSS -£40.00


updated at 11.15 am Monday 









Sunday, November 07, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

It turned out very quiet week with just the one bet on the Thursday VICTORIAN BOUNTY finishing unplaced and loss of £200 - 2.00 points on the week.Not great week to finish the flat turf season, though it was just one them  weeks,very difficult to find any quality bets.

Moving on I have made the decision this winter to concentrate on AW flat racing and completely ignore the National hunt racing ,though I enjoy the jumps racing its not been that profitable over past two seasons and it seems good time to specialize on the one code.

THE RESULTS :

ON THE WEEK 
1 BET ) 0 WINNER ) -L0SS £200 - 2.00 PTS )


OVERALL AFTER 39 WEEKS 
290 BETS ) 84 WINNERS ) +PROFIT £4992- 49.92 PTS)

After all the excitement !!

Incredible Saturday at the breeders cup,two races I will never forget the mile and  classic.

The brilliant French mare Goldikova made it hat-trick of breeders cup mile victories at Churchill Downs on Saturday.

BREEDERS CUP MILE CHURCHILL DOWNS 





Wow, incredible,unbelievable, the most dramatic race I can ever remember ,still can't believe how far ZENYETTA was behind in early stages ,iv'e never seen horse make up so much ground in grade one race, it was incredible performance to get so so close .

 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC CHURCHILL DOWNS

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Breeders cup day !!

Breeders cup day with 8 fantastic races, all American eyes will be on ZENYATTA in the classic trying to make it 20 out 20 and should be fantastic race.

The French mare Goldikova is also trying to make history winning three breeders cup miles,and should take plenty beating though no real value at around 6-4.

The French colt BEHKABAD looked decent value bet earlier in the day at around 11-4 in breeders cup turf ,though with the withdrawal of WORKFORCE this has completely messed up the race with BEHKABAD now only half the odds at around 11-8. my intended bet has unfortunately had to be shelved.So its just watching brief on this years breeders cup with no other stand out bets.

Thursday, November 04, 2010

Thursdays best bets

Two flat cards on Thursday both on the poly track at Lingfield & Kempton After very quiet start to the month, we finally have some action with bet in 6 furlong claiming stakes at Kempton.

6F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 7.00 


VICTORIAN BOUNTY :Speedy front runner, bounced back to form on his last two starts after going 19 races & over 2 years since his last win.Finished close 2ND in claimer at Windsor and then won class 5 handicap at Wolverhampton on Saturday (making all ).Looks well drawn for front runner in stall 8 and goes well for Micky Fenton.


VERDICT :DINGAAN looks well weighted in this claimer with Richard Hughes riding for first time ,looks  the big danger, though the drop back to 6f not sure to suit (No win at 6f  for 3 years) and looks plenty short enough in market at around 6-4 mark. VICTORIAN BOUNTY has run well on his last two starts and looks to have plenty in his favour here,looks well drawn & should make bold bid from front.


VICTORIAN BOUNTY KEMPTON 7.00


£100 EACH / WAY - 1PT EACH/WAY


@ 7-2 BET365.LABROKES.HILLS
*











Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Another blank day

Again its another blank day on Wednesday ,Nottingham looks very difficult, the going will be very testing with heavy ground and racing there looks so competitive.Kempton's card looks slightly better in terms of quality which includes a decent 1 mile 4f listed race,2009 ST LEGER winner MASTERY looks to hold very strong claims though looks no value at around 4-5 mark.The other races on the card look very tricky with no real stand out bets,so will just have to stay patient and wait for right opportunities to come along.

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Another quiet day

Tuesday we have two flat cards, Catterick & Kempton ,though again no real stand out bets ,Kempton's card has the better quality with couple decent looking handicaps though these races look very tricky events.
Wednesday's racing looks lot more promising with two very interesting races at Nottingham & Kempton..

Monday, November 01, 2010

Quiet start to the month

Start of another month as we move into the final week of flat turf season,just the one flat card to work with on Monday at Wolverhampton, and not great deal of interest there with very average 8 race card.No bets on Monday.

Sunday, October 31, 2010

Summary of the weeks bets

Disappointing end to the month with Lang Shining running very flat race finishing well beaten 5TH ,behind Dream of Fortune who he had previously beaten by 9 lenghs.Looks like Lang Shining may of had one race too many, his 13TH race since June,and clearly not running his race today. LOSS -£100 / 1.00PT

On the week its been losing week -£105 / 1.05 PTS with just one winner from 5 bets,not great week with three of the bets not hitting the board ,the only consolation being the biggest bet was winning bet on Aspectoflove.

Overall October has been losing month, though not a disaster with just £100 / 1PT LOSS,it has been very inconsistent month.

(20 BETS ) (6 WINNERS) (2 SECONDS) (2 THIRDS) (10 UNPLACED) that's 10 bets failing too hit the board, 50 % which is disappointing.

Compare that  to September
(16 BETS) (7 WINNERS) (6 SECONDS) (2 THIRDS)
that's 15 out 16 hitting the board ,over 94% which is massive difference.

THE RESULTS :


ON THE WEEK
5 BETS ) 1 WINNER) LOSS £105 / 1.05 PTS)


ON THE MONTH 
20 BETS) 6 WINNERS) LOSS £100 / 1.00 PTS


OVERALL AFTER 38 WEEKS
289 BETS) 84 WINNERS) PROFIT £5192 / 51.92 PTS

Sundays best bets

SECRECY could only finish disappointing 4TH in listed Marshall stakes ,behind his seemingly unfancied stablemate Kingsfort a 10-1 shot ,SECRECY was very well supported in market 11-4 into 15-8 ,though in the race itself was well of pace in the early stages,and never really picked up, finishing well beaten 4TH. Loss -£150 / 1.50 PTS

Sunday we have just the one flat card on poly track at Lingfield ,though there looks interesting 1 mile 2f claimer at 2.15

1 MILE 2F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 2.15


LANG SHINING : Excellent record in claimers this season winning 6 times since June.Won over C/D at Lingfield last month beating fair sort for this grade Orchard Supreme by 1.25 lenghs.Goes well for Sophie Doyle and should go well.


VERDICT :LANG SHINING & AHLAWY look very closely matched at weights. AHLAWY won class 4 handicap last time at Wolverhampton, though not the most consistent of performers and not  the greatest record in claimers 1 win from 6 starts.C/D winner LANG SHINING  is more reliable sort and has such good record in claimers 6 wins from 9 starts.At the prices LANG SHINING looks the better value bet at around 7-2 mark.


LANG SHINING 2.15 LINGFIELD


Slightly shorter odds than I was expecting, though still worth bet at 3-1 


£50 EACH /WAY / 0.50 PTS EACH/ WAY


@ 3-1 BET 365 ,STAN JAMES ,PADDY POWER.


Updated 11.15 am





Saturday, October 30, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Saturday we have just the two flat cards ,Newmarket & Wolverhampton,Newmarket stage there final fixture of the season, with quite decent card featuring three listed races.

1 MILE BEN MARSHALL LISTED STAKES CLASS 1 NEWMARKET 2.35


SECRECY : Very consistent 4-Y-0 ,never been out of first three in 10 starts ,won twice this season in condition races at Kempton & Salisbury ,though ran his best race when finishing 2ND in listed race at Haydock behind the highly regarded CITYSCAPE who boosted that form in no uncertain terms by winning next time in G3 contest at Newmarket by 7 lenghs.C/D winner at Newmarket & looks sure to go well.


VERDICT : Fascinating listed contest S.Bin Suroor runs three in the race and Frankie Dettori has choosen to ride ALEXANDROS who has visor on for first time,though has looked bit disappointing this season. Stablemate SECRECY looks to have plenty in his favour here,in top form, C/D winner & suited by easy ground, looks solid bet at around 11-4 mark. 


SECRECY 2.35 NEWMARKET 


£75 EACH/WAY / 0.75 EACH/WAY


@ 11-4 STANJAMES ,TOTESPORT

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Dettori's day !!

ASPECTOFLOVE just scraped home in 1 mile fillies listed race at Lingfield just getting the better of Mosqueras Romance by short head in very tight finish, landing quite tidy gamble 9-4 into11-10 and nice profit on the day    + £281 / 2.81 PTS

It turned out another good day for Frankie Dettori at Lingfield, landing quick fire treble including the two big listed races.

Friday we have just the two flat cards at Newmarket & Wolverhampton, nothing really appeals at either these two cards.No bets on Friday .

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Thursdays best bets

FACE VALUE could only manage 5TH in 1 mile maiden stakes at Kempton on wed evening, after missing the break was always behind,and just had too much ground to make up and could only finish never nearer 5TH ,slightly disappointing run all the same LOSS -£100 / 1.00PT.

On to Thursday racing, we have two flat cards with quite decent card at Lingfield, featuring two good listed races.We have one bet in 1 mile fillies listed stakes at 3.10

1 MILE FILLIES LISTED STAKES CLASS 1 LINGFIELD 3.10


ASPECTOFLOVE :Former John Oxx trained filly in Ireland , right back to her best for Godolphin on her last two starts winning listed handicap at Ascot and finishing good 2ND in G3 race in Italy at San Siro ,unbeaten on poly track 2 from 2 ,should go well for Frankie Dettori.


VERDICT :The in form  ASPECTOFLOVE looks to have plenty in her favour here,proven winner in listed company and unbeaten on poly track 9-4 looks decent value.LADY DARSHAAN would be possible danger if she could repeat her last season's G1 filly's mile second ,though she has looked very disappointing when beaten favourite on her last two starts in listed company.




ASPECTOFLOVE 3.10 LINGIELD


£100 EACH /WAY / 1PT EACH/WAY


@ 9-4 VC BET ,BET365 













Wednesdays best bets

Three average flat cards on Wednesday ,Musselburgh , Nottingham and Kempton Park ,going to concentrate on    Kempton's evening card, where there looks quite interesting 1 mile 2-Y-0  maiden stakes .

1 MILE 2-Y-0 MAIDEN STAKES CLASS 5 KEMPTON 6.40


FACE VALUE : Promising 4TH last time in fair 7 furlong maiden here at Kempton behind Sagramor ,finishing strongly from well off the pace ,looks open to plenty improvement after only two starts, the extra furlong looks sure to suit.


VERDICT : TWICE BITTEN with Richard Hughes back aboard, looks big danger after only getting beat short head last time at Kempton but looks plenty short enough at around 4-5. At the prices FACE VALUE looks decent value at around 4-1 mark and looks open to plenty improvement over this extra furlong.


FACE VALUE 6.40 KEMPTON 


£50 EACH/WAY / 0.50 PTS EACH/WAY


@ 4-1 BET365, STAN JAMES,PADDY POWER



Tuesday, October 26, 2010

A Day at the Races

DR WINTRINGHAM could only manage second on Monday ,she never really picked up on the very testing ground,and was beaten fair and square by Just Five who was very easy winner LOSS - £34.00 / 0.34 PTS.

On Tuesday I will be attending my local track Yarmouth,  for there last day of the season ,though to be honest the 8 race card looks very moderate,and I will not be having any serious bets on Tuesday ,though with private box and free bar laid on you can't really complain.lol

Monday, October 25, 2010

Mondays best bets

Three flat cards on Monday .Kempton,Southwell and Leicester,going concentrate on the 7 furlong claiming stakes Leicester 4.00


7 FURLONG CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 5 LEICESTER 4.00


DR WINTRINGHAM : Won back to back handicaps at Chepstow & Warwick in early June(winning by 6 lenghs at Warwick) ,also finished decent 2ND at Bath at the end July ,slightly disappointing on her last two starts, though they were in fairly decent handicaps,takes drop in class here into claiming company and Richard Hughes looks very interesting booking for this small stable.


VERDICT:DR WINTRINGHAM looks well treated in this claimer( best in at weights)Richard Hughes  looks significant booking, having won on the horse last year at Chepstow,has to prove she can handle heavy ground ,though did finish 2ND at Lingfield on soft ground last season.DARK MOMENT could be possible danger after coming back to form last time at Leicester,and had three of today's rivals behind, will be suited by this testing ground.


DR WINTRINGHAM 4.00 LEICESTER 


£75 EACH/WAY / 0.75PTS EACH / WAY 


@ 11-4 BET365,LADBROKES BEST PRICE GUARANTEE


* updated at 11.10 am

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Summary of weeks bets !!

Excellent day on Saturday with both CASAMENTO & TALENTI both winning at 3-1 & 4-1 for £415 profit.CASMENTO was heavily supported in market 3-1 into 2-1 in feature race Racing post trophy, and landed some big bets in good style, looks very decent prospect for next season.

The second bet was TALENTI in 1 mile 4 furlong claiming stakes at Kempton's evening card and was given great ride by Dane O' Neil .TALENTI never looked like winning this race,after getting badly outpaced with 4 furlongs to run ,though is such battler and stays really well, and started to pick up with 2 furlongs to run and passed 5 horses inside final furlong  and got up right on line to win by short head.

Overall its been very good week with 5 BETS 3 WINNERS 1 SECOND 1 FORTH + £500 PROFIT / 5.00 PTS.only slight disappointment recently, has been the staking with most of the bigger bets losing and smaller bets winning ,very annoying and will have to review the situation if this continues.

ON THE WEEK 
5 BETS ) 3 WINNERS )PROFIT £500.00 / 5.00PTS


ON THE MONTH
15 BETS) 5 WINNERS)PROFIT £5.00 / 0.05PTS

OVERALL AFTER 37 WEEKS
284 BETS) 83 WINNERS) PROFIT £5297 / 52.97PTS

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Good to come back with winner on Friday evening with SILVER OCEAN landing nice gamble 7-2 into 9-4 for in form Ralph Beckett stable.£315 / 3.15 PTS PROFIT on the day.

Saturday we have some top quality racing at  Doncaster & Newbury with the G1 Racing Post trophy for 2 year olds at Doncaster the feature race.Kempton park's evening card is low on quality,though they do stage quite interesting claiming race.

1 MILE G1  RACING POST TROPHY DONCASTER 2.55 


CASAMENTO :High class 2-Y-0 ,ran excellent 2ND in the G1 National stakes at Curragh in early September only beaten head by the unbeaten & highly regarded PATHFORK ,followed that with easy win in 1 mile G2 Beresford stakes at Curragh.Frankie Dettori takes the ride for first time.


VERDICT: CASAMENTO looks the clear form choice here, has proven form over 1 mile and in G1 company. 3-1 looks decent value .The unbeaten DUNBOYNE EXPRESS looks the main danger after winning G3 contest at Curragh by 8 lenghs .though will need  improve to take this G1 contest.




1 MILE 4F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 KEMPTON 7.15


TALENTI: Fair hurdler,done well back on the flat this season -35131 ,won claimer last time at Wolverhampton over 1 mile 4F staying on strongly to get up close home.Consistent type and looks fairly well treated at these weights.Goes well for Dane O' Neil who is 2 from 3.


VERDICT :TALENTI should go well here, in good  form and very consistent in these type races.Most of the opposition look very unreliable types who cannot be trusted.POTENTIALE
 looks possible danger after winning handicap at Epsom last month and is course winner at Kempton.




CASAMENTO 2.55 DONCASTER 
£50.00 EACH/WAY / 0.50PTS EACH/WAY
@ 3-1 STAN JAMES,LADBROKES. 


TALENTI 7.15 KEMPTON PARK
£50.00 EACH/WAY / 0.50 PTS EACH/WAY 
@ 4-1 PADDY POWER


* updated at 11.15 am*